Loading…
Public trading strategy

BlackRock is leaving Bitcoin ETFs for DeFi — rotate from big tech into small-cap

Created

Thesis

There is a clear institutional rotation happening. While BlackRock's Bitcoin ETF bled $300 million in outflows, they simultaneously integrated Ethena to push deeper into DeFi, sending ENA up 8%. This shows institutional appetite for yield-bearing crypto rather than passive Bitcoin exposure. When paired with the news that Meta is entering the cloud computing space, which Wall Street warns will compress the company's margins, we see a cross-asset theme: major players are being forced to take on more risk in new ventures (Meta in cloud, BlackRock in DeFi) to maintain growth, which historically introduces volatility and short-term downside for their core equities as margins shrink.

Strategy approach

Build a strategy that enters short META on D1 when META closes below its 50-day moving average AND BTCUSD closes below its 30-day moving average (confirming risk-off macro environment). Exit after 14 days or a 4% gain on the short.

Markets and timeframes

Latest published rule evaluation

Evaluated . This is a dated rule snapshot, not a live price or trade execution confirmation.

ENA · 1d

Incomplete evidence; No entry condition values were published.

IBIT · 1d

2 of 3 published entry conditions marked met.

  • RSI (14) below 55 — met
  • Price below Bollinger (20) — near
  • ADX (14) above 20 — met

META · 1d

1 of 3 published entry conditions marked met.

  • RSI (14) below 55 — far
  • Price below Bollinger (20) — far
  • ADX (14) above 20 — met

Entry and exit at a glance

These are the named rules in the shared configuration. Review the full conditions below before using a strategy.

  • Entry: RSI/BB/ADX Signal Long (META@1d) (3 conditions)
  • Exit: SL: Below Support[1] (META@1d) (1 condition)
  • Exit: TP: Near Resistance[1] (META@1d) (1 condition)
  • Exit: Stop Loss at 2.5% (1 condition)
  • Exit: Take Profit at 4.9% (1 condition)

Shared strategy rules

Rule configuration

{
  "data_dependencies": [
    {
      "symbol": "META",
      "timeframe": "1d"
    }
  ],
  "entry_rules": [
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "META",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "rsi",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 55
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "META",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "lower",
            "indicator": {
              "name": "bollinger_bands",
              "period": 20,
              "std_dev": 2
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "META",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "adx",
            "indicator": {
              "name": "adx",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 20
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_1",
      "name": "RSI/BB/ADX Signal Long (META@1d)",
      "priority": 1,
      "trade_symbol": "META"
    }
  ],
  "exit_rules": [
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_1",
      "name": "SL: Below Support[1] (META@1d)",
      "priority": 97,
      "purpose": "take_profit",
      "target_symbol": "META"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_below",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "resistance_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_2",
      "name": "TP: Near Resistance[1] (META@1d)",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "stop_loss",
      "target_symbol": "META"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": -2.4538
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_3",
      "name": "Stop Loss at 2.5%",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "stop_loss"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 4.9075999999999995
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_4",
      "name": "Take Profit at 4.9%",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "take_profit"
    }
  ],
  "position_sizing": {
    "max_position_percent": 25,
    "method": {
      "resistance_stop_rank": 1,
      "risk_percent": 2.4538,
      "type": "fixed_risk"
    },
    "min_position_value": 100
  },
  "trigger_timeframe": "1d",
  "version": 1
}

Indicator configuration

{
  "indicators": [
    {
      "name": "bollinger_bands",
      "period": 20,
      "std_dev": 2
    },
    {
      "name": "adx",
      "period": 14
    },
    {
      "name": "rsi",
      "period": 14
    }
  ]
}

Parsed strategy

{
  "data_dependencies": [
    {
      "symbol": "META",
      "timeframe": "1d"
    }
  ],
  "entry_rules": [
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "META",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "rsi",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 55
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "META",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "lower",
            "indicator": {
              "name": "bollinger_bands",
              "period": 20,
              "std_dev": 2
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "META",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "adx",
            "indicator": {
              "name": "adx",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 20
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_1",
      "name": "RSI/BB/ADX Signal Long (META@1d)",
      "priority": 1,
      "trade_symbol": "META"
    }
  ],
  "exit_rules": [
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_1",
      "name": "SL: Below Support[1] (META@1d)",
      "priority": 97,
      "purpose": "take_profit",
      "target_symbol": "META"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_below",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "resistance_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_2",
      "name": "TP: Near Resistance[1] (META@1d)",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "stop_loss",
      "target_symbol": "META"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": -2.4538
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_3",
      "name": "Stop Loss at 2.5%",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "stop_loss"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 4.9075999999999995
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_4",
      "name": "Take Profit at 4.9%",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "take_profit"
    }
  ],
  "position_sizing": {
    "max_position_percent": 25,
    "method": {
      "resistance_stop_rank": 1,
      "risk_percent": 2.4538,
      "type": "fixed_risk"
    },
    "min_position_value": 100
  },
  "trigger_timeframe": "1d",
  "version": 1
}

Strategy instructions

Trading agent generated from recommendation idea 'BlackRock is leaving Bitcoin ETFs for DeFi — rotate from big tech into small-cap crypto'. Thesis: There is a clear institutional rotation happening. While BlackRock's Bitcoin ETF bled $300 million in outflows, they simultaneously integrated Ethena to push deeper into DeFi, sending ENA up 8%. This shows institutional appetite for yield-bearing crypto rather than passive Bitcoin exposure. When paired with the news that Meta is entering the cloud computing space, which Wall Street warns will compress the company's margins, we see a cross-asset theme: major players are being forced to take on more risk in new ventures (Meta in cloud, BlackRock in DeFi) to maintain growth, which historically introduces volatility and short-term downside for their core equities as margins shrink.

Performance

No trade count, win rate, or realized P&L figures are provided in this public preview. The thesis and shared rules do not establish a performance record.

What this public preview can establish

  • The dated rule snapshot above shows the conditions evaluated at that time. It does not prove a current trigger or executed trade.
  • Technical strategy fields are shared above. Inspect the actual conditions and check when they were evaluated before relying on them.
  • No trade count, win rate, or P&L figure is published in this preview. It cannot establish a performance record.

Explore

How CommonQuant researches and tests strategies · Public paper-trading record and its limits · Discover public strategies