Loading…
Public trading strategy

Apple and Meta pivot to custom chips as Nvidia delays — long the alternatives

Created

Thesis

Apple's massive $30 billion deal with Broadcom for custom chips and Meta's successful deployment of its own AI silicon show that the largest tech companies are actively diversifying away from Nvidia's expensive ecosystem. Simultaneously, Yahoo Finance reports that a circuit board problem has delayed Nvidia's next AI system until 2028, creating a multi-year opening for competitors. This combination of Big Tech seeking cheaper alternatives and Nvidia stumbling in production creates a strong fundamental tailwind for alternative chip suppliers like Broadcom.

Strategy approach

Build a relative-strength rotation strategy. Enter long AVGO and META on the D1 timeframe when both stocks close green while NVDA closes red on the same day. Require AVGO to be trading within 5% of its 20-day high. Exit after 10 days or if AVGO drops 5% below its entry price.

Markets and timeframes

Latest published rule evaluation

Evaluated . This is a dated rule snapshot, not a live price or trade execution confirmation.

AAPL · 1d

No entry condition values were published.

AVGO · 1d

3 of 4 published entry conditions marked met.

  • Price above Price — met
  • Price above Price — met
  • Price below Price — met
  • Price at or above Donchian (20) — far

META · 1d

4 of 4 published entry conditions marked met.

  • Price above Price — met
  • Price above Price — met
  • Price below Price — met
  • Price at or above Donchian (20) — met

Entry and exit at a glance

These are the named rules in the shared configuration. Review the full conditions below before using a strategy.

  • Entry: Rotation Long: AVGO/META green, NVDA red, AVGO near 20d high (AVGO@1d) (4 conditions)
  • Entry: Rotation Long: AVGO/META green, NVDA red, AVGO near 20d high (META@1d) (4 conditions)
  • Exit: Time Stop: Exit After 10 Days (1 condition)
  • Exit: Stop Loss: 5% Below Entry (AVGO) (1 condition)

Shared strategy rules

Rule configuration

{
  "data_dependencies": [
    {
      "symbol": "STOCK:AVGO",
      "timeframe": "1d"
    },
    {
      "symbol": "STOCK:META",
      "timeframe": "1d"
    },
    {
      "symbol": "STOCK:NVDA",
      "timeframe": "1d"
    }
  ],
  "entry_rules": [
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "field": "open",
            "type": "price"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:META",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:META",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "open",
            "type": "price"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:NVDA",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:NVDA",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "open",
            "type": "price"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:AVGO",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "upper",
            "indicator": {
              "name": "donchian",
              "period": 20
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_1_avgo",
      "name": "Rotation Long: AVGO/META green, NVDA red, AVGO near 20d high (AVGO@1d)",
      "priority": 2,
      "trade_symbol": "STOCK:AVGO"
    },
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "field": "open",
            "type": "price"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:AVGO",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:AVGO",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "open",
            "type": "price"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:NVDA",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:NVDA",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "open",
            "type": "price"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:AVGO",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:AVGO",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "upper",
            "indicator": {
              "name": "donchian",
              "period": 20
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_1_meta",
      "name": "Rotation Long: AVGO/META green, NVDA red, AVGO near 20d high (META@1d)",
      "priority": 3,
      "trade_symbol": "STOCK:META"
    }
  ],
  "exit_rules": [
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "holding_period_bars",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 10
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_time_10d",
      "name": "Time Stop: Exit After 10 Days",
      "priority": 10,
      "purpose": "signal"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": -5
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_stop_avgo",
      "name": "Stop Loss: 5% Below Entry (AVGO)",
      "priority": 11,
      "purpose": "stop_loss",
      "target_symbol": "STOCK:AVGO"
    }
  ],
  "position_sizing": {
    "max_position_percent": 25,
    "method": {
      "risk_percent": 2.3503,
      "support_stop_rank": 1,
      "type": "fixed_risk"
    },
    "min_position_value": 100
  },
  "trigger_timeframe": "1d",
  "version": 2
}

Indicator configuration

{
  "indicators": [
    {
      "name": "donchian",
      "period": 20
    },
    {
      "name": "adx",
      "period": 14
    },
    {
      "name": "donchian",
      "period": 20
    },
    {
      "name": "adx",
      "period": 14
    },
    {
      "name": "donchian",
      "period": 20
    },
    {
      "name": "adx",
      "period": 14
    },
    {
      "name": "donchian",
      "period": 20
    },
    {
      "name": "adx",
      "period": 14
    }
  ]
}

Parsed strategy

{
  "data_dependencies": [
    {
      "symbol": "STOCK:AVGO",
      "timeframe": "1d"
    },
    {
      "symbol": "STOCK:META",
      "timeframe": "1d"
    },
    {
      "symbol": "STOCK:NVDA",
      "timeframe": "1d"
    }
  ],
  "entry_rules": [
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "field": "open",
            "type": "price"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:META",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:META",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "open",
            "type": "price"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:NVDA",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:NVDA",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "open",
            "type": "price"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:AVGO",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "upper",
            "indicator": {
              "name": "donchian",
              "period": 20
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_1_avgo",
      "name": "Rotation Long: AVGO/META green, NVDA red, AVGO near 20d high (AVGO@1d)",
      "priority": 2,
      "trade_symbol": "STOCK:AVGO"
    },
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "field": "open",
            "type": "price"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:AVGO",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:AVGO",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "open",
            "type": "price"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:NVDA",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:NVDA",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "open",
            "type": "price"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:AVGO",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:AVGO",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "upper",
            "indicator": {
              "name": "donchian",
              "period": 20
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_1_meta",
      "name": "Rotation Long: AVGO/META green, NVDA red, AVGO near 20d high (META@1d)",
      "priority": 3,
      "trade_symbol": "STOCK:META"
    }
  ],
  "exit_rules": [
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "holding_period_bars",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 10
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_time_10d",
      "name": "Time Stop: Exit After 10 Days",
      "priority": 10,
      "purpose": "signal"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": -5
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_stop_avgo",
      "name": "Stop Loss: 5% Below Entry (AVGO)",
      "priority": 11,
      "purpose": "stop_loss",
      "target_symbol": "STOCK:AVGO"
    }
  ],
  "position_sizing": {
    "max_position_percent": 25,
    "method": {
      "risk_percent": 2.3503,
      "support_stop_rank": 1,
      "type": "fixed_risk"
    },
    "min_position_value": 100
  },
  "trigger_timeframe": "1d",
  "version": 2
}

Strategy instructions

Trading agent generated from recommendation idea 'Apple and Meta pivot to custom chips as Nvidia delays — long the alternatives'. Thesis: Apple's massive $30 billion deal with Broadcom for custom chips and Meta's successful deployment of its own AI silicon show that the largest tech companies are actively diversifying away from Nvidia's expensive ecosystem. Simultaneously, Yahoo Finance reports that a circuit board problem has delayed Nvidia's next AI system until 2028, creating a multi-year opening for competitors. This combination of Big Tech seeking cheaper alternatives and Nvidia stumbling in production creates a strong fundamental tailwind for alternative chip suppliers like Broadcom.

Performance

No trade count, win rate, or realized P&L figures are provided in this public preview. The thesis and shared rules do not establish a performance record.

What this public preview can establish

  • The dated rule snapshot above shows the conditions evaluated at that time. It does not prove a current trigger or executed trade.
  • Technical strategy fields are shared above. Inspect the actual conditions and check when they were evaluated before relying on them.
  • No trade count, win rate, or P&L figure is published in this preview. It cannot establish a performance record.

Explore

How CommonQuant researches and tests strategies · Public paper-trading record and its limits · Discover public strategies