California diesel prices surging from the Iran conflict shows real-world energy
Created
Thesis
California diesel prices surging from the Iran conflict shows real-world energy inflation is biting hard, and companies that supply the gases and chemicals used in refining and manufacturing have pricing power in that environment. Linde — a major supplier of industrial gases — just had its stock slide to the worst day in over a year despite solid fundamentals, which CNBC itself flagged as a gift. Meanwhile, GM outpacing Ford in the same high-cost environment proves that well-run industrial companies can absorb rising input costs and still deliver, reinforcing that the sell-off in quality industrials is driven by fear, not broken business models. When energy-driven input costs are rising but a fundamentally strong industrial name sells off anyway, that gap between price and reality is a cla
Markets and timeframes
Latest published rule evaluation
Evaluated . This is a dated rule snapshot, not a live price or trade execution confirmation.
DBE · 1d
6 of 9 published entry conditions marked met.
- RSI (14) below 35 — far
- ADX (14) below 25 — met
- Price above Bollinger (20) — met
- RSI (14) below 35 — far
- ADX (14) below 25 — met
- Price above Bollinger (20) — met
- RSI (14) below 35 — far
- ADX (14) below 25 — met
- Price above Bollinger (20) — met
- RSI (14) above 65 — far
- RSI (14) above 65 — far
- RSI (14) above 65 — far
LIN · 1d
3 of 9 published entry conditions marked met.
- RSI (14) below 35 — met
- ADX (14) below 25 — far
- Price above Bollinger (20) — far
- RSI (14) below 35 — met
- ADX (14) below 25 — far
- Price above Bollinger (20) — far
- RSI (14) below 35 — met
- ADX (14) below 25 — far
- Price above Bollinger (20) — far
- RSI (14) above 65 — far
- RSI (14) above 65 — far
- RSI (14) above 65 — far
Entry and exit at a glance
These are the named rules in the shared configuration. Review the full conditions below before using a strategy.
- Entry: Oversold RSI/ADX/BB Long (LIN@1d) (4 conditions)
- Entry: Oversold RSI/ADX/BB Long (DBE@1d) (4 conditions)
- Entry: Oversold RSI/ADX/BB Long (APD@1d) (4 conditions)
- Entry: Oversold RSI/ADX/BB Long (GM@1d) (4 conditions)
- Exit: Position Exit Rule (LIN@1d) (2 conditions)
- Exit: Position Exit Rule (LIN@1d) (2 conditions)
- Exit: Position Exit Rule (LIN@1d) (2 conditions)
- Exit: Position Exit Rule (LIN@1d) (2 conditions)
- Exit: TP: Fib Extension 127.2% (LIN@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: TP: Fib Extension 127.2% (DBE@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: TP: Fib Extension 127.2% (APD@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: TP: Fib Extension 127.2% (GM@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: SL: Below Support[2] (LIN@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: SL: Below Support[2] (DBE@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: SL: Below Support[2] (APD@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: SL: Below Support[2] (GM@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: Stop Loss at 2.3% (1 condition)
- Exit: Take Profit at 4.7% (1 condition)
- Exit: SL: Fib Retracement 78.6% (LIN@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: SL: Fib Retracement 78.6% (DBE@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: SL: Fib Retracement 78.6% (APD@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: SL: Fib Retracement 78.6% (GM@1d) (1 condition)
Shared strategy rules
Rule configuration
{
"data_dependencies": [
{
"symbol": "STOCK:LIN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
"symbol": "STOCK:DBE",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
"symbol": "STOCK:APD",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
"symbol": "STOCK:GM",
"timeframe": "1d"
}
],
"entry_rules": [
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:LIN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 35
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:LIN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 25
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:LIN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:LIN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "bollinger_bands",
"period": 20,
"std_dev": 2
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:LIN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "low",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_lin",
"name": "Oversold RSI/ADX/BB Long (LIN@1d)",
"priority": 1,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:LIN"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:LIN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 35
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:LIN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 25
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:LIN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:LIN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "bollinger_bands",
"period": 20,
"std_dev": 2
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:LIN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "low",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_dbe",
"name": "Oversold RSI/ADX/BB Long (DBE@1d)",
"priority": 2,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:DBE"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:LIN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 35
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:LIN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 25
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:LIN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:LIN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "bollinger_bands",
"period": 20,
"std_dev": 2
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:LIN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "low",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_apd",
"name": "Oversold RSI/ADX/BB Long (APD@1d)",
"priority": 3,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:APD"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:LIN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 35
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:LIN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 25
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:LIN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:LIN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "bollinger_bands",
"period": 20,
"std_dev": 2
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:LIN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "low",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_gm",
"name": "Oversold RSI/ADX/BB Long (GM@1d)",
"priority": 4,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:GM"
}
],
"exit_rules": [
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:LIN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 65
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "holding_period_bars",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 40
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1_lin",
"name": "Position Exit Rule (LIN@1d)",
"priority": 1,
"purpose": "signal",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:LIN"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:LIN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 65
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "holding_period_bars",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 40
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1_dbe",
"name": "Position Exit Rule (LIN@1d)",
"priority": 2,
"purpose": "signal",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:DBE"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:LIN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 65
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "holding_period_bars",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 40
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1_apd",
"name": "Position Exit Rule (LIN@1d)",
"priority": 3,
"purpose": "signal",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:APD"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:LIN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 65
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "holding_period_bars",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 40
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1_gm",
"name": "Position Exit Rule (LIN@1d)",
"priority": 4,
"purpose": "signal",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:GM"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:LIN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:LIN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"ratio": 1272,
"type": "fibonacci_extension"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2_lin",
"name": "TP: Fib Extension 127.2% (LIN@1d)",
"priority": 96,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:LIN"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:DBE",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:DBE",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"ratio": 1272,
"type": "fibonacci_extension"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2_dbe",
"name": "TP: Fib Extension 127.2% (DBE@1d)",
"priority": 97,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:DBE"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:APD",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:APD",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"ratio": 1272,
"type": "fibonacci_extension"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2_apd",
"name": "TP: Fib Extension 127.2% (APD@1d)",
"priority": 98,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:APD"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:GM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:GM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"ratio": 1272,
"type": "fibonacci_extension"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2_gm",
"name": "TP: Fib Extension 127.2% (GM@1d)",
"priority": 99,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:GM"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:LIN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"rank": 2,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3_lin",
"name": "SL: Below Support[2] (LIN@1d)",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:LIN"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:DBE",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"rank": 2,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3_dbe",
"name": "SL: Below Support[2] (DBE@1d)",
"priority": 101,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:DBE"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:APD",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"rank": 2,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3_apd",
"name": "SL: Below Support[2] (APD@1d)",
"priority": 102,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:APD"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:GM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"rank": 2,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3_gm",
"name": "SL: Below Support[2] (GM@1d)",
"priority": 103,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:GM"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -2.3365
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_4",
"name": "Stop Loss at 2.3%",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 4.673
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_5",
"name": "Take Profit at 4.7%",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "take_profit"
},
{
"applies_to": "long",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:LIN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:LIN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"ratio": 786,
"type": "fibonacci_retracement"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_6_lin",
"name": "SL: Fib Retracement 78.6% (LIN@1d)",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:LIN"
},
{
"applies_to": "long",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:DBE",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:DBE",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"ratio": 786,
"type": "fibonacci_retracement"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_6_dbe",
"name": "SL: Fib Retracement 78.6% (DBE@1d)",
"priority": 101,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:DBE"
},
{
"applies_to": "long",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:APD",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:APD",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"ratio": 786,
"type": "fibonacci_retracement"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_6_apd",
"name": "SL: Fib Retracement 78.6% (APD@1d)",
"priority": 102,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:APD"
},
{
"applies_to": "long",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:GM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:GM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"ratio": 786,
"type": "fibonacci_retracement"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_6_gm",
"name": "SL: Fib Retracement 78.6% (GM@1d)",
"priority": 103,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:GM"
}
],
"position_sizing": {
"max_position_percent": 25,
"method": {
"fib_stop_ratio": 786,
"risk_percent": 2.3365,
"type": "fixed_risk"
},
"min_position_value": 100
},
"trigger_timeframe": "1d",
"version": 1
}Indicator configuration
{
"indicators": [
{
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
{
"name": "bollinger_bands",
"period": 20,
"std_dev": 2
},
{
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
{
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
{
"name": "bollinger_bands",
"period": 20,
"std_dev": 2
},
{
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
{
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
{
"name": "bollinger_bands",
"period": 20,
"std_dev": 2
},
{
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
{
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
{
"name": "bollinger_bands",
"period": 20,
"std_dev": 2
},
{
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
}
]
}Parsed strategy
{
"data_dependencies": [
{
"symbol": "STOCK:LIN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
"symbol": "STOCK:DBE",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
"symbol": "STOCK:APD",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
"symbol": "STOCK:GM",
"timeframe": "1d"
}
],
"entry_rules": [
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:LIN",
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}Strategy instructions
Trading agent generated from recommendation idea 'California diesel prices surging from the Iran conflict shows real-world energy inflation is biting hard, and companies that supply the gases and chemicals used in refining and manufacturing have pricing power in that environment. Linde — a major supplier'. Thesis: California diesel prices surging from the Iran conflict shows real-world energy inflation is biting hard, and companies that supply the gases and chemicals used in refining and manufacturing have pricing power in that environment. Linde — a major supplier of industrial gases — just had its stock slide to the worst day in over a year despite solid fundamentals, which CNBC itself flagged as a gift. Meanwhile, GM outpacing Ford in the same high-cost environment proves that well-run industrial companies can absorb rising input costs and still deliver, reinforcing that the sell-off in quality industrials is driven by fear, not broken business models. When energy-driven input costs are rising but a fundamentally strong industrial name sells off anyway, that gap between price and reality is a cla
Performance
No trade count, win rate, or realized P&L figures are provided in this public preview. The thesis and shared rules do not establish a performance record.
What this public preview can establish
- The dated rule snapshot above shows the conditions evaluated at that time. It does not prove a current trigger or executed trade.
- Technical strategy fields are shared above. Inspect the actual conditions and check when they were evaluated before relying on them.
- No trade count, win rate, or P&L figure is published in this preview. It cannot establish a performance record.
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