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Public trading strategy

BTC Flow-Rotation Pullback (Wait for Support) Strategy

Created

Thesis

Bitcoin ETFs have swung from $5.8 billion of net withdrawals to $800 million of net inflows, showing large institutions are putting money back into crypto through regulated products. At the same time, Turkey's fund crisis is hammering smaller, illiquid stocks, so risk capital that once chased niche equity exposure is being pulled from fragile corners of the market. That combination — institutional inflows into crypto alongside stress in riskier equity pockets — suggests Bitcoin is re-emerging as a preferred home for speculative money. A short-term long bias on Bitcoin or its ETF proxies captures this flow rotation.

Strategy approach

Bitcoin ETFs have swung from $5.8 billion of net withdrawals to $800 million of net inflows, showing large institutions are putting money back into crypto through regulated products. At the same time, Turkey's fund crisis is hammering smaller, illiquid stocks, so risk capital that once chased niche equity exposure is being pulled from fragile corners of the market. That combination — institutional inflows into crypto alongside stress in riskier equity pockets — suggests Bitcoin is re-emerging as a preferred home for speculative money. A short-term long bias on Bitcoin or its ETF proxies captures this flow rotation. Decision analysis profile: value. Required dimensions: valuation_method, valuation_sensitivity, business_economics, cash_quality, balance_sheet_leverage,…

Markets and timeframes

Latest published rule evaluation

Evaluated . This is a dated rule snapshot, not a live price or trade execution confirmation.

BTC · 1d

2 of 8 published entry conditions marked met.

  • Price crossed above Bollinger (20) — far
  • RSI (14) below 45 — far
  • MACD (12,26,9) crossed above MACD (12,26,9) — near
  • Price above EMA (50) — met
  • Price crossed above Bollinger (20) — far
  • RSI (14) below 45 — far
  • MACD (12,26,9) crossed above MACD (12,26,9) — near
  • Price above EMA (50) — met
  • RSI (14) above 70 — far

COIN · 1d

No entry condition values were published.

IBIT · 1d

2 of 8 published entry conditions marked met.

  • Price crossed above Bollinger (20) — far
  • RSI (14) below 45 — far
  • MACD (12,26,9) crossed above MACD (12,26,9) — near
  • Price above EMA (50) — met
  • Price crossed above Bollinger (20) — far
  • RSI (14) below 45 — far
  • MACD (12,26,9) crossed above MACD (12,26,9) — near
  • Price above EMA (50) — met
  • RSI (14) above 70 — near

Entry and exit at a glance

These are the named rules in the shared configuration. Review the full conditions below before using a strategy.

  • Entry: BB/RSI/MACD/EMA Crossover Long (BTC@1d) (4 conditions)
  • Entry: BB/RSI/MACD/EMA Crossover Long (IBIT@1d) (4 conditions)
  • Entry: BB/RSI/MACD/EMA Crossover Long (BTC@1d) (4 conditions)
  • Entry: BB/RSI/MACD/EMA Crossover Long (IBIT@1d) (4 conditions)
  • Entry: Long Entry Signal (BTC@1d) (2 conditions)
  • Entry: Long Entry Signal (IBIT@1d) (2 conditions)
  • Exit: Overbought RSI Exit (BTC@1d) (2 conditions)
  • Exit: Overbought RSI Exit (IBIT@1d) (2 conditions)
  • Exit: TP: Fib Extension 127.2% (BTC@1d) (1 condition)
  • Exit: TP: Fib Extension 127.2% (IBIT@1d) (1 condition)
  • Exit: SL: Below Support[2] (BTC@1d) (1 condition)
  • Exit: SL: Below Support[2] (IBIT@1d) (1 condition)
  • Exit: Stop Loss at 2.3% (1 condition)
  • Exit: Take Profit at 4.7% (1 condition)

Shared strategy rules

Rule configuration

{
  "data_dependencies": [
    {
      "symbol": "CRYPTO:BTC",
      "timeframe": "1d"
    },
    {
      "symbol": "STOCK:IBIT",
      "timeframe": "1d"
    }
  ],
  "entry_rules": [
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "CRYPTO:BTC",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_above",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "CRYPTO:BTC",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "lower",
            "indicator": {
              "name": "bollinger_bands",
              "period": 20,
              "std_dev": 2
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "CRYPTO:BTC",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "rsi",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 45
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "CRYPTO:BTC",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "line",
            "indicator": {
              "fast": 12,
              "name": "macd",
              "signal": 9,
              "slow": 26
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_above",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "CRYPTO:BTC",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "signal",
            "indicator": {
              "fast": 12,
              "name": "macd",
              "signal": 9,
              "slow": 26
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "CRYPTO:BTC",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "CRYPTO:BTC",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "ema",
              "period": 50
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_1_btc",
      "name": "BB/RSI/MACD/EMA Crossover Long (BTC@1d)",
      "priority": 1,
      "trade_symbol": "CRYPTO:BTC"
    },
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:IBIT",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_above",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:IBIT",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "lower",
            "indicator": {
              "name": "bollinger_bands",
              "period": 20,
              "std_dev": 2
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:IBIT",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "rsi",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 45
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:IBIT",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "line",
            "indicator": {
              "fast": 12,
              "name": "macd",
              "signal": 9,
              "slow": 26
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_above",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:IBIT",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "signal",
            "indicator": {
              "fast": 12,
              "name": "macd",
              "signal": 9,
              "slow": 26
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:IBIT",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:IBIT",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "ema",
              "period": 50
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_1_ibit",
      "name": "BB/RSI/MACD/EMA Crossover Long (IBIT@1d)",
      "priority": 2,
      "trade_symbol": "STOCK:IBIT"
    },
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "CRYPTO:BTC",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_above",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "CRYPTO:BTC",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "lower",
            "indicator": {
              "name": "bollinger_bands",
              "period": 20,
              "std_dev": 2
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "CRYPTO:BTC",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "rsi",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 45
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "CRYPTO:BTC",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "line",
            "indicator": {
              "fast": 12,
              "name": "macd",
              "signal": 9,
              "slow": 26
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_above",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "CRYPTO:BTC",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "signal",
            "indicator": {
              "fast": 12,
              "name": "macd",
              "signal": 9,
              "slow": 26
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "CRYPTO:BTC",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "CRYPTO:BTC",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "ema",
              "period": 50
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_2_btc",
      "name": "BB/RSI/MACD/EMA Crossover Long (BTC@1d)",
      "priority": 2,
      "trade_symbol": "CRYPTO:BTC"
    },
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:IBIT",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_above",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:IBIT",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "lower",
            "indicator": {
              "name": "bollinger_bands",
              "period": 20,
              "std_dev": 2
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:IBIT",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "rsi",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 45
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:IBIT",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "line",
            "indicator": {
              "fast": 12,
              "name": "macd",
              "signal": 9,
              "slow": 26
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_above",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:IBIT",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "signal",
            "indicator": {
              "fast": 12,
              "name": "macd",
              "signal": 9,
              "slow": 26
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:IBIT",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:IBIT",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "ema",
              "period": 50
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_2_ibit",
      "name": "BB/RSI/MACD/EMA Crossover Long (IBIT@1d)",
      "priority": 3,
      "trade_symbol": "STOCK:IBIT"
    },
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "CRYPTO:BTC",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "low",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "CRYPTO:BTC",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "ratio": 618,
            "type": "fibonacci_retracement"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "CRYPTO:BTC",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "CRYPTO:BTC",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "ratio": 618,
            "type": "fibonacci_retracement"
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_3_btc",
      "name": "Long Entry Signal (BTC@1d)",
      "priority": 2,
      "trade_symbol": "CRYPTO:BTC"
    },
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:IBIT",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "low",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:IBIT",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "ratio": 618,
            "type": "fibonacci_retracement"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:IBIT",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:IBIT",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "ratio": 618,
            "type": "fibonacci_retracement"
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_3_ibit",
      "name": "Long Entry Signal (IBIT@1d)",
      "priority": 3,
      "trade_symbol": "STOCK:IBIT"
    }
  ],
  "exit_rules": [
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "CRYPTO:BTC",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "rsi",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 70
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "holding_period_bars",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 60
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_1_btc",
      "name": "Overbought RSI Exit (BTC@1d)",
      "priority": 1,
      "purpose": "signal",
      "target_symbol": "CRYPTO:BTC"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:IBIT",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "rsi",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 70
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "holding_period_bars",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 60
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_1_ibit",
      "name": "Overbought RSI Exit (IBIT@1d)",
      "priority": 2,
      "purpose": "signal",
      "target_symbol": "STOCK:IBIT"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "CRYPTO:BTC",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "CRYPTO:BTC",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "ratio": 1272,
            "type": "fibonacci_extension"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_2_btc",
      "name": "TP: Fib Extension 127.2% (BTC@1d)",
      "priority": 96,
      "purpose": "take_profit",
      "target_symbol": "CRYPTO:BTC"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:IBIT",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:IBIT",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "ratio": 1272,
            "type": "fibonacci_extension"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_2_ibit",
      "name": "TP: Fib Extension 127.2% (IBIT@1d)",
      "priority": 97,
      "purpose": "take_profit",
      "target_symbol": "STOCK:IBIT"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "CRYPTO:BTC",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_above",
          "right": {
            "rank": 2,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_3_btc",
      "name": "SL: Below Support[2] (BTC@1d)",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "stop_loss",
      "target_symbol": "CRYPTO:BTC"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:IBIT",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_above",
          "right": {
            "rank": 2,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_3_ibit",
      "name": "SL: Below Support[2] (IBIT@1d)",
      "priority": 101,
      "purpose": "stop_loss",
      "target_symbol": "STOCK:IBIT"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": -2.327272727272727
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_4",
      "name": "Stop Loss at 2.3%",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "stop_loss"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 4.654545454545454
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_5",
      "name": "Take Profit at 4.7%",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "take_profit"
    }
  ],
  "position_sizing": {
    "max_position_percent": 25,
    "method": {
      "risk_percent": 2.327272727272727,
      "support_stop_rank": 2,
      "type": "fixed_risk"
    },
    "min_position_value": 100
  },
  "trigger_timeframe": "1d",
  "version": 1
}

Indicator configuration

{
  "indicators": [
    {
      "name": "bollinger_bands",
      "period": 20,
      "std_dev": 2
    },
    {
      "name": "rsi",
      "period": 14
    },
    {
      "fast": 12,
      "name": "macd",
      "signal": 9,
      "slow": 26
    },
    {
      "name": "ema",
      "period": 50
    },
    {
      "name": "bollinger_bands",
      "period": 20,
      "std_dev": 2
    },
    {
      "name": "rsi",
      "period": 14
    },
    {
      "fast": 12,
      "name": "macd",
      "signal": 9,
      "slow": 26
    },
    {
      "name": "ema",
      "period": 50
    }
  ]
}

Parsed strategy

{
  "data_dependencies": [
    {
      "symbol": "CRYPTO:BTC",
      "timeframe": "1d"
    },
    {
      "symbol": "STOCK:IBIT",
      "timeframe": "1d"
    }
  ],
  "entry_rules": [
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "CRYPTO:BTC",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_above",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "CRYPTO:BTC",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "lower",
            "indicator": {
              "name": "bollinger_bands",
              "period": 20,
              "std_dev": 2
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "CRYPTO:BTC",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "rsi",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 45
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
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      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_5",
      "name": "Take Profit at 4.7%",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "take_profit"
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  "position_sizing": {
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    "min_position_value": 100
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  "trigger_timeframe": "1d",
  "version": 1
}

Strategy instructions

Trading agent generated from recommendation idea 'Bitcoin ETFs have swung from $5.8 billion of net withdrawals to $800 million of net inflows, showing large institutions are putting money back into crypto through regulated products. At the same time, Turkey's fund crisis is hammering smaller, illiquid st'. Thesis: Bitcoin ETFs have swung from $5.8 billion of net withdrawals to $800 million of net inflows, showing large institutions are putting money back into crypto through regulated products. At the same time, Turkey's fund crisis is hammering smaller, illiquid stocks, so risk capital that once chased niche equity exposure is being pulled from fragile corners of the market. That combination — institutional inflows into crypto alongside stress in riskier equity pockets — suggests Bitcoin is re-emerging as a preferred home for speculative money. A short-term long bias on Bitcoin or its ETF proxies captures this flow rotation.

Performance

No trade count, win rate, or realized P&L figures are provided in this public preview. The thesis and shared rules do not establish a performance record.

What this public preview can establish

  • The dated rule snapshot above shows the conditions evaluated at that time. It does not prove a current trigger or executed trade.
  • Technical strategy fields are shared above. Inspect the actual conditions and check when they were evaluated before relying on them.
  • No trade count, win rate, or P&L figure is published in this preview. It cannot establish a performance record.

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