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Public trading strategy

Tech rotation is on — Tesla crushes delivery estimates while Nasdaq bleeds

Created

Thesis

Tesla just reported 480,126 deliveries, easily beating Wall Street estimates. Meanwhile, the overall market is showing a major split: the Dow hit a record high while the Nasdaq fell again as chipmakers and expensive tech stocks struggle. The weak jobs report further dims the threat of Federal Reserve rate hikes, which historically benefits consumer-facing and industrial companies. Tesla sits right at the intersection of this rotation. It has strong fundamental news (deliveries) and is poised to benefit from the market's shift away from overheated AI stocks back toward consumer and industrial names.

Strategy approach

Build a rule-based strategy that enters long TSLA on the D1 timeframe following a positive delivery announcement (price closes up >3% on high volume) while the Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) closes red for the day. Enter on the next open. Exit on a 10% trailing stop or if the stock makes a 15-day high without the broader market confirming.

Markets and timeframes

Latest published rule evaluation

Evaluated . This is a dated rule snapshot, not a live price or trade execution confirmation.

TSLA · 1d

4 of 10 published entry conditions marked met.

  • ROC (1) above 3 — far
  • OBV above 0 — unknown
  • ROC (1) below 0 — met
  • ADX (14) above 25 — met
  • Price above SMA (5) — near
  • ROC (1) above 3 — far
  • OBV above 0 — unknown
  • ROC (1) below 0 — met
  • ADX (14) above 25 — met
  • Price above SMA (5) — near
  • Price above Donchian (15) — met
  • Price below Donchian (15) — near
  • Price above Donchian (15) — met
  • Price below Donchian (15) — near

Entry and exit at a glance

These are the named rules in the shared configuration. Review the full conditions below before using a strategy.

  • Entry: ROC/OBV/ADX/SMA Signal Long (TSLA@1d) (5 conditions)
  • Entry: ROC/OBV/ADX/SMA Signal Long (QQQ@1d) (5 conditions)
  • Exit: Position Exit Rule (TSLA@1d) (2 conditions)
  • Exit: Position Exit Rule (QQQ@1d) (2 conditions)
  • Exit: TP: Near Resistance[1] (TSLA@1d) (1 condition)
  • Exit: SL: Below Support[2] (TSLA@1d) (1 condition)
  • Exit: Stop Loss at 2.5% (1 condition)
  • Exit: Take Profit at 5.0% (1 condition)

Shared strategy rules

Rule configuration

{
  "data_dependencies": [
    {
      "symbol": "TSLA",
      "timeframe": "1d"
    },
    {
      "symbol": "QQQ",
      "timeframe": "1d"
    }
  ],
  "entry_rules": [
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "TSLA",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "roc",
              "period": 1
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 3
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "TSLA",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "obv"
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 0
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "TSLA",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "roc",
              "period": 1
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 0
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "TSLA",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "adx",
            "indicator": {
              "name": "adx",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 25
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "open",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "TSLA",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "sma",
              "period": 5
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_1_tsla",
      "name": "ROC/OBV/ADX/SMA Signal Long (TSLA@1d)",
      "priority": 1,
      "trade_symbol": "TSLA"
    },
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "QQQ",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "roc",
              "period": 1
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 3
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "QQQ",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "obv"
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 0
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "QQQ",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "roc",
              "period": 1
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 0
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "QQQ",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "adx",
            "indicator": {
              "name": "adx",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 25
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "open",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "QQQ",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "sma",
              "period": 5
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_1_qqq",
      "name": "ROC/OBV/ADX/SMA Signal Long (QQQ@1d)",
      "priority": 2,
      "trade_symbol": "QQQ"
    }
  ],
  "exit_rules": [
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "TSLA",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "upper",
            "indicator": {
              "name": "donchian",
              "period": 15
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "TSLA",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "upper",
            "indicator": {
              "name": "donchian",
              "period": 15
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_1_tsla",
      "name": "Position Exit Rule (TSLA@1d)",
      "priority": 1,
      "purpose": "signal",
      "target_symbol": "TSLA"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "QQQ",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "upper",
            "indicator": {
              "name": "donchian",
              "period": 15
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "QQQ",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "upper",
            "indicator": {
              "name": "donchian",
              "period": 15
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_1_qqq",
      "name": "Position Exit Rule (QQQ@1d)",
      "priority": 2,
      "purpose": "signal",
      "target_symbol": "QQQ"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "resistance_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_2",
      "name": "TP: Near Resistance[1] (TSLA@1d)",
      "priority": 97,
      "purpose": "take_profit",
      "target_symbol": "TSLA"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_above",
          "right": {
            "rank": 2,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_3",
      "name": "SL: Below Support[2] (TSLA@1d)",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "stop_loss",
      "target_symbol": "TSLA"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": -2.518466666666667
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_4",
      "name": "Stop Loss at 2.5%",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "stop_loss"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 5.036933333333334
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_5",
      "name": "Take Profit at 5.0%",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "take_profit"
    }
  ],
  "position_sizing": {
    "max_position_percent": 25,
    "method": {
      "risk_percent": 2.518466666666667,
      "support_stop_rank": 2,
      "type": "fixed_risk"
    },
    "min_position_value": 100
  },
  "trigger_timeframe": "1d",
  "version": 1
}

Indicator configuration

{
  "indicators": [
    {
      "name": "roc",
      "period": 1
    },
    {
      "name": "obv"
    },
    {
      "name": "adx",
      "period": 14
    },
    {
      "name": "donchian",
      "period": 15
    },
    {
      "name": "sma",
      "period": 5
    },
    {
      "name": "roc",
      "period": 1
    },
    {
      "name": "obv"
    },
    {
      "name": "adx",
      "period": 14
    },
    {
      "name": "donchian",
      "period": 15
    },
    {
      "name": "sma",
      "period": 5
    }
  ]
}

Parsed strategy

{
  "data_dependencies": [
    {
      "symbol": "TSLA",
      "timeframe": "1d"
    },
    {
      "symbol": "QQQ",
      "timeframe": "1d"
    }
  ],
  "entry_rules": [
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "TSLA",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "roc",
              "period": 1
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 3
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "TSLA",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "obv"
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 0
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "TSLA",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "roc",
              "period": 1
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 0
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "TSLA",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "adx",
            "indicator": {
              "name": "adx",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 25
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "open",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "TSLA",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "sma",
              "period": 5
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_1_tsla",
      "name": "ROC/OBV/ADX/SMA Signal Long (TSLA@1d)",
      "priority": 1,
      "trade_symbol": "TSLA"
    },
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "QQQ",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "roc",
              "period": 1
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 3
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "QQQ",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "obv"
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 0
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "QQQ",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "roc",
              "period": 1
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 0
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "QQQ",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "adx",
            "indicator": {
              "name": "adx",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 25
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "open",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "QQQ",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "sma",
              "period": 5
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_1_qqq",
      "name": "ROC/OBV/ADX/SMA Signal Long (QQQ@1d)",
      "priority": 2,
      "trade_symbol": "QQQ"
    }
  ],
  "exit_rules": [
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "TSLA",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "upper",
            "indicator": {
              "name": "donchian",
              "period": 15
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "TSLA",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "upper",
            "indicator": {
              "name": "donchian",
              "period": 15
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_1_tsla",
      "name": "Position Exit Rule (TSLA@1d)",
      "priority": 1,
      "purpose": "signal",
      "target_symbol": "TSLA"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "QQQ",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "upper",
            "indicator": {
              "name": "donchian",
              "period": 15
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "QQQ",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "upper",
            "indicator": {
              "name": "donchian",
              "period": 15
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_1_qqq",
      "name": "Position Exit Rule (QQQ@1d)",
      "priority": 2,
      "purpose": "signal",
      "target_symbol": "QQQ"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "resistance_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_2",
      "name": "TP: Near Resistance[1] (TSLA@1d)",
      "priority": 97,
      "purpose": "take_profit",
      "target_symbol": "TSLA"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_above",
          "right": {
            "rank": 2,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_3",
      "name": "SL: Below Support[2] (TSLA@1d)",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "stop_loss",
      "target_symbol": "TSLA"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": -2.518466666666667
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_4",
      "name": "Stop Loss at 2.5%",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "stop_loss"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 5.036933333333334
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_5",
      "name": "Take Profit at 5.0%",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "take_profit"
    }
  ],
  "position_sizing": {
    "max_position_percent": 25,
    "method": {
      "risk_percent": 2.518466666666667,
      "support_stop_rank": 2,
      "type": "fixed_risk"
    },
    "min_position_value": 100
  },
  "trigger_timeframe": "1d",
  "version": 1
}

Strategy instructions

Trading agent generated from recommendation idea 'Tech rotation is on — Tesla crushes delivery estimates while Nasdaq bleeds'. Thesis: Tesla just reported 480,126 deliveries, easily beating Wall Street estimates. Meanwhile, the overall market is showing a major split: the Dow hit a record high while the Nasdaq fell again as chipmakers and expensive tech stocks struggle. The weak jobs report further dims the threat of Federal Reserve rate hikes, which historically benefits consumer-facing and industrial companies. Tesla sits right at the intersection of this rotation. It has strong fundamental news (deliveries) and is poised to benefit from the market's shift away from overheated AI stocks back toward consumer and industrial names.

Performance

No trade count, win rate, or realized P&L figures are provided in this public preview. The thesis and shared rules do not establish a performance record.

What this public preview can establish

  • The dated rule snapshot above shows the conditions evaluated at that time. It does not prove a current trigger or executed trade.
  • Technical strategy fields are shared above. Inspect the actual conditions and check when they were evaluated before relying on them.
  • No trade count, win rate, or P&L figure is published in this preview. It cannot establish a performance record.

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