Public trading strategy
Memory chip stocks dumped on glut fears — contrarian bounce play on Micron
Created
Thesis
The Yahoo Finance story about SanDisk and Micron sinking on supply-glut fears seems overblown when you cross-reference it with the Bloomberg report that SK Hynix is raising $29 billion in a US listing to compete in 'memory chips used in AI computing.' If one of the world's largest memory makers is betting that big on AI-driven demand, the supply-glut narrative may be exaggerated. Add the fact that Trump publicly praised Micron while personally holding the stock, and you have a setup where the sell-off creates a buying opportunity — political tailwind plus long-term AI demand outweighing short-term supply fears.
Strategy approach
Build a mean-reversion strategy that enters long MU on D1 when the stock drops more than 3% in a single session while the 14-day RSI falls below 35. Exit on a 5% gain or after 10 trading days. Add a secondary entry condition if MU bounces off its 50-day moving average.
Markets and timeframes
Entry and exit at a glance
These are the named rules in the shared configuration. Review the full conditions below before using a strategy.
- Entry: Oversold Mean-Reversion Long (MU@1d) (4 conditions)
- Entry: Oversold Mean-Reversion Long (DELL@1d) (4 conditions)
- Exit: Take Profit at 5.0% (1 condition)
- Exit: TP: Near Resistance[1] (MU@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: TP: Near Resistance[1] (DELL@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: SL: Below Support[2] (MU@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: SL: Below Support[2] (DELL@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: SL: Fib Retracement 78.6% (MU@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: SL: Fib Retracement 78.6% (DELL@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: Stop Loss at 2.4% (1 condition)
Shared strategy rules
Rule configuration
{
"data_dependencies": [
{
"symbol": "STOCK:MU",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
"symbol": "STOCK:DELL",
"timeframe": "1d"
}
],
"entry_rules": [
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:MU",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 35
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -3
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "low",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:MU",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "adx",
"indicator": {
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 30
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_mu",
"name": "Oversold Mean-Reversion Long (MU@1d)",
"priority": 1,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:MU"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:DELL",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 35
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -3
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "low",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:DELL",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "adx",
"indicator": {
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 30
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_dell",
"name": "Oversold Mean-Reversion Long (DELL@1d)",
"priority": 2,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:DELL"
}
],
"exit_rules": [
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 5
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1",
"name": "Take Profit at 5.0%",
"priority": 1,
"purpose": "signal"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "resistance_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2_mu",
"name": "TP: Near Resistance[1] (MU@1d)",
"priority": 97,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:MU"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "resistance_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2_dell",
"name": "TP: Near Resistance[1] (DELL@1d)",
"priority": 98,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:DELL"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"rank": 2,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3_mu",
"name": "SL: Below Support[2] (MU@1d)",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:MU"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"rank": 2,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3_dell",
"name": "SL: Below Support[2] (DELL@1d)",
"priority": 101,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:DELL"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:MU",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"ratio": 786,
"type": "fibonacci_retracement"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_4_mu",
"name": "SL: Fib Retracement 78.6% (MU@1d)",
"priority": 101,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:MU"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:DELL",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"ratio": 786,
"type": "fibonacci_retracement"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_4_dell",
"name": "SL: Fib Retracement 78.6% (DELL@1d)",
"priority": 102,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:DELL"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -2.4121333333333332
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_5",
"name": "Stop Loss at 2.4%",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss"
}
],
"position_sizing": {
"max_position_percent": 25,
"method": {
"fib_stop_ratio": 786,
"risk_percent": 2.4121333333333332,
"type": "fixed_risk"
},
"min_position_value": 100
},
"trigger_timeframe": "1d",
"version": 1
}Indicator configuration
{
"indicators": [
{
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
{
"name": "sma",
"period": 50
},
{
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
{
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
{
"name": "sma",
"period": 50
},
{
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
}
]
}Parsed strategy
{
"data_dependencies": [
{
"symbol": "STOCK:MU",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
"symbol": "STOCK:DELL",
"timeframe": "1d"
}
],
"entry_rules": [
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:MU",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 35
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -3
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "low",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:MU",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "adx",
"indicator": {
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 30
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_mu",
"name": "Oversold Mean-Reversion Long (MU@1d)",
"priority": 1,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:MU"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:DELL",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 35
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -3
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "low",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:DELL",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "adx",
"indicator": {
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 30
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_dell",
"name": "Oversold Mean-Reversion Long (DELL@1d)",
"priority": 2,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:DELL"
}
],
"exit_rules": [
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 5
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1",
"name": "Take Profit at 5.0%",
"priority": 1,
"purpose": "signal"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "resistance_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2_mu",
"name": "TP: Near Resistance[1] (MU@1d)",
"priority": 97,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:MU"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "resistance_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2_dell",
"name": "TP: Near Resistance[1] (DELL@1d)",
"priority": 98,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:DELL"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"rank": 2,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3_mu",
"name": "SL: Below Support[2] (MU@1d)",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:MU"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"rank": 2,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3_dell",
"name": "SL: Below Support[2] (DELL@1d)",
"priority": 101,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:DELL"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:MU",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"ratio": 786,
"type": "fibonacci_retracement"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_4_mu",
"name": "SL: Fib Retracement 78.6% (MU@1d)",
"priority": 101,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:MU"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:DELL",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"ratio": 786,
"type": "fibonacci_retracement"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_4_dell",
"name": "SL: Fib Retracement 78.6% (DELL@1d)",
"priority": 102,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:DELL"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -2.4121333333333332
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_5",
"name": "Stop Loss at 2.4%",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss"
}
],
"position_sizing": {
"max_position_percent": 25,
"method": {
"fib_stop_ratio": 786,
"risk_percent": 2.4121333333333332,
"type": "fixed_risk"
},
"min_position_value": 100
},
"trigger_timeframe": "1d",
"version": 1
}Strategy instructions
Trading agent generated from recommendation idea 'Memory chip stocks dumped on glut fears — contrarian bounce play on Micron'. Thesis: The Yahoo Finance story about SanDisk and Micron sinking on supply-glut fears seems overblown when you cross-reference it with the Bloomberg report that SK Hynix is raising $29 billion in a US listing to compete in 'memory chips used in AI computing.' If one of the world's largest memory makers is betting that big on AI-driven demand, the supply-glut narrative may be exaggerated. Add the fact that Trump publicly praised Micron while personally holding the stock, and you have a setup where the sell-off creates a buying opportunity — political tailwind plus long-term AI demand outweighing short-term supply fears.
Performance
No trade count, win rate, or realized P&L figures are provided in this public preview. The thesis and shared rules do not establish a performance record.
What this public preview can establish
- The thesis and strategy approach describe a market view. They do not show whether an entry or exit condition is currently met.
- Technical strategy fields are shared above. Inspect the actual conditions and check when they were evaluated before relying on them.
- No trade count, win rate, or P&L figure is published in this preview. It cannot establish a performance record.
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