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Public trading strategy

Tech panic meets blowout earnings — catch the bounce in Micron

Created

Thesis

On Monday, a global chip sell-off gripped Wall Street, sending the Nasdaq down 2.4% as investors doubted the AI boom. However, Micron retaliated late Wednesday with a massive earnings beat, revealing that its profit margins had quadrupled and it had locked in $22 billion in new customer deals. As noted in the Bloomberg coverage, this blockbuster forecast immediately triggered a massive overnight rally in US stock futures. Connecting the panic-driven drop to Micron's blowout report creates a classic 'dip-buying' opportunity: the fundamental AI demand story remains fully intact despite the recent market fear.

Strategy approach

Build a rule-based long strategy on MU using the D1 timeframe. Enter when MU gaps up or rallies more than 3% following an earnings release, specifically when the 14-day RSI was below 35 (oversold) prior to the earnings day. Exit if the price closes below the 10-day simple moving average or hold for a maximum of 15 trading days.

Markets and timeframes

Latest published rule evaluation

Evaluated . This is a dated rule snapshot, not a live price or trade execution confirmation.

MU · 1d

2 of 3 published entry conditions marked met.

  • RSI (14) below 35 — met
  • ROC (1) above 3 — far
  • ADX (14) above 20 — met
  • Price below SMA (10) — met

NVDA · 1d

1 of 3 published entry conditions marked met.

  • RSI (14) below 35 — near
  • ROC (1) above 3 — far
  • ADX (14) above 20 — met
  • Price below SMA (10) — met

SMH · 1d

2 of 3 published entry conditions marked met.

  • RSI (14) below 35 — met
  • ROC (1) above 3 — far
  • ADX (14) above 20 — met
  • Price below SMA (10) — met

Entry and exit at a glance

These are the named rules in the shared configuration. Review the full conditions below before using a strategy.

  • Entry: Oversold RSI/ROC/ADX Crossover Long (NVDA@1d) (4 conditions)
  • Exit: Long Exit Rule (NVDA@1d) (1 condition)
  • Exit: Stop Loss at 5.0% (1 condition)
  • Exit: Take Profit at 10.0% (1 condition)
  • Exit: TP: Near Resistance[1] (NVDA@1d) (1 condition)
  • Exit: SL: Fib Retracement 38.2% (NVDA@1d) (1 condition)

Shared strategy rules

Rule configuration

{
  "data_dependencies": [
    {
      "symbol": "NVDA",
      "timeframe": "1d"
    }
  ],
  "entry_rules": [
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "NVDA",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "rsi",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 35
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "NVDA",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "roc",
              "period": 1
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 3
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_above",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "resistance_level"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "NVDA",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "adx",
            "indicator": {
              "name": "adx",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 20
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_1",
      "name": "Oversold RSI/ROC/ADX Crossover Long (NVDA@1d)",
      "priority": 1,
      "trade_symbol": "NVDA"
    }
  ],
  "exit_rules": [
    {
      "applies_to": "long",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "NVDA",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "sma",
              "period": 10
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_1",
      "name": "Long Exit Rule (NVDA@1d)",
      "priority": 1,
      "target_symbol": "NVDA"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": -5
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_2",
      "name": "Stop Loss at 5.0%",
      "priority": 10,
      "purpose": "stop_loss"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 10
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_3",
      "name": "Take Profit at 10.0%",
      "priority": 11,
      "purpose": "take_profit"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "long",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "resistance_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_4",
      "name": "TP: Near Resistance[1] (NVDA@1d)",
      "priority": 97,
      "purpose": "take_profit"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "long",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "NVDA",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "ratio": 382,
            "type": "fibonacci_retracement"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_5",
      "name": "SL: Fib Retracement 38.2% (NVDA@1d)",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "stop_loss"
    }
  ],
  "position_sizing": {
    "max_position_percent": 25,
    "method": {
      "fib_stop_ratio": 382,
      "risk_percent": 2.5010000000000003,
      "type": "fixed_risk"
    },
    "min_position_value": 100
  },
  "trigger_timeframe": "1d",
  "version": 1
}

Indicator configuration

{
  "indicators": [
    {
      "name": "rsi",
      "period": 14
    },
    {
      "name": "sma",
      "period": 10
    },
    {
      "name": "roc",
      "period": 1
    },
    {
      "name": "adx",
      "period": 14
    }
  ]
}

Parsed strategy

{
  "data_dependencies": [
    {
      "symbol": "NVDA",
      "timeframe": "1d"
    }
  ],
  "entry_rules": [
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "NVDA",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "rsi",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 35
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "NVDA",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "roc",
              "period": 1
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 3
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_above",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "resistance_level"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "NVDA",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "adx",
            "indicator": {
              "name": "adx",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 20
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_1",
      "name": "Oversold RSI/ROC/ADX Crossover Long (NVDA@1d)",
      "priority": 1,
      "trade_symbol": "NVDA"
    }
  ],
  "exit_rules": [
    {
      "applies_to": "long",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "NVDA",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "sma",
              "period": 10
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_1",
      "name": "Long Exit Rule (NVDA@1d)",
      "priority": 1,
      "target_symbol": "NVDA"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": -5
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_2",
      "name": "Stop Loss at 5.0%",
      "priority": 10,
      "purpose": "stop_loss"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 10
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_3",
      "name": "Take Profit at 10.0%",
      "priority": 11,
      "purpose": "take_profit"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "long",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "resistance_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_4",
      "name": "TP: Near Resistance[1] (NVDA@1d)",
      "priority": 97,
      "purpose": "take_profit"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "long",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "NVDA",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "ratio": 382,
            "type": "fibonacci_retracement"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_5",
      "name": "SL: Fib Retracement 38.2% (NVDA@1d)",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "stop_loss"
    }
  ],
  "position_sizing": {
    "max_position_percent": 25,
    "method": {
      "fib_stop_ratio": 382,
      "risk_percent": 2.5010000000000003,
      "type": "fixed_risk"
    },
    "min_position_value": 100
  },
  "trigger_timeframe": "1d",
  "version": 1
}

Strategy instructions

Trading agent generated from recommendation idea 'Tech panic meets blowout earnings — catch the bounce in Micron'. Thesis: On Monday, a global chip sell-off gripped Wall Street, sending the Nasdaq down 2.4% as investors doubted the AI boom. However, Micron retaliated late Wednesday with a massive earnings beat, revealing that its profit margins had quadrupled and it had locked in $22 billion in new customer deals. As noted in the Bloomberg coverage, this blockbuster forecast immediately triggered a massive overnight rally in US stock futures. Connecting the panic-driven drop to Micron's blowout report creates a classic 'dip-buying' opportunity: the fundamental AI demand story remains fully intact despite the recent market fear.

Performance

No trade count, win rate, or realized P&L figures are provided in this public preview. The thesis and shared rules do not establish a performance record.

What this public preview can establish

  • The dated rule snapshot above shows the conditions evaluated at that time. It does not prove a current trigger or executed trade.
  • Technical strategy fields are shared above. Inspect the actual conditions and check when they were evaluated before relying on them.
  • No trade count, win rate, or P&L figure is published in this preview. It cannot establish a performance record.

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