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Public trading strategy

AbbVie drops $10.9B on Apogee — trade the pharma buyout ripple effect

Created

Thesis

When a massive buyout like this happens, it puts a spotlight on the entire sector. Investors will often buy up other smaller biotech firms working on similar treatments, hoping they might become the next takeover targets. By looking at other companies in the immunology space, traders can position themselves ahead of this 'halo effect' buying.

Strategy approach

Build a rule-based strategy that enters long ABBV, and other speculative immunology biotech stocks like IOVA or RVMD, on the 1-day timeframe when the stock's volume is greater than 1.5x its 30-day average volume and the price closes above the previous day's high. Exit on a 5% stop loss or a 15% take profit, with a max hold of 21 days.

Markets and timeframes

Entry and exit at a glance

These are the named rules in the shared configuration. Review the full conditions below before using a strategy.

  • Entry: OBV/ADX Crossover Long (ABBV@1d) (4 conditions)
  • Exit: TP: Near Resistance[2] (ABBV@1d) (1 condition)
  • Exit: SL: Below Support[1] (ABBV@1d) (1 condition)
  • Exit: Stop Loss at 2.0% (1 condition)
  • Exit: Take Profit at 4.0% (1 condition)

Shared strategy rules

Rule configuration

{
  "data_dependencies": [
    {
      "symbol": "ABBV",
      "timeframe": "1d"
    }
  ],
  "entry_rules": [
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 0
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "ABBV",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "obv"
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 150
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "ABBV",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "adx",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 20
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_above",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "resistance_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_1",
      "name": "OBV/ADX Crossover Long (ABBV@1d)",
      "priority": 1,
      "trade_symbol": "ABBV"
    }
  ],
  "exit_rules": [
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "rank": 2,
            "type": "resistance_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_1",
      "name": "TP: Near Resistance[2] (ABBV@1d)",
      "priority": 97,
      "purpose": "take_profit",
      "target_symbol": "ABBV"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_above",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_2",
      "name": "SL: Below Support[1] (ABBV@1d)",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "stop_loss",
      "target_symbol": "ABBV"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": -2
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_3",
      "name": "Stop Loss at 2.0%",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "stop_loss"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 4
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_4",
      "name": "Take Profit at 4.0%",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "take_profit"
    }
  ],
  "position_sizing": {
    "max_position_percent": 25,
    "method": {
      "risk_percent": 2,
      "support_stop_rank": 1,
      "type": "fixed_risk"
    },
    "min_position_value": 100
  },
  "trigger_timeframe": "1d",
  "version": 1
}

Indicator configuration

{
  "indicators": [
    {
      "name": "obv"
    },
    {
      "name": "adx",
      "period": 14
    }
  ]
}

Parsed strategy

{
  "data_dependencies": [
    {
      "symbol": "ABBV",
      "timeframe": "1d"
    }
  ],
  "entry_rules": [
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 0
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "ABBV",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "obv"
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 150
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "ABBV",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "adx",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 20
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_above",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "resistance_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_1",
      "name": "OBV/ADX Crossover Long (ABBV@1d)",
      "priority": 1,
      "trade_symbol": "ABBV"
    }
  ],
  "exit_rules": [
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "rank": 2,
            "type": "resistance_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_1",
      "name": "TP: Near Resistance[2] (ABBV@1d)",
      "priority": 97,
      "purpose": "take_profit",
      "target_symbol": "ABBV"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_above",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_2",
      "name": "SL: Below Support[1] (ABBV@1d)",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "stop_loss",
      "target_symbol": "ABBV"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": -2
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_3",
      "name": "Stop Loss at 2.0%",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "stop_loss"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 4
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_4",
      "name": "Take Profit at 4.0%",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "take_profit"
    }
  ],
  "position_sizing": {
    "max_position_percent": 25,
    "method": {
      "risk_percent": 2,
      "support_stop_rank": 1,
      "type": "fixed_risk"
    },
    "min_position_value": 100
  },
  "trigger_timeframe": "1d",
  "version": 1
}

Strategy instructions

Trading agent generated from recommendation idea 'AbbVie drops $10.9B on Apogee — trade the pharma buyout ripple effect'. Thesis: When a massive buyout like this happens, it puts a spotlight on the entire sector. Investors will often buy up other smaller biotech firms working on similar treatments, hoping they might become the next takeover targets. By looking at other companies in the immunology space, traders can position themselves ahead of this 'halo effect' buying.

Performance

No trade count, win rate, or realized P&L figures are provided in this public preview. The thesis and shared rules do not establish a performance record.

What this public preview can establish

  • The thesis and strategy approach describe a market view. They do not show whether an entry or exit condition is currently met.
  • Technical strategy fields are shared above. Inspect the actual conditions and check when they were evaluated before relying on them.
  • No trade count, win rate, or P&L figure is published in this preview. It cannot establish a performance record.

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