Public trading strategy
The Fed's decision to hold rates steady while inflation remains a concern has dr
Created
Thesis
The Fed's decision to hold rates steady while inflation remains a concern has driven the dollar to multi-year lows against major currencies like the yuan. When the world's central bank stops fighting inflation but a major peer like the Bank of England explicitly flags upside inflation risks, it suggests the dollar's decline has room to run as capital flows toward currencies backed by tighter policy. A weakening dollar trend, once established after a major Fed pivot, tends to persist for weeks as positions adjust. Buying an ETF that profits from dollar weakness captures this drift without picking individual currency pairs.
Markets and timeframes
Latest published rule evaluation
Evaluated . This is a dated rule snapshot, not a live price or trade execution confirmation.
UDN · 1d
1 of 4 published entry conditions marked met.
- Price below Donchian (10) — near
- ADX (14) above 25 — met
- EMA (9) below EMA (21) — near
- EMA (21) below EMA (50) — near
- Price above Donchian (10) — met
- Price above Donchian (10) — met
UUP · 1d
No entry condition values were published.
Entry and exit at a glance
These are the named rules in the shared configuration. Review the full conditions below before using a strategy.
- Entry: Donchian Breakdown + ADX Trend Filter + EMA Stack Short (UDN only) (4 conditions)
- Exit: Invalidation: Failed Hold Below Breakdown After 5 Sessions (2 conditions)
- Exit: Time-Stop Exit: Donchian Upper Break After 30 Sessions (2 conditions)
- Exit: TP: Near Support[1] (UDN@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: SL: Above Resistance[2] (UDN@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: Stop Loss at 2.4% (1 condition)
- Exit: Take Profit: Scale-Out Tranche 1 at 3% (1 condition)
- Exit: Take Profit: Scale-Out Tranche 2 at 5% (1 condition)
Shared strategy rules
Rule configuration
{
"data_dependencies": [
{
"symbol": "STOCK:UDN",
"timeframe": "1d"
}
],
"entry_rules": [
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:UDN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:UDN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "lower",
"indicator": {
"name": "donchian",
"period": 10
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:UDN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "adx",
"indicator": {
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 25
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:UDN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 9
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:UDN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 21
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:UDN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 21
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:UDN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 50
},
"type": "indicator"
}
}
],
"direction": "short",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_udn",
"name": "Donchian Breakdown + ADX Trend Filter + EMA Stack Short (UDN only)",
"priority": 1,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:UDN"
}
],
"exit_rules": [
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "holding_period_bars",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 5
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:UDN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:UDN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "lower",
"indicator": {
"name": "donchian",
"period": 10
},
"type": "indicator"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1_udn",
"name": "Invalidation: Failed Hold Below Breakdown After 5 Sessions",
"priority": 1,
"purpose": "signal",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:UDN"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:UDN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:UDN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "upper",
"indicator": {
"name": "donchian",
"period": 10
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "holding_period_bars",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 30
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2_udn",
"name": "Time-Stop Exit: Donchian Upper Break After 30 Sessions",
"priority": 2,
"purpose": "signal",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:UDN"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:UDN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3_udn",
"name": "TP: Near Support[1] (UDN@1d)",
"priority": 97,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:UDN"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:UDN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"rank": 2,
"type": "resistance_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_4_udn",
"name": "SL: Above Resistance[2] (UDN@1d)",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:UDN"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -2.435
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_5",
"name": "Stop Loss at 2.4%",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 3
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_6",
"name": "Take Profit: Scale-Out Tranche 1 at 3%",
"priority": 50,
"purpose": "take_profit"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 5
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_7",
"name": "Take Profit: Scale-Out Tranche 2 at 5%",
"priority": 51,
"purpose": "take_profit"
}
],
"position_sizing": {
"max_position_percent": 25,
"method": {
"risk_percent": 2.435,
"support_stop_rank": 1,
"type": "fixed_risk"
},
"min_position_value": 100
},
"trigger_timeframe": "1d",
"version": 1
}Indicator configuration
{
"indicators": [
{
"name": "donchian",
"period": 10
},
{
"name": "obv"
},
{
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
{
"name": "ema",
"period": 9
},
{
"name": "ema",
"period": 21
},
{
"name": "donchian",
"period": 10
},
{
"name": "obv"
},
{
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
{
"name": "ema",
"period": 9
},
{
"name": "ema",
"period": 21
}
]
}Parsed strategy
{
"data_dependencies": [
{
"symbol": "STOCK:UDN",
"timeframe": "1d"
}
],
"entry_rules": [
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:UDN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:UDN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "lower",
"indicator": {
"name": "donchian",
"period": 10
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:UDN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "adx",
"indicator": {
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 25
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:UDN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 9
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:UDN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 21
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:UDN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 21
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:UDN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 50
},
"type": "indicator"
}
}
],
"direction": "short",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_udn",
"name": "Donchian Breakdown + ADX Trend Filter + EMA Stack Short (UDN only)",
"priority": 1,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:UDN"
}
],
"exit_rules": [
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "holding_period_bars",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 5
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:UDN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:UDN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "lower",
"indicator": {
"name": "donchian",
"period": 10
},
"type": "indicator"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1_udn",
"name": "Invalidation: Failed Hold Below Breakdown After 5 Sessions",
"priority": 1,
"purpose": "signal",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:UDN"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:UDN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:UDN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "upper",
"indicator": {
"name": "donchian",
"period": 10
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "holding_period_bars",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 30
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2_udn",
"name": "Time-Stop Exit: Donchian Upper Break After 30 Sessions",
"priority": 2,
"purpose": "signal",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:UDN"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:UDN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3_udn",
"name": "TP: Near Support[1] (UDN@1d)",
"priority": 97,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:UDN"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:UDN",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"rank": 2,
"type": "resistance_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_4_udn",
"name": "SL: Above Resistance[2] (UDN@1d)",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:UDN"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -2.435
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_5",
"name": "Stop Loss at 2.4%",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 3
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_6",
"name": "Take Profit: Scale-Out Tranche 1 at 3%",
"priority": 50,
"purpose": "take_profit"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 5
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_7",
"name": "Take Profit: Scale-Out Tranche 2 at 5%",
"priority": 51,
"purpose": "take_profit"
}
],
"position_sizing": {
"max_position_percent": 25,
"method": {
"risk_percent": 2.435,
"support_stop_rank": 1,
"type": "fixed_risk"
},
"min_position_value": 100
},
"trigger_timeframe": "1d",
"version": 1
}Strategy instructions
Trading agent generated from recommendation idea 'The Fed's decision to hold rates steady while inflation remains a concern has driven the dollar to multi-year lows against major currencies like the yuan. When the world's central bank stops fighting inflation but a major peer like the Bank of England exp'. Thesis: The Fed's decision to hold rates steady while inflation remains a concern has driven the dollar to multi-year lows against major currencies like the yuan. When the world's central bank stops fighting inflation but a major peer like the Bank of England explicitly flags upside inflation risks, it suggests the dollar's decline has room to run as capital flows toward currencies backed by tighter policy. A weakening dollar trend, once established after a major Fed pivot, tends to persist for weeks as positions adjust. Buying an ETF that profits from dollar weakness captures this drift without picking individual currency pairs.
Performance
No trade count, win rate, or realized P&L figures are provided in this public preview. The thesis and shared rules do not establish a performance record.
What this public preview can establish
- The dated rule snapshot above shows the conditions evaluated at that time. It does not prove a current trigger or executed trade.
- Technical strategy fields are shared above. Inspect the actual conditions and check when they were evaluated before relying on them.
- No trade count, win rate, or P&L figure is published in this preview. It cannot establish a performance record.
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