Loading…
Public trading strategy

Musk fans are selling Tesla to buy SpaceX — ride the short-term Tesla dip

Created

Thesis

Elon Musk's retail fanbase has been eagerly waiting to buy SpaceX, and now that it's finally public, their money is flowing into the new stock rather than his other ventures. This distraction is causing Tesla stock to slide as fans sell their Tesla shares to fund SpaceX purchases. With the SpaceX IPO dominating the headlines and pulling investor attention away from the EV giant, this short-term drop in Tesla could continue over the next few days.

Strategy approach

Build a short-term momentum strategy shorting TSLA. Enter a short position on the 1-hour timeframe when the price crosses below the 50-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) and RSI(14) is below 40. Set a 2% take profit and a 1.5% stop loss.

Markets and timeframes

Entry and exit at a glance

These are the named rules in the shared configuration. Review the full conditions below before using a strategy.

  • Entry: SMA/RSI Crossover Long (TSLA@1h) (4 conditions)
  • Exit: SL: Below Support[1] (TSLA@1h) (1 condition)
  • Exit: TP: Near Resistance[1] (TSLA@1h) (1 condition)

Shared strategy rules

Rule configuration

{
  "data_dependencies": [
    {
      "symbol": "TSLA",
      "timeframe": "1h"
    }
  ],
  "entry_rules": [
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_above",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "TSLA",
              "timeframe": "1h"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "sma",
              "period": 50
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "TSLA",
              "timeframe": "1h"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "rsi",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 40
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "high",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "resistance_level"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "resistance_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_1",
      "name": "SMA/RSI Crossover Long (TSLA@1h)",
      "priority": 1,
      "trade_symbol": "TSLA"
    }
  ],
  "exit_rules": [
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_1",
      "name": "SL: Below Support[1] (TSLA@1h)",
      "priority": 97,
      "purpose": "take_profit",
      "target_symbol": "TSLA"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "resistance_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_2",
      "name": "TP: Near Resistance[1] (TSLA@1h)",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "stop_loss",
      "target_symbol": "TSLA"
    }
  ],
  "position_sizing": {
    "max_position_percent": 25,
    "method": {
      "resistance_stop_rank": 1,
      "risk_percent": 2,
      "type": "fixed_risk"
    },
    "min_position_value": 100
  },
  "trigger_timeframe": "1h",
  "version": 1
}

Indicator configuration

{
  "indicators": [
    {
      "name": "sma",
      "period": 50
    },
    {
      "name": "rsi",
      "period": 14
    }
  ]
}

Parsed strategy

{
  "data_dependencies": [
    {
      "symbol": "TSLA",
      "timeframe": "1h"
    }
  ],
  "entry_rules": [
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_above",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "TSLA",
              "timeframe": "1h"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "sma",
              "period": 50
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "TSLA",
              "timeframe": "1h"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "rsi",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 40
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "high",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "resistance_level"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "resistance_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_1",
      "name": "SMA/RSI Crossover Long (TSLA@1h)",
      "priority": 1,
      "trade_symbol": "TSLA"
    }
  ],
  "exit_rules": [
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_1",
      "name": "SL: Below Support[1] (TSLA@1h)",
      "priority": 97,
      "purpose": "take_profit",
      "target_symbol": "TSLA"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "resistance_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_2",
      "name": "TP: Near Resistance[1] (TSLA@1h)",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "stop_loss",
      "target_symbol": "TSLA"
    }
  ],
  "position_sizing": {
    "max_position_percent": 25,
    "method": {
      "resistance_stop_rank": 1,
      "risk_percent": 2,
      "type": "fixed_risk"
    },
    "min_position_value": 100
  },
  "trigger_timeframe": "1h",
  "version": 1
}

Strategy instructions

Trading agent generated from recommendation idea 'Musk fans are selling Tesla to buy SpaceX — ride the short-term Tesla dip'. Thesis: Elon Musk's retail fanbase has been eagerly waiting to buy SpaceX, and now that it's finally public, their money is flowing into the new stock rather than his other ventures. This distraction is causing Tesla stock to slide as fans sell their Tesla shares to fund SpaceX purchases. With the SpaceX IPO dominating the headlines and pulling investor attention away from the EV giant, this short-term drop in Tesla could continue over the next few days.

Performance

No trade count, win rate, or realized P&L figures are provided in this public preview. The thesis and shared rules do not establish a performance record.

What this public preview can establish

  • The thesis and strategy approach describe a market view. They do not show whether an entry or exit condition is currently met.
  • Technical strategy fields are shared above. Inspect the actual conditions and check when they were evaluated before relying on them.
  • No trade count, win rate, or P&L figure is published in this preview. It cannot establish a performance record.

Explore

How CommonQuant researches and tests strategies · Public paper-trading record and its limits · Discover public strategies