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Public trading strategy

Chip IPO demand crumbles and a European bank merger stalls — short semiconductor

Created

Thesis

The pulled-back demand for CXMT's massive IPO highlights a severe liquidity drought in the semiconductor space, signaling that the broader chip selloff has terrified institutional buyers and created a toxic backdrop for the sector. Meanwhile, Monte dei Paschi rejecting Intesa Sanpaolo's takeover bid as too cheap is a classic merger-arbitrage play — the target's stock may dip on deal fears, but the rejection forces the acquirer to raise the price, creating a buy-the-dip opportunity on the target.

Strategy approach

Build an options strategy that enters long out-of-the-money put options on SMH (VanEck Semiconductor ETF) when the underlying price drops below its 20-day simple moving average. Separately, build a long equity strategy for BMPS (Banca Monte dei Paschi di Siena) on the D1 timeframe, entering when the stock shows positive momentum (3-day RSI crosses above 50), with a 10% trailing stop and a 30-day max holding period to capture renegotiation upside.

Markets and timeframes

Latest published rule evaluation

Evaluated . This is a dated rule snapshot, not a live price or trade execution confirmation.

BMPS · 1d

Incomplete evidence; No entry condition values were published.

ISNPY · 1d

0 of 20 published entry conditions marked met.

  • Price below SMA (20) — near
  • ADX (14) above 20 — far
  • ADX (14) above 18 — far
  • Momentum (3) above 0.5 — near
  • Price below SMA (20) — near
  • ADX (14) above 20 — far
  • ADX (14) above 18 — far
  • Momentum (3) above 0.5 — near
  • Price below SMA (20) — near
  • ADX (14) above 20 — far
  • ADX (14) above 18 — far
  • Momentum (3) above 0.5 — near
  • Price below SMA (20) — near
  • ADX (14) above 20 — far
  • ADX (14) above 18 — far
  • Momentum (3) above 0.5 — near
  • Price below SMA (20) — near
  • ADX (14) above 20 — far
  • ADX (14) above 18 — far
  • Momentum (3) above 0.5 — near
  • RSI (14) above 45 — met
  • Price above SMA (20) — met
  • RSI (14) above 45 — met
  • Price above SMA (20) — met
  • RSI (14) above 45 — met
  • Price above SMA (20) — met
  • RSI (14) above 45 — met
  • Price above SMA (20) — met
  • RSI (14) above 45 — met
  • Price above SMA (20) — met

SMH · 1d

24 of 24 published entry conditions marked met.

  • Price below SMA (20) — met
  • ADX (14) above 20 — met
  • ADX (14) above 18 — met
  • Momentum (3) above 0.5 — met
  • Price below SMA (20) — met
  • ADX (14) above 20 — met
  • ADX (14) above 18 — met
  • Momentum (3) above 0.5 — met
  • Price below SMA (20) — met
  • ADX (14) above 20 — met
  • ADX (14) above 18 — met
  • Momentum (3) above 0.5 — met
  • Price below SMA (20) — met
  • ADX (14) above 20 — met
  • ADX (14) above 18 — met
  • Momentum (3) above 0.5 — met
  • Price below SMA (20) — met
  • ADX (14) above 20 — met
  • ADX (14) above 18 — met
  • Momentum (3) above 0.5 — met
  • Price below SMA (20) — met
  • ADX (14) above 20 — met
  • ADX (14) above 18 — met
  • Momentum (3) above 0.5 — met
  • RSI (14) above 45 — met
  • Price above SMA (20) — near
  • RSI (14) above 45 — met
  • Price above SMA (20) — near
  • RSI (14) above 45 — met
  • Price above SMA (20) — near
  • RSI (14) above 45 — met
  • Price above SMA (20) — near
  • RSI (14) above 45 — met
  • Price above SMA (20) — near
  • RSI (14) above 45 — met
  • Price above SMA (20) — near

Entry and exit at a glance

These are the named rules in the shared configuration. Review the full conditions below before using a strategy.

  • Entry: SMA/ADX/MOMENTUM Crossover Long (SMH@1d) (5 conditions)
  • Entry: SMA/ADX/MOMENTUM Crossover Long (SOXX@1d) (5 conditions)
  • Entry: SMA/ADX/MOMENTUM Crossover Long (NVDA@1d) (5 conditions)
  • Entry: SMA/ADX/MOMENTUM Crossover Long (TSM@1d) (5 conditions)
  • Entry: SMA/ADX/MOMENTUM Crossover Long (AMD@1d) (5 conditions)
  • Entry: SMA/ADX/MOMENTUM Crossover Long (AVGO@1d) (5 conditions)
  • Exit: Position Exit Rule (SMH@1d) (3 conditions)
  • Exit: Position Exit Rule (SOXX@1d) (3 conditions)
  • Exit: Position Exit Rule (NVDA@1d) (3 conditions)
  • Exit: Position Exit Rule (TSM@1d) (3 conditions)
  • Exit: Position Exit Rule (AMD@1d) (3 conditions)
  • Exit: Position Exit Rule (AVGO@1d) (3 conditions)
  • Exit: SL: Below Support[2] (SMH@1d) (1 condition)
  • Exit: SL: Below Support[2] (SOXX@1d) (1 condition)
  • Exit: SL: Below Support[2] (NVDA@1d) (1 condition)
  • Exit: SL: Below Support[2] (TSM@1d) (1 condition)
  • Exit: SL: Below Support[2] (AMD@1d) (1 condition)
  • Exit: SL: Below Support[2] (AVGO@1d) (1 condition)
  • Exit: TP: Near Resistance[1] (SMH@1d) (1 condition)
  • Exit: TP: Near Resistance[1] (SOXX@1d) (1 condition)
  • Exit: TP: Near Resistance[1] (NVDA@1d) (1 condition)
  • Exit: TP: Near Resistance[1] (TSM@1d) (1 condition)
  • Exit: TP: Near Resistance[1] (AMD@1d) (1 condition)
  • Exit: TP: Near Resistance[1] (AVGO@1d) (1 condition)
  • Exit: Stop Loss at 2.3% (1 condition)
  • Exit: Take Profit at 4.5% (1 condition)

Shared strategy rules

Rule configuration

{
  "data_dependencies": [
    {
      "symbol": "STOCK:SMH",
      "timeframe": "1d"
    },
    {
      "symbol": "STOCK:SOXX",
      "timeframe": "1d"
    },
    {
      "symbol": "STOCK:NVDA",
      "timeframe": "1d"
    },
    {
      "symbol": "STOCK:TSM",
      "timeframe": "1d"
    },
    {
      "symbol": "STOCK:AMD",
      "timeframe": "1d"
    },
    {
      "symbol": "STOCK:AVGO",
      "timeframe": "1d"
    }
  ],
  "entry_rules": [
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:SMH",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:SMH",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "sma",
              "period": 20
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:SMH",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "adx",
            "indicator": {
              "name": "adx",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 20
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:SMH",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "adx",
            "indicator": {
              "name": "adx",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 18
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:SMH",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_below",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:SMH",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "momentum",
              "period": 3
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 0.5
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_1_smh",
      "name": "SMA/ADX/MOMENTUM Crossover Long (SMH@1d)",
      "priority": 1,
      "trade_symbol": "STOCK:SMH"
    },
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:SOXX",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:SOXX",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "sma",
              "period": 20
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:SOXX",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "adx",
            "indicator": {
              "name": "adx",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 20
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:SOXX",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "adx",
            "indicator": {
              "name": "adx",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 18
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:SOXX",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_below",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:SOXX",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "momentum",
              "period": 3
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 0.5
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_1_soxx",
      "name": "SMA/ADX/MOMENTUM Crossover Long (SOXX@1d)",
      "priority": 2,
      "trade_symbol": "STOCK:SOXX"
    },
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:NVDA",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:NVDA",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "sma",
              "period": 20
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:NVDA",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "adx",
            "indicator": {
              "name": "adx",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 20
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:NVDA",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "adx",
            "indicator": {
              "name": "adx",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 18
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:NVDA",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_below",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:NVDA",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "momentum",
              "period": 3
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 0.5
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_1_nvda",
      "name": "SMA/ADX/MOMENTUM Crossover Long (NVDA@1d)",
      "priority": 3,
      "trade_symbol": "STOCK:NVDA"
    },
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:TSM",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:TSM",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "sma",
              "period": 20
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:TSM",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "adx",
            "indicator": {
              "name": "adx",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 20
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:TSM",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "adx",
            "indicator": {
              "name": "adx",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 18
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:TSM",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_below",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:TSM",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "momentum",
              "period": 3
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 0.5
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_1_tsm",
      "name": "SMA/ADX/MOMENTUM Crossover Long (TSM@1d)",
      "priority": 4,
      "trade_symbol": "STOCK:TSM"
    },
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:AMD",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:AMD",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "sma",
              "period": 20
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:AMD",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "adx",
            "indicator": {
              "name": "adx",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 20
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:AMD",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "adx",
            "indicator": {
              "name": "adx",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 18
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:AMD",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_below",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:AMD",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "momentum",
              "period": 3
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 0.5
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_1_amd",
      "name": "SMA/ADX/MOMENTUM Crossover Long (AMD@1d)",
      "priority": 5,
      "trade_symbol": "STOCK:AMD"
    },
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:AVGO",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:AVGO",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "sma",
              "period": 20
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:AVGO",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "adx",
            "indicator": {
              "name": "adx",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 20
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:AVGO",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "adx",
            "indicator": {
              "name": "adx",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 18
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:AVGO",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_below",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:AVGO",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "momentum",
              "period": 3
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 0.5
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_1_avgo",
      "name": "SMA/ADX/MOMENTUM Crossover Long (AVGO@1d)",
      "priority": 6,
      "trade_symbol": "STOCK:AVGO"
    }
  ],
  "exit_rules": [
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:SMH",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "rsi",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 45
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:SMH",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:SMH",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "sma",
              "period": 20
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "holding_period_bars",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 60
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_1_smh",
      "name": "Position Exit Rule (SMH@1d)",
      "priority": 1,
      "purpose": "signal",
      "target_symbol": "STOCK:SMH"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:SOXX",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "rsi",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 45
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:SOXX",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:SOXX",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "sma",
              "period": 20
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "holding_period_bars",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 60
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_1_soxx",
      "name": "Position Exit Rule (SOXX@1d)",
      "priority": 2,
      "purpose": "signal",
      "target_symbol": "STOCK:SOXX"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:NVDA",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "rsi",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 45
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:NVDA",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:NVDA",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "sma",
              "period": 20
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "holding_period_bars",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 60
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_1_nvda",
      "name": "Position Exit Rule (NVDA@1d)",
      "priority": 3,
      "purpose": "signal",
      "target_symbol": "STOCK:NVDA"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:TSM",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "rsi",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 45
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:TSM",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:TSM",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "sma",
              "period": 20
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "holding_period_bars",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 60
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_1_tsm",
      "name": "Position Exit Rule (TSM@1d)",
      "priority": 4,
      "purpose": "signal",
      "target_symbol": "STOCK:TSM"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:AMD",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "rsi",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 45
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:AMD",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:AMD",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "sma",
              "period": 20
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "holding_period_bars",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 60
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_1_amd",
      "name": "Position Exit Rule (AMD@1d)",
      "priority": 5,
      "purpose": "signal",
      "target_symbol": "STOCK:AMD"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:AVGO",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "rsi",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 45
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:AVGO",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:AVGO",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "sma",
              "period": 20
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "holding_period_bars",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 60
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_1_avgo",
      "name": "Position Exit Rule (AVGO@1d)",
      "priority": 6,
      "purpose": "signal",
      "target_symbol": "STOCK:AVGO"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:SMH",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "rank": 2,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_2_smh",
      "name": "SL: Below Support[2] (SMH@1d)",
      "priority": 97,
      "purpose": "take_profit",
      "target_symbol": "STOCK:SMH"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:SOXX",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "rank": 2,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_2_soxx",
      "name": "SL: Below Support[2] (SOXX@1d)",
      "priority": 98,
      "purpose": "take_profit",
      "target_symbol": "STOCK:SOXX"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:NVDA",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "rank": 2,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_2_nvda",
      "name": "SL: Below Support[2] (NVDA@1d)",
      "priority": 99,
      "purpose": "take_profit",
      "target_symbol": "STOCK:NVDA"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:TSM",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "rank": 2,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_2_tsm",
      "name": "SL: Below Support[2] (TSM@1d)",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "take_profit",
      "target_symbol": "STOCK:TSM"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:AMD",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "rank": 2,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_2_amd",
      "name": "SL: Below Support[2] (AMD@1d)",
      "priority": 101,
      "purpose": "take_profit",
      "target_symbol": "STOCK:AMD"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:AVGO",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "rank": 2,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_2_avgo",
      "name": "SL: Below Support[2] (AVGO@1d)",
      "priority": 102,
      "purpose": "take_profit",
      "target_symbol": "STOCK:AVGO"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:SMH",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "resistance_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_3_smh",
      "name": "TP: Near Resistance[1] (SMH@1d)",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "stop_loss",
      "target_symbol": "STOCK:SMH"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:SOXX",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "resistance_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_3_soxx",
      "name": "TP: Near Resistance[1] (SOXX@1d)",
      "priority": 101,
      "purpose": "stop_loss",
      "target_symbol": "STOCK:SOXX"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:NVDA",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "resistance_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_3_nvda",
      "name": "TP: Near Resistance[1] (NVDA@1d)",
      "priority": 102,
      "purpose": "stop_loss",
      "target_symbol": "STOCK:NVDA"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:TSM",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "resistance_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_3_tsm",
      "name": "TP: Near Resistance[1] (TSM@1d)",
      "priority": 103,
      "purpose": "stop_loss",
      "target_symbol": "STOCK:TSM"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:AMD",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "resistance_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_3_amd",
      "name": "TP: Near Resistance[1] (AMD@1d)",
      "priority": 104,
      "purpose": "stop_loss",
      "target_symbol": "STOCK:AMD"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:AVGO",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "resistance_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_3_avgo",
      "name": "TP: Near Resistance[1] (AVGO@1d)",
      "priority": 105,
      "purpose": "stop_loss",
      "target_symbol": "STOCK:AVGO"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": -2.26
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_4",
      "name": "Stop Loss at 2.3%",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "stop_loss"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 4.52
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_5",
      "name": "Take Profit at 4.5%",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "take_profit"
    }
  ],
  "position_sizing": {
    "max_position_percent": 16.666666666666668,
    "method": {
      "resistance_stop_rank": 1,
      "risk_percent": 2.26,
      "type": "fixed_risk"
    },
    "min_position_value": 100
  },
  "trigger_timeframe": "1d",
  "version": 1
}

Indicator configuration

{
  "indicators": [
    {
      "name": "sma",
      "period": 20
    },
    {
      "name": "adx",
      "period": 14
    },
    {
      "name": "rsi",
      "period": 14
    },
    {
      "name": "momentum",
      "period": 3
    },
    {
      "name": "sma",
      "period": 20
    },
    {
      "name": "adx",
      "period": 14
    },
    {
      "name": "rsi",
      "period": 14
    },
    {
      "name": "momentum",
      "period": 3
    },
    {
      "name": "sma",
      "period": 20
    },
    {
      "name": "adx",
      "period": 14
    },
    {
      "name": "rsi",
      "period": 14
    },
    {
      "name": "momentum",
      "period": 3
    },
    {
      "name": "sma",
      "period": 20
    },
    {
      "name": "adx",
      "period": 14
    },
    {
      "name": "rsi",
      "period": 14
    },
    {
      "name": "momentum",
      "period": 3
    },
    {
      "name": "sma",
      "period": 20
    },
    {
      "name": "adx",
      "period": 14
    },
    {
      "name": "rsi",
      "period": 14
    },
    {
      "name": "momentum",
      "period": 3
    },
    {
      "name": "sma",
      "period": 20
    },
    {
      "name": "adx",
      "period": 14
    },
    {
      "name": "rsi",
      "period": 14
    },
    {
      "name": "momentum",
      "period": 3
    }
  ]
}

Parsed strategy

{
  "data_dependencies": [
    {
      "symbol": "STOCK:SMH",
      "timeframe": "1d"
    },
    {
      "symbol": "STOCK:SOXX",
      "timeframe": "1d"
    },
    {
      "symbol": "STOCK:NVDA",
      "timeframe": "1d"
    },
    {
      "symbol": "STOCK:TSM",
      "timeframe": "1d"
    },
    {
      "symbol": "STOCK:AMD",
      "timeframe": "1d"
    },
    {
      "symbol": "STOCK:AVGO",
      "timeframe": "1d"
    }
  ],
  "entry_rules": [
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:SMH",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:SMH",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "sma",
              "period": 20
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:SMH",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "adx",
            "indicator": {
              "name": "adx",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 20
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:SMH",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "adx",
            "indicator": {
              "name": "adx",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 18
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:SMH",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_below",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:SMH",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "momentum",
              "period": 3
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 0.5
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_1_smh",
      "name": "SMA/ADX/MOMENTUM Crossover Long (SMH@1d)",
      "priority": 1,
      "trade_symbol": "STOCK:SMH"
    },
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:SOXX",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:SOXX",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "sma",
              "period": 20
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:SOXX",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "adx",
            "indicator": {
              "name": "adx",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 20
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:SOXX",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "adx",
            "indicator": {
              "name": "adx",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 18
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:SOXX",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_below",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:SOXX",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "momentum",
              "period": 3
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 0.5
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_1_soxx",
      "name": "SMA/ADX/MOMENTUM Crossover Long (SOXX@1d)",
      "priority": 2,
      "trade_symbol": "STOCK:SOXX"
    },
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:NVDA",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:NVDA",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "sma",
              "period": 20
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:NVDA",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "adx",
            "indicator": {
              "name": "adx",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 20
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:NVDA",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "adx",
            "indicator": {
              "name": "adx",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 18
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:NVDA",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_below",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:NVDA",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "momentum",
              "period": 3
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 0.5
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_1_nvda",
      "name": "SMA/ADX/MOMENTUM Crossover Long (NVDA@1d)",
      "priority": 3,
      "trade_symbol": "STOCK:NVDA"
    },
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
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      "name": "Stop Loss at 2.3%",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "stop_loss"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 4.52
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_5",
      "name": "Take Profit at 4.5%",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "take_profit"
    }
  ],
  "position_sizing": {
    "max_position_percent": 16.666666666666668,
    "method": {
      "resistance_stop_rank": 1,
      "risk_percent": 2.26,
      "type": "fixed_risk"
    },
    "min_position_value": 100
  },
  "trigger_timeframe": "1d",
  "version": 1
}

Strategy instructions

Trading agent generated from recommendation idea 'Chip IPO demand crumbles and a European bank merger stalls — short semiconductor ETFs and long the deal target'. Thesis: The pulled-back demand for CXMT's massive IPO highlights a severe liquidity drought in the semiconductor space, signaling that the broader chip selloff has terrified institutional buyers and created a toxic backdrop for the sector. Meanwhile, Monte dei Paschi rejecting Intesa Sanpaolo's takeover bid as too cheap is a classic merger-arbitrage play — the target's stock may dip on deal fears, but the rejection forces the acquirer to raise the price, creating a buy-the-dip opportunity on the target.

Performance

No trade count, win rate, or realized P&L figures are provided in this public preview. The thesis and shared rules do not establish a performance record.

What this public preview can establish

  • The dated rule snapshot above shows the conditions evaluated at that time. It does not prove a current trigger or executed trade.
  • Technical strategy fields are shared above. Inspect the actual conditions and check when they were evaluated before relying on them.
  • No trade count, win rate, or P&L figure is published in this preview. It cannot establish a performance record.

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