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Public trading strategy

A near-certain ECB hike is the setup, but the real trade is the gap between what

Created

Thesis

A near-certain ECB hike is the setup, but the real trade is the gap between what economists expect and what bond markets are pricing: markets see a longer tightening cycle, fueled by the same Middle East oil spike pushing energy costs and inflation higher. When markets end up more hawkish than the consensus, rate-sensitive European sectors like utilities and real estate underperform, and the euro tends to strengthen as rate expectations rise. Positioning for that repricing, either by shorting Europe's borrowing-heavy sectors or holding the euro against currencies with more dovish central banks, captures the surprise rather than the already-known hike.

Strategy approach

A near-certain ECB hike is the setup, but the real trade is the gap between what economists expect and what bond markets are pricing: markets see a longer tightening cycle, fueled by the same Middle East oil spike pushing energy costs and inflation higher. When markets end up more hawkish than the consensus, rate-sensitive European sectors like utilities and real estate underperform, and the euro tends to strengthen as rate expectations rise. Positioning for that repricing, either by shorting Europe's borrowing-heavy sectors or holding the euro against currencies with more dovish central banks, captures the surprise rather than the already-known hike. Decision analysis profile: value. Required dimensions: valuation_method, valuation_sensitivity, business_economics, cash_quality,…

Markets and timeframes

Entry and exit at a glance

These are the named rules in the shared configuration. Review the full conditions below before using a strategy.

  • Entry: ADX/EMA/RSI Crossover Long (NGG@1d) (4 conditions)
  • Entry: ADX/EMA/RSI Crossover Long (ENLAY@1d) (4 conditions)
  • Entry: ADX/EMA/RSI Crossover Long (NEE@1d) (4 conditions)
  • Entry: ADX/EMA/RSI Crossover Long (SO@1d) (4 conditions)
  • Entry: ADX/EMA/RSI Crossover Long (UDN@1d) (4 conditions)
  • Entry: ADX/EMA/RSI Crossover Long (NGG@1d) (4 conditions)
  • Entry: ADX/EMA/RSI Crossover Long (ENLAY@1d) (4 conditions)
  • Entry: ADX/EMA/RSI Crossover Long (NEE@1d) (4 conditions)
  • Entry: ADX/EMA/RSI Crossover Long (SO@1d) (4 conditions)
  • Entry: ADX/EMA/RSI Crossover Long (UDN@1d) (4 conditions)
  • Entry: Long Entry Signal (NGG@1d) (3 conditions)
  • Entry: Long Entry Signal (ENLAY@1d) (3 conditions)
  • Entry: Long Entry Signal (NEE@1d) (3 conditions)
  • Entry: Long Entry Signal (SO@1d) (3 conditions)
  • Entry: Long Entry Signal (UDN@1d) (3 conditions)
  • Exit: Position Exit Rule (1 condition)
  • Exit: TP: Fib Extension 127.2% (NGG@1d) (1 condition)
  • Exit: TP: Fib Extension 127.2% (ENLAY@1d) (1 condition)
  • Exit: TP: Fib Extension 127.2% (NEE@1d) (1 condition)
  • Exit: TP: Fib Extension 127.2% (SO@1d) (1 condition)
  • Exit: TP: Fib Extension 127.2% (UDN@1d) (1 condition)
  • Exit: Stop Loss at 2.0% (1 condition)
  • Exit: Take Profit at 4.0% (1 condition)

Shared strategy rules

Rule configuration

{
  "data_dependencies": [
    {
      "symbol": "STOCK:NGG",
      "timeframe": "1d"
    },
    {
      "symbol": "STOCK:ENLAY",
      "timeframe": "1d"
    },
    {
      "symbol": "STOCK:NEE",
      "timeframe": "1d"
    },
    {
      "symbol": "STOCK:SO",
      "timeframe": "1d"
    },
    {
      "symbol": "STOCK:UDN",
      "timeframe": "1d"
    }
  ],
  "entry_rules": [
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:NGG",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "adx",
            "indicator": {
              "name": "adx",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 20
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:NGG",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "ema",
              "period": 20
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_below",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:NGG",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "ema",
              "period": 50
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:NGG",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "rsi",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 45
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:NGG",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:NGG",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "ema",
              "period": 20
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_1_ngg",
      "name": "ADX/EMA/RSI Crossover Long (NGG@1d)",
      "priority": 1,
      "trade_symbol": "STOCK:NGG"
    },
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:ENLAY",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "adx",
            "indicator": {
              "name": "adx",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 20
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:ENLAY",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "ema",
              "period": 20
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_below",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:ENLAY",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "ema",
              "period": 50
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:ENLAY",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "rsi",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 45
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:ENLAY",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:ENLAY",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "ema",
              "period": 20
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_1_enlay",
      "name": "ADX/EMA/RSI Crossover Long (ENLAY@1d)",
      "priority": 2,
      "trade_symbol": "STOCK:ENLAY"
    },
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:NEE",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "adx",
            "indicator": {
              "name": "adx",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 20
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:NEE",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "ema",
              "period": 20
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_below",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:NEE",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "ema",
              "period": 50
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:NEE",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "rsi",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 45
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:NEE",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:NEE",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "ema",
              "period": 20
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_1_nee",
      "name": "ADX/EMA/RSI Crossover Long (NEE@1d)",
      "priority": 3,
      "trade_symbol": "STOCK:NEE"
    },
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:SO",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "adx",
            "indicator": {
              "name": "adx",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 20
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:SO",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "ema",
              "period": 20
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_below",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:SO",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "ema",
              "period": 50
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:SO",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "rsi",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 45
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:SO",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:SO",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "ema",
              "period": 20
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_1_so",
      "name": "ADX/EMA/RSI Crossover Long (SO@1d)",
      "priority": 4,
      "trade_symbol": "STOCK:SO"
    },
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:UDN",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "adx",
            "indicator": {
              "name": "adx",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 20
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:UDN",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "ema",
              "period": 20
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_below",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:UDN",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "ema",
              "period": 50
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:UDN",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "rsi",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 45
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:UDN",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:UDN",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "ema",
              "period": 20
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_1_udn",
      "name": "ADX/EMA/RSI Crossover Long (UDN@1d)",
      "priority": 5,
      "trade_symbol": "STOCK:UDN"
    },
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:NGG",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "adx",
            "indicator": {
              "name": "adx",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 20
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:NGG",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "ema",
              "period": 20
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_below",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:NGG",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "ema",
              "period": 50
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:NGG",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "rsi",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 45
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:NGG",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:NGG",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "ema",
              "period": 20
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_2_ngg",
      "name": "ADX/EMA/RSI Crossover Long (NGG@1d)",
      "priority": 2,
      "trade_symbol": "STOCK:NGG"
    },
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:ENLAY",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "adx",
            "indicator": {
              "name": "adx",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 20
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:ENLAY",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "ema",
              "period": 20
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_below",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:ENLAY",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "ema",
              "period": 50
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:ENLAY",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "rsi",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 45
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:ENLAY",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:ENLAY",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "ema",
              "period": 20
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_2_enlay",
      "name": "ADX/EMA/RSI Crossover Long (ENLAY@1d)",
      "priority": 3,
      "trade_symbol": "STOCK:ENLAY"
    },
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:NEE",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "adx",
            "indicator": {
              "name": "adx",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 20
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:NEE",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "ema",
              "period": 20
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_below",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:NEE",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "ema",
              "period": 50
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:NEE",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "rsi",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 45
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:NEE",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:NEE",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "ema",
              "period": 20
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_2_nee",
      "name": "ADX/EMA/RSI Crossover Long (NEE@1d)",
      "priority": 4,
      "trade_symbol": "STOCK:NEE"
    },
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:SO",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "adx",
            "indicator": {
              "name": "adx",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 20
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:SO",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "ema",
              "period": 20
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_below",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:SO",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "ema",
              "period": 50
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:SO",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "rsi",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 45
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:SO",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:SO",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "ema",
              "period": 20
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_2_so",
      "name": "ADX/EMA/RSI Crossover Long (SO@1d)",
      "priority": 5,
      "trade_symbol": "STOCK:SO"
    },
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:UDN",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "adx",
            "indicator": {
              "name": "adx",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 20
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:UDN",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "ema",
              "period": 20
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_below",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:UDN",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "ema",
              "period": 50
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:UDN",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "rsi",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 45
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:UDN",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:UDN",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "ema",
              "period": 20
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_2_udn",
      "name": "ADX/EMA/RSI Crossover Long (UDN@1d)",
      "priority": 6,
      "trade_symbol": "STOCK:UDN"
    },
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:NGG",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "high",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:NGG",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "ratio": 382,
            "type": "fibonacci_retracement"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:NGG",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:NGG",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "ratio": 382,
            "type": "fibonacci_retracement"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:NGG",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_3_ngg",
      "name": "Long Entry Signal (NGG@1d)",
      "priority": 2,
      "trade_symbol": "STOCK:NGG"
    },
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:ENLAY",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "high",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:ENLAY",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "ratio": 382,
            "type": "fibonacci_retracement"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:ENLAY",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:ENLAY",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "ratio": 382,
            "type": "fibonacci_retracement"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:ENLAY",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_3_enlay",
      "name": "Long Entry Signal (ENLAY@1d)",
      "priority": 3,
      "trade_symbol": "STOCK:ENLAY"
    },
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:NEE",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "high",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:NEE",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "ratio": 382,
            "type": "fibonacci_retracement"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:NEE",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:NEE",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "ratio": 382,
            "type": "fibonacci_retracement"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:NEE",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_3_nee",
      "name": "Long Entry Signal (NEE@1d)",
      "priority": 4,
      "trade_symbol": "STOCK:NEE"
    },
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:SO",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "high",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:SO",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "ratio": 382,
            "type": "fibonacci_retracement"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:SO",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:SO",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "ratio": 382,
            "type": "fibonacci_retracement"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:SO",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_3_so",
      "name": "Long Entry Signal (SO@1d)",
      "priority": 5,
      "trade_symbol": "STOCK:SO"
    },
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:UDN",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "high",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:UDN",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "ratio": 382,
            "type": "fibonacci_retracement"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:UDN",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:UDN",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "ratio": 382,
            "type": "fibonacci_retracement"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:UDN",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_3_udn",
      "name": "Long Entry Signal (UDN@1d)",
      "priority": 6,
      "trade_symbol": "STOCK:UDN"
    }
  ],
  "exit_rules": [
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "holding_period_bars",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 90
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_1",
      "name": "Position Exit Rule",
      "priority": 1,
      "purpose": "signal"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:NGG",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:NGG",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "ratio": 1272,
            "type": "fibonacci_extension"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_2_ngg",
      "name": "TP: Fib Extension 127.2% (NGG@1d)",
      "priority": 96,
      "purpose": "take_profit",
      "target_symbol": "STOCK:NGG"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:ENLAY",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:ENLAY",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "ratio": 1272,
            "type": "fibonacci_extension"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_2_enlay",
      "name": "TP: Fib Extension 127.2% (ENLAY@1d)",
      "priority": 97,
      "purpose": "take_profit",
      "target_symbol": "STOCK:ENLAY"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:NEE",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:NEE",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "ratio": 1272,
            "type": "fibonacci_extension"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_2_nee",
      "name": "TP: Fib Extension 127.2% (NEE@1d)",
      "priority": 98,
      "purpose": "take_profit",
      "target_symbol": "STOCK:NEE"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:SO",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:SO",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "ratio": 1272,
            "type": "fibonacci_extension"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_2_so",
      "name": "TP: Fib Extension 127.2% (SO@1d)",
      "priority": 99,
      "purpose": "take_profit",
      "target_symbol": "STOCK:SO"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:UDN",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:UDN",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "ratio": 1272,
            "type": "fibonacci_extension"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_2_udn",
      "name": "TP: Fib Extension 127.2% (UDN@1d)",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "take_profit",
      "target_symbol": "STOCK:UDN"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": -2
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_3",
      "name": "Stop Loss at 2.0%",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "stop_loss"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 4
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_4",
      "name": "Take Profit at 4.0%",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "take_profit"
    }
  ],
  "position_sizing": {
    "max_position_percent": 20,
    "method": {
      "risk_percent": 2,
      "support_stop_rank": 2,
      "type": "fixed_risk"
    },
    "min_position_value": 100
  },
  "trigger_timeframe": "1d",
  "version": 1
}

Indicator configuration

{
  "indicators": [
    {
      "name": "ema",
      "period": 20
    },
    {
      "name": "ema",
      "period": 50
    },
    {
      "name": "rsi",
      "period": 14
    },
    {
      "name": "adx",
      "period": 14
    },
    {
      "name": "ema",
      "period": 20
    },
    {
      "name": "ema",
      "period": 50
    },
    {
      "name": "rsi",
      "period": 14
    },
    {
      "name": "adx",
      "period": 14
    },
    {
      "name": "ema",
      "period": 20
    },
    {
      "name": "ema",
      "period": 50
    },
    {
      "name": "rsi",
      "period": 14
    },
    {
      "name": "adx",
      "period": 14
    },
    {
      "name": "ema",
      "period": 20
    },
    {
      "name": "ema",
      "period": 50
    },
    {
      "name": "rsi",
      "period": 14
    },
    {
      "name": "adx",
      "period": 14
    },
    {
      "name": "ema",
      "period": 20
    },
    {
      "name": "ema",
      "period": 50
    },
    {
      "name": "rsi",
      "period": 14
    },
    {
      "name": "adx",
      "period": 14
    }
  ]
}

Parsed strategy

{
  "data_dependencies": [
    {
      "symbol": "STOCK:NGG",
      "timeframe": "1d"
    },
    {
      "symbol": "STOCK:ENLAY",
      "timeframe": "1d"
    },
    {
      "symbol": "STOCK:NEE",
      "timeframe": "1d"
    },
    {
      "symbol": "STOCK:SO",
      "timeframe": "1d"
    },
    {
      "symbol": "STOCK:UDN",
      "timeframe": "1d"
    }
  ],
  "entry_rules": [
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:NGG",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "adx",
            "indicator": {
              "name": "adx",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 20
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:NGG",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "ema",
              "period": 20
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_below",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:NGG",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "ema",
              "period": 50
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:NGG",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "rsi",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 45
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:NGG",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:NGG",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "ema",
              "period": 20
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_1_ngg",
      "name": "ADX/EMA/RSI Crossover Long (NGG@1d)",
      "priority": 1,
      "trade_symbol": "STOCK:NGG"
    },
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:ENLAY",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "adx",
            "indicator": {
              "name": "adx",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 20
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:ENLAY",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "ema",
              "period": 20
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_below",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:ENLAY",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "ema",
              "period": 50
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:ENLAY",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "rsi",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 45
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:ENLAY",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:ENLAY",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "ema",
              "period": 20
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_1_enlay",
      "name": "ADX/EMA/RSI Crossover Long (ENLAY@1d)",
      "priority": 2,
      "trade_symbol": "STOCK:ENLAY"
    },
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:NEE",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "adx",
            "indicator": {
              "name": "adx",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 20
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:NEE",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "ema",
              "period": 20
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_below",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:NEE",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "ema",
              "period": 50
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:NEE",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "rsi",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 45
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:NEE",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:NEE",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "ema",
              "period": 20
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_1_nee",
      "name": "ADX/EMA/RSI Crossover Long (NEE@1d)",
      "priority": 3,
      "trade_symbol": "STOCK:NEE"
    },
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:SO",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "adx",
            "indicator": {
              "name": "adx",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 20
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:SO",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "ema",
              "period": 20
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_below",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:SO",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "ema",
              "period": 50
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:SO",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "rsi",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
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      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_2_nee",
      "name": "TP: Fib Extension 127.2% (NEE@1d)",
      "priority": 98,
      "purpose": "take_profit",
      "target_symbol": "STOCK:NEE"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:SO",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:SO",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "ratio": 1272,
            "type": "fibonacci_extension"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_2_so",
      "name": "TP: Fib Extension 127.2% (SO@1d)",
      "priority": 99,
      "purpose": "take_profit",
      "target_symbol": "STOCK:SO"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:UDN",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:UDN",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "ratio": 1272,
            "type": "fibonacci_extension"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_2_udn",
      "name": "TP: Fib Extension 127.2% (UDN@1d)",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "take_profit",
      "target_symbol": "STOCK:UDN"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": -2
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_3",
      "name": "Stop Loss at 2.0%",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "stop_loss"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 4
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_4",
      "name": "Take Profit at 4.0%",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "take_profit"
    }
  ],
  "position_sizing": {
    "max_position_percent": 20,
    "method": {
      "risk_percent": 2,
      "support_stop_rank": 2,
      "type": "fixed_risk"
    },
    "min_position_value": 100
  },
  "trigger_timeframe": "1d",
  "version": 1
}

Strategy instructions

Trading agent generated from recommendation idea 'A near-certain ECB hike is the setup, but the real trade is the gap between what economists expect and what bond markets are pricing: markets see a longer tightening cycle, fueled by the same Middle East oil spike pushing energy costs and inflation higher'. Thesis: A near-certain ECB hike is the setup, but the real trade is the gap between what economists expect and what bond markets are pricing: markets see a longer tightening cycle, fueled by the same Middle East oil spike pushing energy costs and inflation higher. When markets end up more hawkish than the consensus, rate-sensitive European sectors like utilities and real estate underperform, and the euro tends to strengthen as rate expectations rise. Positioning for that repricing, either by shorting Europe's borrowing-heavy sectors or holding the euro against currencies with more dovish central banks, captures the surprise rather than the already-known hike.

Performance

No trade count, win rate, or realized P&L figures are provided in this public preview. The thesis and shared rules do not establish a performance record.

What this public preview can establish

  • The thesis and strategy approach describe a market view. They do not show whether an entry or exit condition is currently met.
  • Technical strategy fields are shared above. Inspect the actual conditions and check when they were evaluated before relying on them.
  • No trade count, win rate, or P&L figure is published in this preview. It cannot establish a performance record.

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