Public trading strategy
Weak jobs report cools rate-hike fears — Bitcoin momentum play as short squeeze
Created
Thesis
The June jobs report was a massive miss with only 57,000 positions added, which instantly cooled expectations for a Federal Reserve rate hike. According to the crypto market coverage, this macroeconomic shift acted as a catalyst, pushing Bitcoin back above $60,000 and triggering a 'short squeeze' where bearish traders were forced to liquidate $281 million in positions. Compounding this upward pressure, institutional capital finally returned to the space, breaking a 10-day negative streak with a $222 million influx into U.S. Bitcoin ETFs. When a sudden macro tailwind meets forced buying and institutional inflows, it creates a sustained momentum rally.
Strategy approach
Build a rule-based strategy on BTC/USD on the H4 timeframe. Enter long when the 20-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) crosses above the 50-period EMA and the daily RSI(14) is above 50 but below 70, confirming bullish momentum without being overbought. Exit with a 6% trailing stop or if the daily close drops below the 50-period EMA. Set a maximum hold of 10 days.
Markets and timeframes
Latest published rule evaluation
Evaluated . This is a dated rule snapshot, not a live price or trade execution confirmation.
BTC · 4h
2 of 6 published entry conditions marked met.
- EMA (20) crossed above EMA (50) — near
- RSI (14) above 50 — near
- RSI (14) below 70 — met
- EMA (20) crossed above EMA (50) — near
- RSI (14) above 50 — near
- RSI (14) below 70 — met
- Price below EMA (20) — near
ETH · 4h
2 of 6 published entry conditions marked met.
- EMA (20) crossed above EMA (50) — near
- RSI (14) above 50 — far
- RSI (14) below 70 — met
- EMA (20) crossed above EMA (50) — near
- RSI (14) above 50 — far
- RSI (14) below 70 — met
- Price below EMA (20) — met
SOL · 4h
2 of 6 published entry conditions marked met.
- EMA (20) crossed above EMA (50) — near
- RSI (14) above 50 — far
- RSI (14) below 70 — met
- EMA (20) crossed above EMA (50) — near
- RSI (14) above 50 — far
- RSI (14) below 70 — met
- Price below EMA (20) — met
Entry and exit at a glance
These are the named rules in the shared configuration. Review the full conditions below before using a strategy.
- Entry: EMA/RSI Crossover Long (BTC@4h) (5 conditions)
- Entry: EMA/RSI Crossover Long (ETH@4h) (5 conditions)
- Entry: EMA/RSI Crossover Long (SOL@4h) (5 conditions)
- Entry: EMA/RSI Crossover Long (BTC@4h) (3 conditions)
- Entry: EMA/RSI Crossover Long (ETH@4h) (3 conditions)
- Entry: EMA/RSI Crossover Long (SOL@4h) (3 conditions)
- Entry: Long Entry Signal (BTC@4h) (2 conditions)
- Entry: Long Entry Signal (ETH@4h) (2 conditions)
- Entry: Long Entry Signal (SOL@4h) (2 conditions)
- Exit: Position Exit Rule (BTC@4h) (1 condition)
- Exit: Position Exit Rule (ETH@4h) (1 condition)
- Exit: Position Exit Rule (SOL@4h) (1 condition)
- Exit: TP: Fib Extension 127.2% (BTC@4h) (1 condition)
- Exit: TP: Fib Extension 127.2% (ETH@4h) (1 condition)
- Exit: TP: Fib Extension 127.2% (SOL@4h) (1 condition)
- Exit: SL: Fib Retracement 78.6% (BTC@4h) (1 condition)
- Exit: SL: Fib Retracement 78.6% (ETH@4h) (1 condition)
- Exit: SL: Fib Retracement 78.6% (SOL@4h) (1 condition)
- Exit: Stop Loss at 2.5% (1 condition)
- Exit: Take Profit at 5.1% (1 condition)
Shared strategy rules
Rule configuration
{
"data_dependencies": [
{
"symbol": "BTC",
"timeframe": "4h"
},
{
"symbol": "ETH",
"timeframe": "4h"
},
{
"symbol": "SOL",
"timeframe": "4h"
}
],
"entry_rules": [
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "BTC",
"timeframe": "4h"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "BTC",
"timeframe": "4h"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 50
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "BTC",
"timeframe": "4h"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 50
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "BTC",
"timeframe": "4h"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 70
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "low",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "BTC",
"timeframe": "4h"
},
"ratio": 618,
"type": "fibonacci_retracement"
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "BTC",
"timeframe": "4h"
},
"ratio": 618,
"type": "fibonacci_retracement"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_btc",
"name": "EMA/RSI Crossover Long (BTC@4h)",
"priority": 1,
"trade_symbol": "BTC"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "ETH",
"timeframe": "4h"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "ETH",
"timeframe": "4h"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 50
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "ETH",
"timeframe": "4h"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 50
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "ETH",
"timeframe": "4h"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 70
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "low",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "ETH",
"timeframe": "4h"
},
"ratio": 618,
"type": "fibonacci_retracement"
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "ETH",
"timeframe": "4h"
},
"ratio": 618,
"type": "fibonacci_retracement"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_eth",
"name": "EMA/RSI Crossover Long (ETH@4h)",
"priority": 2,
"trade_symbol": "ETH"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "SOL",
"timeframe": "4h"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "SOL",
"timeframe": "4h"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 50
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "SOL",
"timeframe": "4h"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 50
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "SOL",
"timeframe": "4h"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 70
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "low",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "SOL",
"timeframe": "4h"
},
"ratio": 618,
"type": "fibonacci_retracement"
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "SOL",
"timeframe": "4h"
},
"ratio": 618,
"type": "fibonacci_retracement"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_sol",
"name": "EMA/RSI Crossover Long (SOL@4h)",
"priority": 3,
"trade_symbol": "SOL"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "BTC",
"timeframe": "4h"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "BTC",
"timeframe": "4h"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 50
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "BTC",
"timeframe": "4h"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 50
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "BTC",
"timeframe": "4h"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 70
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_2_btc",
"name": "EMA/RSI Crossover Long (BTC@4h)",
"priority": 2,
"trade_symbol": "BTC"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "ETH",
"timeframe": "4h"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "ETH",
"timeframe": "4h"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 50
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "ETH",
"timeframe": "4h"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 50
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "ETH",
"timeframe": "4h"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 70
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_2_eth",
"name": "EMA/RSI Crossover Long (ETH@4h)",
"priority": 3,
"trade_symbol": "ETH"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "SOL",
"timeframe": "4h"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "SOL",
"timeframe": "4h"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 50
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "SOL",
"timeframe": "4h"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 50
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "SOL",
"timeframe": "4h"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 70
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_2_sol",
"name": "EMA/RSI Crossover Long (SOL@4h)",
"priority": 4,
"trade_symbol": "SOL"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "low",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "BTC",
"timeframe": "4h"
},
"ratio": 618,
"type": "fibonacci_retracement"
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "BTC",
"timeframe": "4h"
},
"ratio": 618,
"type": "fibonacci_retracement"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_3_btc",
"name": "Long Entry Signal (BTC@4h)",
"priority": 2,
"trade_symbol": "BTC"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "low",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "ETH",
"timeframe": "4h"
},
"ratio": 618,
"type": "fibonacci_retracement"
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "ETH",
"timeframe": "4h"
},
"ratio": 618,
"type": "fibonacci_retracement"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_3_eth",
"name": "Long Entry Signal (ETH@4h)",
"priority": 3,
"trade_symbol": "ETH"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "low",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "SOL",
"timeframe": "4h"
},
"ratio": 618,
"type": "fibonacci_retracement"
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "SOL",
"timeframe": "4h"
},
"ratio": 618,
"type": "fibonacci_retracement"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_3_sol",
"name": "Long Entry Signal (SOL@4h)",
"priority": 4,
"trade_symbol": "SOL"
}
],
"exit_rules": [
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "BTC",
"timeframe": "4h"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1_btc",
"name": "Position Exit Rule (BTC@4h)",
"priority": 1,
"purpose": "signal",
"target_symbol": "BTC"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "ETH",
"timeframe": "4h"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1_eth",
"name": "Position Exit Rule (ETH@4h)",
"priority": 2,
"purpose": "signal",
"target_symbol": "ETH"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "SOL",
"timeframe": "4h"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1_sol",
"name": "Position Exit Rule (SOL@4h)",
"priority": 3,
"purpose": "signal",
"target_symbol": "SOL"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "BTC",
"timeframe": "4h"
},
"ratio": 1272,
"type": "fibonacci_extension"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2_btc",
"name": "TP: Fib Extension 127.2% (BTC@4h)",
"priority": 97,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "BTC"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "ETH",
"timeframe": "4h"
},
"ratio": 1272,
"type": "fibonacci_extension"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2_eth",
"name": "TP: Fib Extension 127.2% (ETH@4h)",
"priority": 98,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "ETH"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "SOL",
"timeframe": "4h"
},
"ratio": 1272,
"type": "fibonacci_extension"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2_sol",
"name": "TP: Fib Extension 127.2% (SOL@4h)",
"priority": 99,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "SOL"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "BTC",
"timeframe": "4h"
},
"ratio": 786,
"type": "fibonacci_retracement"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3_btc",
"name": "SL: Fib Retracement 78.6% (BTC@4h)",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "BTC"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "ETH",
"timeframe": "4h"
},
"ratio": 786,
"type": "fibonacci_retracement"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3_eth",
"name": "SL: Fib Retracement 78.6% (ETH@4h)",
"priority": 101,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "ETH"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "SOL",
"timeframe": "4h"
},
"ratio": 786,
"type": "fibonacci_retracement"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3_sol",
"name": "SL: Fib Retracement 78.6% (SOL@4h)",
"priority": 102,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "SOL"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -2.5292
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_4",
"name": "Stop Loss at 2.5%",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 5.0584
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_5",
"name": "Take Profit at 5.1%",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "take_profit"
}
],
"position_sizing": {
"max_position_percent": 25,
"method": {
"fib_stop_ratio": 786,
"risk_percent": 2.5292,
"type": "fixed_risk"
},
"min_position_value": 100
},
"trigger_timeframe": "4h",
"version": 1
}Indicator configuration
{
"indicators": [
{
"name": "ema",
"period": 20
},
{
"name": "ema",
"period": 50
},
{
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
{
"name": "ema",
"period": 20
},
{
"name": "ema",
"period": 50
},
{
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
{
"name": "ema",
"period": 20
},
{
"name": "ema",
"period": 50
},
{
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
}
]
}Parsed strategy
{
"data_dependencies": [
{
"symbol": "BTC",
"timeframe": "4h"
},
{
"symbol": "ETH",
"timeframe": "4h"
},
{
"symbol": "SOL",
"timeframe": "4h"
}
],
"entry_rules": [
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "BTC",
"timeframe": "4h"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "BTC",
"timeframe": "4h"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 50
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "BTC",
"timeframe": "4h"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 50
}
},
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"version": 1
}Strategy instructions
Trading agent generated from recommendation idea 'Weak jobs report cools rate-hike fears — Bitcoin momentum play as short squeeze triggers'. Thesis: The June jobs report was a massive miss with only 57,000 positions added, which instantly cooled expectations for a Federal Reserve rate hike. According to the crypto market coverage, this macroeconomic shift acted as a catalyst, pushing Bitcoin back above $60,000 and triggering a 'short squeeze' where bearish traders were forced to liquidate $281 million in positions. Compounding this upward pressure, institutional capital finally returned to the space, breaking a 10-day negative streak with a $222 million influx into U.S. Bitcoin ETFs. When a sudden macro tailwind meets forced buying and institutional inflows, it creates a sustained momentum rally.
Performance
No trade count, win rate, or realized P&L figures are provided in this public preview. The thesis and shared rules do not establish a performance record.
What this public preview can establish
- The dated rule snapshot above shows the conditions evaluated at that time. It does not prove a current trigger or executed trade.
- Technical strategy fields are shared above. Inspect the actual conditions and check when they were evaluated before relying on them.
- No trade count, win rate, or P&L figure is published in this preview. It cannot establish a performance record.
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