Public trading strategy
Memory chip stocks plunge on supply glut fears as investors rotate to crypto — s
Created
Thesis
Fear of a memory supply-glut wiped out billions from chipmakers like SanDisk and Micron yesterday. At the exact same time, market data shows a broad shift in investor focus, with capital rotating out of the AI semiconductor trade that dominated 2026 and pouring back into Bitcoin. When fundamental supply fears collide with a massive sector rotation away from a crowded trade, the downside momentum often accelerates. Shorting the weakest memory stocks as capital rotates to crypto captures this double-negative trend.
Strategy approach
Build a rule-based strategy that enters short MU on D1 when the stock closes below its 50-day moving average and Bitcoin (BTCUSD) makes a 20-day high simultaneously. Exit if MU closes above its 20-day high. Use a 7% stop loss and a 21-day max hold.
Markets and timeframes
Latest published rule evaluation
Evaluated . This is a dated rule snapshot, not a live price or trade execution confirmation.
MU · 1d
0 of 1 published entry conditions marked met.
- Price below SMA (50) — far
- Price above Donchian (20) — met
SAND · 1d
1 of 1 published entry conditions marked met.
- Price below SMA (50) — met
- Price above Donchian (20) — near
Entry and exit at a glance
These are the named rules in the shared configuration. Review the full conditions below before using a strategy.
- Entry: SMA Crossover Short (SAND@1d) (2 conditions)
- Exit: Position Exit Rule (SAND@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: Stop Loss at 7.0% (1 condition)
- Exit: Take Profit at 14.0% (1 condition)
- Exit: SL: Below Support[1] (SAND@1d) (2 conditions)
- Exit: TP: Near Resistance[1] (SAND@1d) (1 condition)
Shared strategy rules
Rule configuration
{
"data_dependencies": [
{
"symbol": "SAND",
"timeframe": "1d"
}
],
"entry_rules": [
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "SAND",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "sma",
"period": 50
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_below",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "resistance_level"
}
}
],
"direction": "short",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1",
"name": "SMA Crossover Short (SAND@1d)",
"priority": 1,
"trade_symbol": "SAND"
}
],
"exit_rules": [
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "SAND",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "upper",
"indicator": {
"name": "donchian",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1",
"name": "Position Exit Rule (SAND@1d)",
"priority": 1,
"target_symbol": "SAND"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -7
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2",
"name": "Stop Loss at 7.0%",
"priority": 10,
"purpose": "stop_loss"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 14
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3",
"name": "Take Profit at 14.0%",
"priority": 11,
"purpose": "take_profit"
},
{
"applies_to": "short",
"condition_tree": {
"children": [
{
"cond": {
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
},
"op": "cond"
},
{
"cond": {
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "SAND",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"ratio": 618,
"type": "fibonacci_retracement"
}
},
"op": "cond"
}
],
"op": "any"
},
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "SAND",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"ratio": 618,
"type": "fibonacci_retracement"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_4",
"name": "SL: Below Support[1] (SAND@1d)",
"priority": 97,
"purpose": "take_profit"
},
{
"applies_to": "short",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_below",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "resistance_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_5",
"name": "TP: Near Resistance[1] (SAND@1d)",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss"
}
],
"position_sizing": {
"max_position_percent": 25,
"method": {
"type": "allocation"
},
"min_position_value": 100
},
"trigger_timeframe": "1d",
"version": 1
}Indicator configuration
{
"indicators": [
{
"name": "sma",
"period": 50
},
{
"name": "donchian",
"period": 20
}
]
}Parsed strategy
{
"data_dependencies": [
{
"symbol": "SAND",
"timeframe": "1d"
}
],
"entry_rules": [
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "SAND",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "sma",
"period": 50
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_below",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "resistance_level"
}
}
],
"direction": "short",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1",
"name": "SMA Crossover Short (SAND@1d)",
"priority": 1,
"trade_symbol": "SAND"
}
],
"exit_rules": [
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "SAND",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "upper",
"indicator": {
"name": "donchian",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1",
"name": "Position Exit Rule (SAND@1d)",
"priority": 1,
"target_symbol": "SAND"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -7
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2",
"name": "Stop Loss at 7.0%",
"priority": 10,
"purpose": "stop_loss"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 14
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3",
"name": "Take Profit at 14.0%",
"priority": 11,
"purpose": "take_profit"
},
{
"applies_to": "short",
"condition_tree": {
"children": [
{
"cond": {
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
},
"op": "cond"
},
{
"cond": {
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "SAND",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"ratio": 618,
"type": "fibonacci_retracement"
}
},
"op": "cond"
}
],
"op": "any"
},
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "SAND",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"ratio": 618,
"type": "fibonacci_retracement"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_4",
"name": "SL: Below Support[1] (SAND@1d)",
"priority": 97,
"purpose": "take_profit"
},
{
"applies_to": "short",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_below",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "resistance_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_5",
"name": "TP: Near Resistance[1] (SAND@1d)",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss"
}
],
"position_sizing": {
"max_position_percent": 25,
"method": {
"type": "allocation"
},
"min_position_value": 100
},
"trigger_timeframe": "1d",
"version": 1
}Strategy instructions
Trading agent generated from recommendation idea 'Memory chip stocks plunge on supply glut fears as investors rotate to crypto — short Micron'. Thesis: Fear of a memory supply-glut wiped out billions from chipmakers like SanDisk and Micron yesterday. At the exact same time, market data shows a broad shift in investor focus, with capital rotating out of the AI semiconductor trade that dominated 2026 and pouring back into Bitcoin. When fundamental supply fears collide with a massive sector rotation away from a crowded trade, the downside momentum often accelerates. Shorting the weakest memory stocks as capital rotates to crypto captures this double-negative trend.
Performance
No trade count, win rate, or realized P&L figures are provided in this public preview. The thesis and shared rules do not establish a performance record.
What this public preview can establish
- The dated rule snapshot above shows the conditions evaluated at that time. It does not prove a current trigger or executed trade.
- Technical strategy fields are shared above. Inspect the actual conditions and check when they were evaluated before relying on them.
- No trade count, win rate, or P&L figure is published in this preview. It cannot establish a performance record.
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