Oil surges on Iran strikes while chip stocks collapse — rotate into energy
Created
Thesis
The US airstrikes on Iran and the revocation of their oil sales license immediately triggered a supply shock premium in crude oil, pushing prices sharply higher. Simultaneously, the AI chip trade is unwinding rapidly due to growing competition fears and manufacturing delays, forcing investors to dump tech stocks. When you see oil surging on geopolitical chaos while the market's former tech leaders break down, it often signals a major sector rotation where money flows out of growth and into traditional energy as both a safe haven and an inflation hedge.
Strategy approach
Build a rule-based strategy that enters long XLE on D1 when front-month crude oil futures (CL1) close up >3% on the day AND NVDA closes down >2% on the same day. Exit after 14 days or if oil gives back 5% from its peak.
Markets and timeframes
Latest published rule evaluation
Evaluated . This is a dated rule snapshot, not a live price or trade execution confirmation.
USO · 1d
9 of 15 published entry conditions marked met.
- ROC (1) above 3 — met
- ROC (1) below -2 — far
- ADX (14) above 25 — met
- Supertrend (10) above 1 — met
- ATR (14) above 0.5 — unknown
- ROC (1) above 3 — met
- ROC (1) below -2 — far
- ADX (14) above 25 — met
- Supertrend (10) above 1 — met
- ATR (14) above 0.5 — unknown
- ROC (1) above 3 — met
- ROC (1) below -2 — far
- ADX (14) above 25 — met
- Supertrend (10) above 1 — met
- ATR (14) above 0.5 — unknown
XLE · 1d
3 of 15 published entry conditions marked met.
- ROC (1) above 3 — far
- ROC (1) below -2 — far
- ADX (14) above 25 — far
- Supertrend (10) above 1 — met
- ATR (14) above 0.5 — unknown
- ROC (1) above 3 — far
- ROC (1) below -2 — far
- ADX (14) above 25 — far
- Supertrend (10) above 1 — met
- ATR (14) above 0.5 — unknown
- ROC (1) above 3 — far
- ROC (1) below -2 — far
- ADX (14) above 25 — far
- Supertrend (10) above 1 — met
- ATR (14) above 0.5 — unknown
XOM · 1d
3 of 15 published entry conditions marked met.
- ROC (1) above 3 — far
- ROC (1) below -2 — far
- ADX (14) above 25 — far
- Supertrend (10) above 1 — met
- ATR (14) above 0.5 — unknown
- ROC (1) above 3 — far
- ROC (1) below -2 — far
- ADX (14) above 25 — far
- Supertrend (10) above 1 — met
- ATR (14) above 0.5 — unknown
- ROC (1) above 3 — far
- ROC (1) below -2 — far
- ADX (14) above 25 — far
- Supertrend (10) above 1 — met
- ATR (14) above 0.5 — unknown
Entry and exit at a glance
These are the named rules in the shared configuration. Review the full conditions below before using a strategy.
- Entry: ROC/ADX/SUPERTREND/ATR Crossover Long (XLE@1d) (6 conditions)
- Entry: ROC/ADX/SUPERTREND/ATR Crossover Long (USO@1d) (6 conditions)
- Entry: ROC/ADX/SUPERTREND/ATR Crossover Long (XOM@1d) (6 conditions)
- Entry: ROC/ADX/SUPERTREND/ATR Crossover Long (NVDA@1d) (6 conditions)
- Entry: ROC/ADX/SUPERTREND/ATR Crossover Long (CVX@1d) (6 conditions)
- Exit: TP: Near Resistance[2] (XLE@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: TP: Near Resistance[2] (USO@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: TP: Near Resistance[2] (XOM@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: TP: Near Resistance[2] (NVDA@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: TP: Near Resistance[2] (CVX@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: SL: Below Support[2] (XLE@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: SL: Below Support[2] (USO@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: SL: Below Support[2] (XOM@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: SL: Below Support[2] (NVDA@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: SL: Below Support[2] (CVX@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: Stop Loss at 2.4% (1 condition)
- Exit: Take Profit at 4.8% (1 condition)
Shared strategy rules
Rule configuration
{
"data_dependencies": [
{
"symbol": "XLE",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
"symbol": "USO",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
"symbol": "XOM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
"symbol": "NVDA",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
"symbol": "CVX",
"timeframe": "1d"
}
],
"entry_rules": [
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "XLE",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "roc",
"period": 1
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 3
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "XLE",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "roc",
"period": 1
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -2
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "XLE",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "adx",
"indicator": {
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 25
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "resistance_level"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "XLE",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"multiplier": 3,
"name": "supertrend",
"period": 10
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 1
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "XLE",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "atr",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 0.5
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_xle",
"name": "ROC/ADX/SUPERTREND/ATR Crossover Long (XLE@1d)",
"priority": 1,
"trade_symbol": "XLE"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "USO",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "roc",
"period": 1
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 3
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "USO",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "roc",
"period": 1
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -2
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "USO",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "adx",
"indicator": {
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 25
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "resistance_level"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "USO",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"multiplier": 3,
"name": "supertrend",
"period": 10
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 1
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "USO",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "atr",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 0.5
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_uso",
"name": "ROC/ADX/SUPERTREND/ATR Crossover Long (USO@1d)",
"priority": 2,
"trade_symbol": "USO"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "XOM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "roc",
"period": 1
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 3
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "XOM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "roc",
"period": 1
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -2
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "XOM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "adx",
"indicator": {
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 25
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "resistance_level"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "XOM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"multiplier": 3,
"name": "supertrend",
"period": 10
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 1
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "XOM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "atr",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 0.5
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_xom",
"name": "ROC/ADX/SUPERTREND/ATR Crossover Long (XOM@1d)",
"priority": 3,
"trade_symbol": "XOM"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "NVDA",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "roc",
"period": 1
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 3
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "NVDA",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "roc",
"period": 1
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -2
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "NVDA",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "adx",
"indicator": {
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 25
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "resistance_level"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "NVDA",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"multiplier": 3,
"name": "supertrend",
"period": 10
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 1
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "NVDA",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "atr",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 0.5
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_nvda",
"name": "ROC/ADX/SUPERTREND/ATR Crossover Long (NVDA@1d)",
"priority": 4,
"trade_symbol": "NVDA"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "CVX",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "roc",
"period": 1
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 3
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "CVX",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "roc",
"period": 1
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -2
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "CVX",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "adx",
"indicator": {
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 25
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "resistance_level"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "CVX",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"multiplier": 3,
"name": "supertrend",
"period": 10
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 1
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "CVX",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "atr",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 0.5
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_cvx",
"name": "ROC/ADX/SUPERTREND/ATR Crossover Long (CVX@1d)",
"priority": 5,
"trade_symbol": "CVX"
}
],
"exit_rules": [
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"rank": 2,
"type": "resistance_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1_xle",
"name": "TP: Near Resistance[2] (XLE@1d)",
"priority": 97,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "XLE"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"rank": 2,
"type": "resistance_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1_uso",
"name": "TP: Near Resistance[2] (USO@1d)",
"priority": 98,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "USO"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"rank": 2,
"type": "resistance_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1_xom",
"name": "TP: Near Resistance[2] (XOM@1d)",
"priority": 99,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "XOM"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"rank": 2,
"type": "resistance_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1_nvda",
"name": "TP: Near Resistance[2] (NVDA@1d)",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "NVDA"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"rank": 2,
"type": "resistance_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1_cvx",
"name": "TP: Near Resistance[2] (CVX@1d)",
"priority": 101,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "CVX"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"rank": 2,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2_xle",
"name": "SL: Below Support[2] (XLE@1d)",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "XLE"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"rank": 2,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2_uso",
"name": "SL: Below Support[2] (USO@1d)",
"priority": 101,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "USO"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"rank": 2,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2_xom",
"name": "SL: Below Support[2] (XOM@1d)",
"priority": 102,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "XOM"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"rank": 2,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2_nvda",
"name": "SL: Below Support[2] (NVDA@1d)",
"priority": 103,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "NVDA"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"rank": 2,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2_cvx",
"name": "SL: Below Support[2] (CVX@1d)",
"priority": 104,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "CVX"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -2.4231666666666665
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3",
"name": "Stop Loss at 2.4%",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 4.846333333333333
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_4",
"name": "Take Profit at 4.8%",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "take_profit"
}
],
"position_sizing": {
"max_position_percent": 20,
"method": {
"risk_percent": 2.4231666666666665,
"support_stop_rank": 2,
"type": "fixed_risk"
},
"min_position_value": 100
},
"trigger_timeframe": "1d",
"version": 1
}Indicator configuration
{
"indicators": [
{
"name": "roc",
"period": 1
},
{
"multiplier": 3,
"name": "supertrend",
"period": 10
},
{
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
{
"name": "atr",
"period": 14
},
{
"name": "roc",
"period": 1
},
{
"multiplier": 3,
"name": "supertrend",
"period": 10
},
{
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
{
"name": "atr",
"period": 14
},
{
"name": "roc",
"period": 1
},
{
"multiplier": 3,
"name": "supertrend",
"period": 10
},
{
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
{
"name": "atr",
"period": 14
},
{
"name": "roc",
"period": 1
},
{
"multiplier": 3,
"name": "supertrend",
"period": 10
},
{
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
{
"name": "atr",
"period": 14
},
{
"name": "roc",
"period": 1
},
{
"multiplier": 3,
"name": "supertrend",
"period": 10
},
{
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
{
"name": "atr",
"period": 14
}
]
}Parsed strategy
{
"data_dependencies": [
{
"symbol": "XLE",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
"symbol": "USO",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
"symbol": "XOM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
"symbol": "NVDA",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
"symbol": "CVX",
"timeframe": "1d"
}
],
"entry_rules": [
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "XLE",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "roc",
"period": 1
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 3
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "XLE",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "roc",
"period": 1
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -2
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "XLE",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "adx",
"indicator": {
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 25
}
},
{
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}Strategy instructions
Trading agent generated from recommendation idea 'Oil surges on Iran strikes while chip stocks collapse — rotate into energy'. Thesis: The US airstrikes on Iran and the revocation of their oil sales license immediately triggered a supply shock premium in crude oil, pushing prices sharply higher. Simultaneously, the AI chip trade is unwinding rapidly due to growing competition fears and manufacturing delays, forcing investors to dump tech stocks. When you see oil surging on geopolitical chaos while the market's former tech leaders break down, it often signals a major sector rotation where money flows out of growth and into traditional energy as both a safe haven and an inflation hedge.
Performance
No trade count, win rate, or realized P&L figures are provided in this public preview. The thesis and shared rules do not establish a performance record.
What this public preview can establish
- The dated rule snapshot above shows the conditions evaluated at that time. It does not prove a current trigger or executed trade.
- Technical strategy fields are shared above. Inspect the actual conditions and check when they were evaluated before relying on them.
- No trade count, win rate, or P&L figure is published in this preview. It cannot establish a performance record.
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