Public trading strategy
Iran deal fuels optimism in emerging markets — ride the global relief rally
Thesis
Developing nations are usually the biggest winners when oil prices drop, because they rely heavily on imported energy to power their growing economies. Cheaper oil means lower costs for these countries, which acts like a giant tax cut for their citizens and businesses. With tensions in the Middle East cooling off, investors are eager to pour money back into these high-growth regions.
Strategy approach
Build a momentum strategy for EEM (iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF). Entry conditions: Price makes a new 20-day high on the daily timeframe, and the slope of the 50-day SMA is positive. Exit conditions: Price closes below the 20-day SMA. Max hold time of 20 days.