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Public trading strategy

Tesla blows past delivery estimates while AI chip stocks stumble — rotate into T

Created

Thesis

Tesla's Q2 delivery beat of 480,126 vehicles provides a strong fundamental catalyst that analysts did not expect. We combine this with the broader macro backdrop of a weakening dollar and dimming rate-hike expectations, which disproportionately helps growth and consumer-discretionary stocks like Tesla by making financing cheaper. Finally, we note the divergence in the CNBC coverage: the Dow is hitting records while the Nasdaq struggles as chipmakers fall. This indicates the market is rewarding non-tech industrial growth right now, giving Tesla the perfect runway to sustain a relief rally as investors look for growth outside of the semiconductor trade.

Strategy approach

Build a momentum-continuation strategy on TSLA (D1). Entry: enter long if the stock closes up >5% on the daily session following a positive delivery/earnings surprise. Filter: only take the trade if the Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) is down or flat on the same day (confirming rotation into TSLA rather than a broad market rally). Exit: 8% profit target, tight 4% stop loss, max hold 10 days.

Markets and timeframes

Latest published rule evaluation

Evaluated . This is a dated rule snapshot, not a live price or trade execution confirmation.

TSLA · 1d

0 of 6 published entry conditions marked met.

  • ROC (1) above 5 — far
  • Price below EMA (5) — near
  • ATR (14) above 0.5 — unknown
  • ROC (1) above 5 — far
  • Price below EMA (5) — near
  • ATR (14) above 0.5 — unknown

Entry and exit at a glance

These are the named rules in the shared configuration. Review the full conditions below before using a strategy.

  • Entry: ROC/VWAP/EMA/ATR Crossover Long (TSLA@1d) (5 conditions)
  • Entry: ROC/VWAP/EMA/ATR Crossover Long (QQQ@1d) (5 conditions)
  • Exit: Take Profit at 10.0% (1 condition)
  • Exit: TP: Near Resistance[2] (TSLA@1d) (1 condition)
  • Exit: TP: Near Resistance[2] (QQQ@1d) (1 condition)
  • Exit: SL: Below Support[1] (TSLA@1d) (1 condition)
  • Exit: SL: Below Support[1] (QQQ@1d) (1 condition)
  • Exit: Stop Loss at 2.5% (1 condition)
  • Exit: Take Profit at 5.0% (1 condition)

Shared strategy rules

Rule configuration

{
  "data_dependencies": [
    {
      "symbol": "TSLA",
      "timeframe": "1d"
    },
    {
      "symbol": "QQQ",
      "timeframe": "1d"
    }
  ],
  "entry_rules": [
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "TSLA",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "roc",
              "period": 1
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 5
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "TSLA",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "vwap"
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "TSLA",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "ema",
              "period": 5
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_above",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "resistance_level"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "TSLA",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "atr",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 0.5
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_1_tsla",
      "name": "ROC/VWAP/EMA/ATR Crossover Long (TSLA@1d)",
      "priority": 1,
      "trade_symbol": "TSLA"
    },
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "QQQ",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "roc",
              "period": 1
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 5
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "QQQ",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "vwap"
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "QQQ",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "ema",
              "period": 5
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_above",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "resistance_level"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "QQQ",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "atr",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 0.5
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_1_qqq",
      "name": "ROC/VWAP/EMA/ATR Crossover Long (QQQ@1d)",
      "priority": 2,
      "trade_symbol": "QQQ"
    }
  ],
  "exit_rules": [
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 10
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_1",
      "name": "Take Profit at 10.0%",
      "priority": 1,
      "purpose": "signal"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "rank": 2,
            "type": "resistance_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_2_tsla",
      "name": "TP: Near Resistance[2] (TSLA@1d)",
      "priority": 97,
      "purpose": "take_profit",
      "target_symbol": "TSLA"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "rank": 2,
            "type": "resistance_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_2_qqq",
      "name": "TP: Near Resistance[2] (QQQ@1d)",
      "priority": 98,
      "purpose": "take_profit",
      "target_symbol": "QQQ"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_above",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_3_tsla",
      "name": "SL: Below Support[1] (TSLA@1d)",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "stop_loss",
      "target_symbol": "TSLA"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_above",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_3_qqq",
      "name": "SL: Below Support[1] (QQQ@1d)",
      "priority": 101,
      "purpose": "stop_loss",
      "target_symbol": "QQQ"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": -2.493666666666667
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_4",
      "name": "Stop Loss at 2.5%",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "stop_loss"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 4.987333333333334
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_5",
      "name": "Take Profit at 5.0%",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "take_profit"
    }
  ],
  "position_sizing": {
    "max_position_percent": 25,
    "method": {
      "risk_percent": 2.493666666666667,
      "support_stop_rank": 1,
      "type": "fixed_risk"
    },
    "min_position_value": 100
  },
  "trigger_timeframe": "1d",
  "version": 1
}

Indicator configuration

{
  "indicators": [
    {
      "name": "roc",
      "period": 1
    },
    {
      "name": "ema",
      "period": 5
    },
    {
      "name": "atr",
      "period": 14
    },
    {
      "name": "vwap"
    },
    {
      "name": "roc",
      "period": 1
    },
    {
      "name": "ema",
      "period": 5
    },
    {
      "name": "atr",
      "period": 14
    },
    {
      "name": "vwap"
    }
  ]
}

Parsed strategy

{
  "data_dependencies": [
    {
      "symbol": "TSLA",
      "timeframe": "1d"
    },
    {
      "symbol": "QQQ",
      "timeframe": "1d"
    }
  ],
  "entry_rules": [
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "TSLA",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "roc",
              "period": 1
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 5
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "TSLA",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "vwap"
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "TSLA",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "ema",
              "period": 5
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_above",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "resistance_level"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "TSLA",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "atr",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 0.5
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_1_tsla",
      "name": "ROC/VWAP/EMA/ATR Crossover Long (TSLA@1d)",
      "priority": 1,
      "trade_symbol": "TSLA"
    },
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "QQQ",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "roc",
              "period": 1
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 5
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "QQQ",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "vwap"
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "QQQ",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "ema",
              "period": 5
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_above",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "resistance_level"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "QQQ",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "atr",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 0.5
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_1_qqq",
      "name": "ROC/VWAP/EMA/ATR Crossover Long (QQQ@1d)",
      "priority": 2,
      "trade_symbol": "QQQ"
    }
  ],
  "exit_rules": [
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 10
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_1",
      "name": "Take Profit at 10.0%",
      "priority": 1,
      "purpose": "signal"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "rank": 2,
            "type": "resistance_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_2_tsla",
      "name": "TP: Near Resistance[2] (TSLA@1d)",
      "priority": 97,
      "purpose": "take_profit",
      "target_symbol": "TSLA"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "rank": 2,
            "type": "resistance_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_2_qqq",
      "name": "TP: Near Resistance[2] (QQQ@1d)",
      "priority": 98,
      "purpose": "take_profit",
      "target_symbol": "QQQ"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_above",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_3_tsla",
      "name": "SL: Below Support[1] (TSLA@1d)",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "stop_loss",
      "target_symbol": "TSLA"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_above",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_3_qqq",
      "name": "SL: Below Support[1] (QQQ@1d)",
      "priority": 101,
      "purpose": "stop_loss",
      "target_symbol": "QQQ"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": -2.493666666666667
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_4",
      "name": "Stop Loss at 2.5%",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "stop_loss"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 4.987333333333334
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_5",
      "name": "Take Profit at 5.0%",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "take_profit"
    }
  ],
  "position_sizing": {
    "max_position_percent": 25,
    "method": {
      "risk_percent": 2.493666666666667,
      "support_stop_rank": 1,
      "type": "fixed_risk"
    },
    "min_position_value": 100
  },
  "trigger_timeframe": "1d",
  "version": 1
}

Strategy instructions

Trading agent generated from recommendation idea 'Tesla blows past delivery estimates while AI chip stocks stumble — rotate into TSLA'. Thesis: Tesla's Q2 delivery beat of 480,126 vehicles provides a strong fundamental catalyst that analysts did not expect. We combine this with the broader macro backdrop of a weakening dollar and dimming rate-hike expectations, which disproportionately helps growth and consumer-discretionary stocks like Tesla by making financing cheaper. Finally, we note the divergence in the CNBC coverage: the Dow is hitting records while the Nasdaq struggles as chipmakers fall. This indicates the market is rewarding non-tech industrial growth right now, giving Tesla the perfect runway to sustain a relief rally as investors look for growth outside of the semiconductor trade.

Performance

No trade count, win rate, or realized P&L figures are provided in this public preview. The thesis and shared rules do not establish a performance record.

What this public preview can establish

  • The dated rule snapshot above shows the conditions evaluated at that time. It does not prove a current trigger or executed trade.
  • Technical strategy fields are shared above. Inspect the actual conditions and check when they were evaluated before relying on them.
  • No trade count, win rate, or P&L figure is published in this preview. It cannot establish a performance record.

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