Bitcoin is crashing but the US government is buying — prepare for a rebound trad

Thesis

Bitcoin has crashed to its lowest level since February as leveraged traders are wiped out in a mass liquidation event. While the panic is real, the US government just signaled it is moving forward with plans for a strategic Bitcoin reserve. This creates a strong underlying fundamental catalyst that flies in the face of the current panic. When fear is at its highest but a major positive policy shift is underway, it often sets the stage for a sharp rebound.

Strategy approach

Build a counter-trend long strategy for Bitcoin (BTCUSDT) on the 4-hour (H4) timeframe. Look for a bullish MACD crossover while the RSI(14) is below 35 (oversold). Enter long on the close of the crossover candle. Set a stop loss at 2 ATR below the entry swing low, and a take profit at the previous day's high.

Markets and timeframes

What this public preview can establish

• The thesis and strategy approach describe a market view. They do not show whether an entry or exit condition is currently met.
• No inspectable rule definition is included in this public preview. Do not infer a trigger from the thesis or approach.
• No trade count, win rate, or P&L figure is published in this preview. It cannot establish a performance record.

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