Public trading strategy
TSMC smashes earnings on AI demand — ride the chip wave into AMD
Created
Thesis
TSMC's record-breaking profit proves that the AI revolution is driving massive, real-world hardware sales right now. As the main manufacturer for the industry, their blowout results serve as a leading indicator that chip designers like AMD are also seeing massive demand. With Bank of America already predicting a strong quarter for AMD, this fundamental tailwind provides a great setup to ride the AI momentum.
Strategy approach
Build a swing-trading strategy that enters long AMD on the D1 timeframe when TSMC (TSM) closes up >5% on its earnings day. Hold for 14 days or exit if AMD drops 5% from the entry price.
Markets and timeframes
Latest published rule evaluation
Evaluated . This is a dated rule snapshot, not a live price or trade execution confirmation.
AMD · 1d
3 of 7 published entry conditions marked met.
- Price below EMA (50) — far
- Price at or above SMA (20) — met
- Price above Price — met
- RSI (14) at or above 35 — met
- RSI (14) below 65 — far
- OBV above SMA (20) — unknown
- ROC (1) above 5 — near
- RSI (14) above 70 — met
- Price below EMA (50) — far
TSM · 1d
No entry condition values were published.
- RSI (14) above 70 — far
- Price below EMA (50) — near
Entry and exit at a glance
These are the named rules in the shared configuration. Review the full conditions below before using a strategy.
- Entry: Wait-for-Support Reversal Long (AMD@1d) (7 conditions)
- Exit: Overbought RSI Exit (AMD@1d) (2 conditions)
- Exit: Overbought RSI Exit (TSM@1d) (2 conditions)
- Exit: TP: Fib Extension 127.2% (AMD@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: TP: Fib Extension 127.2% (TSM@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: SL: Fib Retracement 78.6% (AMD@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: SL: Fib Retracement 78.6% (TSM@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: Stop Loss at 2.5% (1 condition)
- Exit: Take Profit at 5.0% (1 condition)
- Exit: Thesis time stop after 45 days (1 condition)
Shared strategy rules
Rule configuration
{
"data_dependencies": [
{
"symbol": "STOCK:AMD",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
"symbol": "STOCK:TSM",
"timeframe": "1d"
}
],
"entry_rules": [
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:AMD",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:AMD",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 50
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:AMD",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:AMD",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "sma",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:AMD",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:AMD",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "open",
"type": "price"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:AMD",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 35
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:AMD",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 65
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:AMD",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "obv"
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:AMD",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "sma",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:TSM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "roc",
"period": 1
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 5
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_amd",
"name": "Wait-for-Support Reversal Long (AMD@1d)",
"priority": 1,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:AMD"
}
],
"exit_rules": [
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:AMD",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 70
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:AMD",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:AMD",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 50
},
"type": "indicator"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1_amd",
"name": "Overbought RSI Exit (AMD@1d)",
"priority": 1,
"purpose": "signal",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:AMD"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:TSM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 70
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:TSM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:TSM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 50
},
"type": "indicator"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1_tsm",
"name": "Overbought RSI Exit (TSM@1d)",
"priority": 2,
"purpose": "signal",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:TSM"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:AMD",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:AMD",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"ratio": 1272,
"type": "fibonacci_extension"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2_amd",
"name": "TP: Fib Extension 127.2% (AMD@1d)",
"priority": 96,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:AMD"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:TSM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:TSM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"ratio": 1272,
"type": "fibonacci_extension"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2_tsm",
"name": "TP: Fib Extension 127.2% (TSM@1d)",
"priority": 97,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:TSM"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:AMD",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:AMD",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"ratio": 786,
"type": "fibonacci_retracement"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3_amd",
"name": "SL: Fib Retracement 78.6% (AMD@1d)",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:AMD"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:TSM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:TSM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"ratio": 786,
"type": "fibonacci_retracement"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3_tsm",
"name": "SL: Fib Retracement 78.6% (TSM@1d)",
"priority": 101,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:TSM"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -2.4951666666666665
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_4",
"name": "Stop Loss at 2.5%",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 4.990333333333333
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_5",
"name": "Take Profit at 5.0%",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "take_profit"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "holding_period_bars",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 45
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "advanced_analysis_time_stop",
"name": "Thesis time stop after 45 days",
"priority": 102,
"purpose": "signal"
}
],
"position_sizing": {
"max_position_percent": 25,
"method": {
"fib_stop_ratio": 786,
"risk_percent": 2.4951666666666665,
"type": "fixed_risk"
},
"min_position_value": 100
},
"trigger_timeframe": "1d",
"version": 1
}Indicator configuration
{
"indicators": [
{
"name": "ema",
"period": 50
},
{
"name": "roc",
"period": 1
},
{
"name": "obv"
},
{
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
{
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
{
"name": "sma",
"period": 20
},
{
"name": "ema",
"period": 50
},
{
"name": "roc",
"period": 1
},
{
"name": "obv"
},
{
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
{
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
{
"name": "sma",
"period": 20
}
]
}Parsed strategy
{
"data_dependencies": [
{
"symbol": "STOCK:AMD",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
"symbol": "STOCK:TSM",
"timeframe": "1d"
}
],
"entry_rules": [
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:AMD",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:AMD",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 50
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:AMD",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:AMD",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "sma",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:AMD",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:AMD",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "open",
"type": "price"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:AMD",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 35
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:AMD",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 65
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:AMD",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "obv"
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:AMD",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "sma",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:TSM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "roc",
"period": 1
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 5
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_amd",
"name": "Wait-for-Support Reversal Long (AMD@1d)",
"priority": 1,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:AMD"
}
],
"exit_rules": [
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:AMD",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 70
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:AMD",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:AMD",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 50
},
"type": "indicator"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1_amd",
"name": "Overbought RSI Exit (AMD@1d)",
"priority": 1,
"purpose": "signal",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:AMD"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:TSM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 70
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:TSM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:TSM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 50
},
"type": "indicator"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1_tsm",
"name": "Overbought RSI Exit (TSM@1d)",
"priority": 2,
"purpose": "signal",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:TSM"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:AMD",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:AMD",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"ratio": 1272,
"type": "fibonacci_extension"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2_amd",
"name": "TP: Fib Extension 127.2% (AMD@1d)",
"priority": 96,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:AMD"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:TSM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:TSM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"ratio": 1272,
"type": "fibonacci_extension"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2_tsm",
"name": "TP: Fib Extension 127.2% (TSM@1d)",
"priority": 97,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:TSM"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:AMD",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:AMD",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"ratio": 786,
"type": "fibonacci_retracement"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3_amd",
"name": "SL: Fib Retracement 78.6% (AMD@1d)",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:AMD"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:TSM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:TSM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"ratio": 786,
"type": "fibonacci_retracement"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3_tsm",
"name": "SL: Fib Retracement 78.6% (TSM@1d)",
"priority": 101,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:TSM"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -2.4951666666666665
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_4",
"name": "Stop Loss at 2.5%",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 4.990333333333333
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_5",
"name": "Take Profit at 5.0%",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "take_profit"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "holding_period_bars",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 45
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "advanced_analysis_time_stop",
"name": "Thesis time stop after 45 days",
"priority": 102,
"purpose": "signal"
}
],
"position_sizing": {
"max_position_percent": 25,
"method": {
"fib_stop_ratio": 786,
"risk_percent": 2.4951666666666665,
"type": "fixed_risk"
},
"min_position_value": 100
},
"trigger_timeframe": "1d",
"version": 1
}Strategy instructions
Trading agent generated from recommendation idea 'TSMC smashes earnings on AI demand — ride the chip wave into AMD'. Thesis: TSMC's record-breaking profit proves that the AI revolution is driving massive, real-world hardware sales right now. As the main manufacturer for the industry, their blowout results serve as a leading indicator that chip designers like AMD are also seeing massive demand. With Bank of America already predicting a strong quarter for AMD, this fundamental tailwind provides a great setup to ride the AI momentum.
Performance
No trade count, win rate, or realized P&L figures are provided in this public preview. The thesis and shared rules do not establish a performance record.
What this public preview can establish
- The dated rule snapshot above shows the conditions evaluated at that time. It does not prove a current trigger or executed trade.
- Technical strategy fields are shared above. Inspect the actual conditions and check when they were evaluated before relying on them.
- No trade count, win rate, or P&L figure is published in this preview. It cannot establish a performance record.
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