Public trading strategy
Goldman Sachs has set a clear price target of $80-$90 for oil, contingent on a U
Created
Thesis
Goldman Sachs has set a clear price target of $80-$90 for oil, contingent on a US-Iran deal being reached. With Bessent now signaling a potential agreement to open the Strait of Hormuz within 48 hours, the geopolitical risk premium currently baked into energy prices could evaporate rapidly. If ships can move freely through the strait again, the global oil supply constraint disappears, likely driving prices toward the bottom of Goldman's forecast range. This creates a short-term opportunity to bet against the recent oil rally as the market prices in peace.
Markets and timeframes
XLE1D
Latest published rule evaluation
Evaluated . This is a dated rule snapshot, not a live price or trade execution confirmation.
XLE · 1d
0 of 15 published entry conditions marked met.
- Price crossed above EMA (20) — near
- RSI (14) above 50 — far
- ATR (14) below Price — unknown
- Price crossed above EMA (20) — near
- RSI (14) above 50 — far
- ATR (14) below Price — unknown
- Price crossed above EMA (20) — near
- RSI (14) above 50 — far
- ATR (14) below Price — unknown
- Price crossed above EMA (20) — near
- RSI (14) above 50 — far
- ATR (14) below Price — unknown
- Price crossed above EMA (20) — near
- RSI (14) above 50 — far
- ATR (14) below Price — unknown
- Price at or below EMA (20) — near
- Price at or below EMA (20) — near
- Price at or below EMA (20) — near
- Price at or below EMA (20) — near
- Price at or below EMA (20) — near
Entry and exit at a glance
These are the named rules in the shared configuration. Review the full conditions below before using a strategy.
- Entry: Confirmed Momentum Reversal Long (XLE@1d) (3 conditions)
- Entry: Confirmed Momentum Reversal Long (XOM@1d) (3 conditions)
- Entry: Confirmed Momentum Reversal Long (CVX@1d) (3 conditions)
- Entry: Confirmed Momentum Reversal Long (COP@1d) (3 conditions)
- Entry: Confirmed Momentum Reversal Long (VLO@1d) (3 conditions)
- Exit: Invalidation: Lose EMA20 (XLE@1d) (2 conditions)
- Exit: Invalidation: Lose EMA20 (XOM@1d) (2 conditions)
- Exit: Invalidation: Lose EMA20 (CVX@1d) (2 conditions)
- Exit: Invalidation: Lose EMA20 (COP@1d) (2 conditions)
- Exit: Invalidation: Lose EMA20 (VLO@1d) (2 conditions)
- Exit: Take Profit: Fibonacci 78.6% (XLE@1d) (2 conditions)
- Exit: Take Profit: Fibonacci 78.6% (XOM@1d) (2 conditions)
- Exit: Take Profit: Fibonacci 78.6% (CVX@1d) (2 conditions)
- Exit: Take Profit: Fibonacci 78.6% (COP@1d) (2 conditions)
- Exit: Take Profit: Fibonacci 78.6% (VLO@1d) (2 conditions)
- Exit: Time Stop: 21 Bars (1 condition)
- Exit: Stop Loss at 2.0% (1 condition)
- Exit: Take Profit at 4.0% (1 condition)
Shared strategy rules
Rule configuration
{
"data_dependencies": [
{
"symbol": "STOCK:XLE",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
"symbol": "STOCK:XOM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
"symbol": "STOCK:CVX",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
"symbol": "STOCK:COP",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
"symbol": "STOCK:VLO",
"timeframe": "1d"
}
],
"entry_rules": [
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:XLE",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:XLE",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:XLE",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 50
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:XLE",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "atr",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:XLE",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_xle",
"name": "Confirmed Momentum Reversal Long (XLE@1d)",
"priority": 1,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:XLE"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:XOM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:XOM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:XOM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 50
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:XOM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "atr",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:XOM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_xom",
"name": "Confirmed Momentum Reversal Long (XOM@1d)",
"priority": 2,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:XOM"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:CVX",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:CVX",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:CVX",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 50
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:CVX",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "atr",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:CVX",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_cvx",
"name": "Confirmed Momentum Reversal Long (CVX@1d)",
"priority": 3,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:CVX"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:COP",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:COP",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:COP",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 50
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:COP",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "atr",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:COP",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_cop",
"name": "Confirmed Momentum Reversal Long (COP@1d)",
"priority": 4,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:COP"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:VLO",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:VLO",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:VLO",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 50
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:VLO",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "atr",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:VLO",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_vlo",
"name": "Confirmed Momentum Reversal Long (VLO@1d)",
"priority": 5,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:VLO"
}
],
"exit_rules": [
{
"applies_to": "long",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:XLE",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:XLE",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "holding_period_bars",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 21
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1_xle",
"name": "Invalidation: Lose EMA20 (XLE@1d)",
"priority": 1,
"purpose": "signal",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:XLE"
},
{
"applies_to": "long",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:XOM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:XOM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "holding_period_bars",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 21
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1_xom",
"name": "Invalidation: Lose EMA20 (XOM@1d)",
"priority": 2,
"purpose": "signal",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:XOM"
},
{
"applies_to": "long",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:CVX",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:CVX",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "holding_period_bars",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 21
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1_cvx",
"name": "Invalidation: Lose EMA20 (CVX@1d)",
"priority": 3,
"purpose": "signal",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:CVX"
},
{
"applies_to": "long",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:COP",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:COP",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "holding_period_bars",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 21
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1_cop",
"name": "Invalidation: Lose EMA20 (COP@1d)",
"priority": 4,
"purpose": "signal",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:COP"
},
{
"applies_to": "long",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:VLO",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:VLO",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "holding_period_bars",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 21
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1_vlo",
"name": "Invalidation: Lose EMA20 (VLO@1d)",
"priority": 5,
"purpose": "signal",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:VLO"
},
{
"applies_to": "long",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:XLE",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:XLE",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"ratio": 786,
"type": "fibonacci_retracement"
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "holding_period_bars",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 3
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2_xle",
"name": "Take Profit: Fibonacci 78.6% (XLE@1d)",
"priority": 50,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:XLE"
},
{
"applies_to": "long",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:XOM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:XOM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"ratio": 786,
"type": "fibonacci_retracement"
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "holding_period_bars",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 3
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2_xom",
"name": "Take Profit: Fibonacci 78.6% (XOM@1d)",
"priority": 51,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:XOM"
},
{
"applies_to": "long",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:CVX",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:CVX",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"ratio": 786,
"type": "fibonacci_retracement"
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "holding_period_bars",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 3
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2_cvx",
"name": "Take Profit: Fibonacci 78.6% (CVX@1d)",
"priority": 52,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:CVX"
},
{
"applies_to": "long",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:COP",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:COP",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"ratio": 786,
"type": "fibonacci_retracement"
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "holding_period_bars",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 3
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2_cop",
"name": "Take Profit: Fibonacci 78.6% (COP@1d)",
"priority": 53,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:COP"
},
{
"applies_to": "long",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:VLO",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:VLO",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"ratio": 786,
"type": "fibonacci_retracement"
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "holding_period_bars",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 3
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2_vlo",
"name": "Take Profit: Fibonacci 78.6% (VLO@1d)",
"priority": 54,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:VLO"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "holding_period_bars",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 21
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3_time",
"name": "Time Stop: 21 Bars",
"priority": 60,
"purpose": "signal"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -2
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_4",
"name": "Stop Loss at 2.0%",
"priority": 97,
"purpose": "stop_loss"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 4
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_5",
"name": "Take Profit at 4.0%",
"priority": 98,
"purpose": "take_profit"
}
],
"position_sizing": {
"max_position_percent": 20,
"method": {
"fib_stop_ratio": 786,
"risk_percent": 2,
"type": "fixed_risk"
},
"min_position_value": 100
},
"trigger_timeframe": "1d",
"version": 1
}Indicator configuration
{
"indicators": [
{
"name": "bollinger_bands",
"period": 20,
"std_dev": 2
},
{
"fast": 12,
"name": "macd",
"signal": 9,
"slow": 26
},
{
"name": "roc",
"period": 10
},
{
"name": "ema",
"period": 20
},
{
"name": "bollinger_bands",
"period": 20,
"std_dev": 2
},
{
"fast": 12,
"name": "macd",
"signal": 9,
"slow": 26
},
{
"name": "roc",
"period": 10
},
{
"name": "ema",
"period": 20
},
{
"name": "bollinger_bands",
"period": 20,
"std_dev": 2
},
{
"fast": 12,
"name": "macd",
"signal": 9,
"slow": 26
},
{
"name": "roc",
"period": 10
},
{
"name": "ema",
"period": 20
},
{
"name": "bollinger_bands",
"period": 20,
"std_dev": 2
},
{
"fast": 12,
"name": "macd",
"signal": 9,
"slow": 26
},
{
"name": "roc",
"period": 10
},
{
"name": "ema",
"period": 20
},
{
"name": "bollinger_bands",
"period": 20,
"std_dev": 2
},
{
"fast": 12,
"name": "macd",
"signal": 9,
"slow": 26
},
{
"name": "roc",
"period": 10
},
{
"name": "ema",
"period": 20
}
]
}Parsed strategy
{
"data_dependencies": [
{
"symbol": "STOCK:XLE",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
"symbol": "STOCK:XOM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
"symbol": "STOCK:CVX",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
"symbol": "STOCK:COP",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
"symbol": "STOCK:VLO",
"timeframe": "1d"
}
],
"entry_rules": [
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:XLE",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:XLE",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
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}Strategy instructions
Trading agent generated from recommendation idea 'Goldman Sachs has set a clear price target of $80-$90 for oil, contingent on a US-Iran deal being reached. With Bessent now signaling a potential agreement to open the Strait of Hormuz within 48 hours, the geopolitical risk premium currently baked into en'. Thesis: Goldman Sachs has set a clear price target of $80-$90 for oil, contingent on a US-Iran deal being reached. With Bessent now signaling a potential agreement to open the Strait of Hormuz within 48 hours, the geopolitical risk premium currently baked into energy prices could evaporate rapidly. If ships can move freely through the strait again, the global oil supply constraint disappears, likely driving prices toward the bottom of Goldman's forecast range. This creates a short-term opportunity to bet against the recent oil rally as the market prices in peace.
Performance
No trade count, win rate, or realized P&L figures are provided in this public preview. The thesis and shared rules do not establish a performance record.
What this public preview can establish
- The dated rule snapshot above shows the conditions evaluated at that time. It does not prove a current trigger or executed trade.
- Technical strategy fields are shared above. Inspect the actual conditions and check when they were evaluated before relying on them.
- No trade count, win rate, or P&L figure is published in this preview. It cannot establish a performance record.
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