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Public trading strategy

Gold is being squeezed by the same force from two directions: strong jobs data h

Created

Thesis

Gold is being squeezed by the same force from two directions: strong jobs data has already pushed it below the $4,400 mark, and markets are pricing in a real chance of a September rate hike with a hot CPI print due this week. When rates go up, gold becomes less attractive because it pays holders nothing. Meanwhile analysts warn the summer calm is ending with bond sell-offs and rate-hike risk building, so the rate-expectation pressure on gold could persist rather than fade quickly. A short position in gold — or gold miners, which amplify the move — rides this rate-driven headwind.

Strategy approach

Gold is being squeezed by the same force from two directions: strong jobs data has already pushed it below the $4,400 mark, and markets are pricing in a real chance of a September rate hike with a hot CPI print due this week. When rates go up, gold becomes less attractive because it pays holders nothing. Meanwhile analysts warn the summer calm is ending with bond sell-offs and rate-hike risk building, so the rate-expectation pressure on gold could persist rather than fade quickly. A short position in gold — or gold miners, which amplify the move — rides this rate-driven headwind. Decision analysis profile: near_term. Required dimensions: as_of_session, catalyst_timing, expectations_priced_in, price_volume, liquidity_spread_volatility, dilution_capital_allocation, downside, actionability.

Markets and timeframes

Latest published rule evaluation

Evaluated . This is a dated rule snapshot, not a live price or trade execution confirmation.

DGP · 1d

Incomplete evidence; No entry condition values were published.

GDX · 1d

2 of 3 published entry conditions marked met.

  • EMA (20) below EMA (50) — far
  • MACD (12,26,9) below MACD (12,26,9) — met
  • ADX (14) above 20 — met

GLD · 1d

1 of 3 published entry conditions marked met.

  • EMA (20) below EMA (50) — near
  • MACD (12,26,9) below MACD (12,26,9) — met
  • ADX (14) above 20 — far

Entry and exit at a glance

These are the named rules in the shared configuration. Review the full conditions below before using a strategy.

  • Entry: EMA/MACD/ADX Crossover Long (GLD@1d) (4 conditions)
  • Entry: EMA/MACD/ADX Crossover Long (GDX@1d) (4 conditions)
  • Exit: Position Exit Rule (1 condition)
  • Exit: SL: Below Support[1] (GLD@1d) (1 condition)
  • Exit: SL: Below Support[1] (GDX@1d) (1 condition)
  • Exit: SL: Fib Retracement 78.6% (GLD@1d) (1 condition)
  • Exit: SL: Fib Retracement 78.6% (GDX@1d) (1 condition)
  • Exit: Stop Loss at 2.5% (1 condition)
  • Exit: Take Profit at 5.0% (1 condition)

Shared strategy rules

Rule configuration

{
  "data_dependencies": [
    {
      "symbol": "STOCK:GLD",
      "timeframe": "1d"
    },
    {
      "symbol": "STOCK:GDX",
      "timeframe": "1d"
    }
  ],
  "entry_rules": [
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:GLD",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_below",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:GLD",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "ema",
              "period": 20
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:GLD",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "ema",
              "period": 50
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:GLD",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "line",
            "indicator": {
              "fast": 12,
              "name": "macd",
              "signal": 9,
              "slow": 26
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:GLD",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "signal",
            "indicator": {
              "fast": 12,
              "name": "macd",
              "signal": 9,
              "slow": 26
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:GLD",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "adx",
            "indicator": {
              "name": "adx",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 20
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_1_gld",
      "name": "EMA/MACD/ADX Crossover Long (GLD@1d)",
      "priority": 1,
      "trade_symbol": "STOCK:GLD"
    },
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:GDX",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_below",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:GDX",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "ema",
              "period": 20
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:GDX",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "ema",
              "period": 50
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:GDX",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "line",
            "indicator": {
              "fast": 12,
              "name": "macd",
              "signal": 9,
              "slow": 26
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:GDX",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "signal",
            "indicator": {
              "fast": 12,
              "name": "macd",
              "signal": 9,
              "slow": 26
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:GDX",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "adx",
            "indicator": {
              "name": "adx",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 20
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_1_gdx",
      "name": "EMA/MACD/ADX Crossover Long (GDX@1d)",
      "priority": 2,
      "trade_symbol": "STOCK:GDX"
    }
  ],
  "exit_rules": [
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "holding_period_bars",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 45
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_1",
      "name": "Position Exit Rule",
      "priority": 1,
      "purpose": "signal"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:GLD",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_2_gld",
      "name": "SL: Below Support[1] (GLD@1d)",
      "priority": 96,
      "purpose": "take_profit",
      "target_symbol": "STOCK:GLD"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:GDX",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_2_gdx",
      "name": "SL: Below Support[1] (GDX@1d)",
      "priority": 97,
      "purpose": "take_profit",
      "target_symbol": "STOCK:GDX"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:GLD",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:GLD",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "ratio": 786,
            "type": "fibonacci_retracement"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_3_gld",
      "name": "SL: Fib Retracement 78.6% (GLD@1d)",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "stop_loss",
      "target_symbol": "STOCK:GLD"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:GDX",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:GDX",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "ratio": 786,
            "type": "fibonacci_retracement"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_3_gdx",
      "name": "SL: Fib Retracement 78.6% (GDX@1d)",
      "priority": 101,
      "purpose": "stop_loss",
      "target_symbol": "STOCK:GDX"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": -2.4753333333333334
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_4",
      "name": "Stop Loss at 2.5%",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "stop_loss"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 4.950666666666667
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_5",
      "name": "Take Profit at 5.0%",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "take_profit"
    }
  ],
  "position_sizing": {
    "max_position_percent": 25,
    "method": {
      "fib_stop_ratio": 786,
      "risk_percent": 2.4753333333333334,
      "type": "fixed_risk"
    },
    "min_position_value": 100
  },
  "trigger_timeframe": "1d",
  "version": 1
}

Indicator configuration

{
  "indicators": [
    {
      "name": "ema",
      "period": 20
    },
    {
      "name": "ema",
      "period": 50
    },
    {
      "fast": 12,
      "name": "macd",
      "signal": 9,
      "slow": 26
    },
    {
      "name": "adx",
      "period": 14
    },
    {
      "name": "ema",
      "period": 20
    },
    {
      "name": "ema",
      "period": 50
    },
    {
      "fast": 12,
      "name": "macd",
      "signal": 9,
      "slow": 26
    },
    {
      "name": "adx",
      "period": 14
    }
  ]
}

Parsed strategy

{
  "data_dependencies": [
    {
      "symbol": "STOCK:GLD",
      "timeframe": "1d"
    },
    {
      "symbol": "STOCK:GDX",
      "timeframe": "1d"
    }
  ],
  "entry_rules": [
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:GLD",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_below",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:GLD",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "ema",
              "period": 20
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:GLD",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "ema",
              "period": 50
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:GLD",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "line",
            "indicator": {
              "fast": 12,
              "name": "macd",
              "signal": 9,
              "slow": 26
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:GLD",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "signal",
            "indicator": {
              "fast": 12,
              "name": "macd",
              "signal": 9,
              "slow": 26
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:GLD",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "adx",
            "indicator": {
              "name": "adx",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 20
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_1_gld",
      "name": "EMA/MACD/ADX Crossover Long (GLD@1d)",
      "priority": 1,
      "trade_symbol": "STOCK:GLD"
    },
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:GDX",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_below",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:GDX",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "ema",
              "period": 20
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:GDX",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "ema",
              "period": 50
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:GDX",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "line",
            "indicator": {
              "fast": 12,
              "name": "macd",
              "signal": 9,
              "slow": 26
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:GDX",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "signal",
            "indicator": {
              "fast": 12,
              "name": "macd",
              "signal": 9,
              "slow": 26
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:GDX",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "adx",
            "indicator": {
              "name": "adx",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 20
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_1_gdx",
      "name": "EMA/MACD/ADX Crossover Long (GDX@1d)",
      "priority": 2,
      "trade_symbol": "STOCK:GDX"
    }
  ],
  "exit_rules": [
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "holding_period_bars",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 45
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_1",
      "name": "Position Exit Rule",
      "priority": 1,
      "purpose": "signal"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:GLD",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_2_gld",
      "name": "SL: Below Support[1] (GLD@1d)",
      "priority": 96,
      "purpose": "take_profit",
      "target_symbol": "STOCK:GLD"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:GDX",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_2_gdx",
      "name": "SL: Below Support[1] (GDX@1d)",
      "priority": 97,
      "purpose": "take_profit",
      "target_symbol": "STOCK:GDX"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:GLD",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:GLD",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "ratio": 786,
            "type": "fibonacci_retracement"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_3_gld",
      "name": "SL: Fib Retracement 78.6% (GLD@1d)",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "stop_loss",
      "target_symbol": "STOCK:GLD"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:GDX",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:GDX",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "ratio": 786,
            "type": "fibonacci_retracement"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_3_gdx",
      "name": "SL: Fib Retracement 78.6% (GDX@1d)",
      "priority": 101,
      "purpose": "stop_loss",
      "target_symbol": "STOCK:GDX"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": -2.4753333333333334
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_4",
      "name": "Stop Loss at 2.5%",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "stop_loss"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 4.950666666666667
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_5",
      "name": "Take Profit at 5.0%",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "take_profit"
    }
  ],
  "position_sizing": {
    "max_position_percent": 25,
    "method": {
      "fib_stop_ratio": 786,
      "risk_percent": 2.4753333333333334,
      "type": "fixed_risk"
    },
    "min_position_value": 100
  },
  "trigger_timeframe": "1d",
  "version": 1
}

Strategy instructions

Trading agent generated from recommendation idea 'Gold is being squeezed by the same force from two directions: strong jobs data has already pushed it below the $4,400 mark, and markets are pricing in a real chance of a September rate hike with a hot CPI print due this week. When rates go up, gold become'. Thesis: Gold is being squeezed by the same force from two directions: strong jobs data has already pushed it below the $4,400 mark, and markets are pricing in a real chance of a September rate hike with a hot CPI print due this week. When rates go up, gold becomes less attractive because it pays holders nothing. Meanwhile analysts warn the summer calm is ending with bond sell-offs and rate-hike risk building, so the rate-expectation pressure on gold could persist rather than fade quickly. A short position in gold — or gold miners, which amplify the move — rides this rate-driven headwind.

Performance

No trade count, win rate, or realized P&L figures are provided in this public preview. The thesis and shared rules do not establish a performance record.

What this public preview can establish

  • The dated rule snapshot above shows the conditions evaluated at that time. It does not prove a current trigger or executed trade.
  • Technical strategy fields are shared above. Inspect the actual conditions and check when they were evaluated before relying on them.
  • No trade count, win rate, or P&L figure is published in this preview. It cannot establish a performance record.

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