Public trading strategy

Samsung's 18x profit explosion proves AI memory is a gold rush — ride the wave w

Thesis

Samsung's expected 18-fold profit jump signals that demand for AI memory is reaching a new crescendo, which validates the bullish thesis for competitors like Micron. Yahoo Finance separately notes that memory tightness is translating into 'cleaner earnings momentum' for Micron specifically, meaning profits are becoming more predictable and sustainable. On top of that, SK Hynix's massive $29 billion US listing shows the industry is scrambling to tap capital markets to meet surging AI chip demand. When you combine Samsung's blowout results, Micron's supply-tight fundamentals, and SK Hynix aggressively expanding, it paints a picture of a memory chip super-cycle that hasn't fully priced in across all names yet.

Strategy approach

Build a rule-based strategy that enters long MU on D1 when MU's relative strength vs SMH over the past 20 trading days ranks in the bottom quartile (mean reversion setup) OR when MU makes a 10-day closing high while SMH is within 2% of its 20-day high (momentum continuation). Size the position at 50% normal. Exit on a 6% trailing stop from the highest close since entry, or after a 21-day max hold.

Markets and timeframes

MUSMHD1

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