Public trading strategy
Oil is pulling back from a five-session rally as traders wait for signs Hormuz w
Created
Thesis
Oil is pulling back from a five-session rally as traders wait for signs Hormuz will reopen, which eases the geopolitical premium — but Japan's PPI data shows corporate costs are still rising fast and the BOJ is actively mulling further rate hikes. That creates a divergence: lower oil prices momentarily relieve Japan's import-cost squeeze, but the underlying wholesale inflation pressure means the BOJ is more likely to hike, which should strengthen the yen. Meanwhile, Goldman notes Japan has roughly $1 trillion in reserves for more intervention. The trade is to position for the next leg in the yen — either the BOJ hikes into persistent inflation and the yen rallies, or they don't and intervention remains the only tool to defend the 160 level.
Markets and timeframes
Latest published rule evaluation
Evaluated . This is a dated rule snapshot, not a live price or trade execution confirmation.
CL · 1d
2 of 3 published entry conditions marked met.
- Price above SMA (10) — met
- MACD (12,26,9) crossed above MACD (12,26,9) — near
- MACD (12,26,9) above 0 — met
- Price at or above EMA (21) — met
Entry and exit at a glance
These are the named rules in the shared configuration. Review the full conditions below before using a strategy.
- Entry: DXJ Long Entry (Contrarian Fade of Short Setup) (DXJ@1d) (3 conditions)
- Exit: Position Exit Rule (DXJ@1d) (2 conditions)
- Exit: SL: New Local Low Below Setup (DXJ@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: Stop Loss at 2.6% (1 condition)
- Exit: Take Profit at 5.3% (1 condition)
Shared strategy rules
Rule configuration
{
"data_dependencies": [
{
"symbol": "STOCK:DXJ",
"timeframe": "1d"
}
],
"entry_rules": [
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:DXJ",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:DXJ",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "sma",
"period": 10
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:DXJ",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "line",
"indicator": {
"fast": 12,
"name": "macd",
"signal": 9,
"slow": 26
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:DXJ",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "signal",
"indicator": {
"fast": 12,
"name": "macd",
"signal": 9,
"slow": 26
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:DXJ",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "line",
"indicator": {
"fast": 12,
"name": "macd",
"signal": 9,
"slow": 26
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 0
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_dxj",
"name": "DXJ Long Entry (Contrarian Fade of Short Setup) (DXJ@1d)",
"priority": 1,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:DXJ"
}
],
"exit_rules": [
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:DXJ",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:DXJ",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 21
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "holding_period_bars",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 45
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1_dxj",
"name": "Position Exit Rule (DXJ@1d)",
"priority": 1,
"purpose": "signal",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:DXJ"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:DXJ",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_below",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2_dxj",
"name": "SL: New Local Low Below Setup (DXJ@1d)",
"priority": 2,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:DXJ"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -2.639
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3",
"name": "Stop Loss at 2.6%",
"priority": 3,
"purpose": "stop_loss"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 5.278
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_4",
"name": "Take Profit at 5.3%",
"priority": 4,
"purpose": "take_profit"
}
],
"position_sizing": {
"max_position_percent": 20,
"method": {
"resistance_stop_rank": 1,
"risk_percent": 2.639,
"type": "fixed_risk"
},
"min_position_value": 100
},
"trigger_timeframe": "1d",
"version": 1
}Indicator configuration
{
"indicators": [
{
"name": "ema",
"period": 10
},
{
"fast": 12,
"name": "macd",
"signal": 9,
"slow": 26
},
{
"name": "ema",
"period": 21
},
{
"name": "ema",
"period": 10
},
{
"fast": 12,
"name": "macd",
"signal": 9,
"slow": 26
},
{
"name": "ema",
"period": 21
},
{
"name": "ema",
"period": 10
},
{
"fast": 12,
"name": "macd",
"signal": 9,
"slow": 26
},
{
"name": "ema",
"period": 21
},
{
"name": "ema",
"period": 10
},
{
"fast": 12,
"name": "macd",
"signal": 9,
"slow": 26
},
{
"name": "ema",
"period": 21
},
{
"name": "ema",
"period": 10
},
{
"fast": 12,
"name": "macd",
"signal": 9,
"slow": 26
},
{
"name": "ema",
"period": 21
}
]
}Parsed strategy
{
"data_dependencies": [
{
"symbol": "STOCK:DXJ",
"timeframe": "1d"
}
],
"entry_rules": [
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:DXJ",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:DXJ",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "sma",
"period": 10
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:DXJ",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "line",
"indicator": {
"fast": 12,
"name": "macd",
"signal": 9,
"slow": 26
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:DXJ",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "signal",
"indicator": {
"fast": 12,
"name": "macd",
"signal": 9,
"slow": 26
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:DXJ",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "line",
"indicator": {
"fast": 12,
"name": "macd",
"signal": 9,
"slow": 26
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 0
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_dxj",
"name": "DXJ Long Entry (Contrarian Fade of Short Setup) (DXJ@1d)",
"priority": 1,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:DXJ"
}
],
"exit_rules": [
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:DXJ",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:DXJ",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 21
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "holding_period_bars",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 45
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1_dxj",
"name": "Position Exit Rule (DXJ@1d)",
"priority": 1,
"purpose": "signal",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:DXJ"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:DXJ",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_below",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2_dxj",
"name": "SL: New Local Low Below Setup (DXJ@1d)",
"priority": 2,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:DXJ"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -2.639
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3",
"name": "Stop Loss at 2.6%",
"priority": 3,
"purpose": "stop_loss"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 5.278
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_4",
"name": "Take Profit at 5.3%",
"priority": 4,
"purpose": "take_profit"
}
],
"position_sizing": {
"max_position_percent": 20,
"method": {
"resistance_stop_rank": 1,
"risk_percent": 2.639,
"type": "fixed_risk"
},
"min_position_value": 100
},
"trigger_timeframe": "1d",
"version": 1
}Strategy instructions
Trading agent generated from recommendation idea 'Oil is pulling back from a five-session rally as traders wait for signs Hormuz will reopen, which eases the geopolitical premium — but Japan's PPI data shows corporate costs are still rising fast and the BOJ is actively mulling further rate hikes. That cr'. Thesis: Oil is pulling back from a five-session rally as traders wait for signs Hormuz will reopen, which eases the geopolitical premium — but Japan's PPI data shows corporate costs are still rising fast and the BOJ is actively mulling further rate hikes. That creates a divergence: lower oil prices momentarily relieve Japan's import-cost squeeze, but the underlying wholesale inflation pressure means the BOJ is more likely to hike, which should strengthen the yen. Meanwhile, Goldman notes Japan has roughly $1 trillion in reserves for more intervention. The trade is to position for the next leg in the yen — either the BOJ hikes into persistent inflation and the yen rallies, or they don't and intervention remains the only tool to defend the 160 level.
Performance
No trade count, win rate, or realized P&L figures are provided in this public preview. The thesis and shared rules do not establish a performance record.
What this public preview can establish
- The dated rule snapshot above shows the conditions evaluated at that time. It does not prove a current trigger or executed trade.
- Technical strategy fields are shared above. Inspect the actual conditions and check when they were evaluated before relying on them.
- No trade count, win rate, or P&L figure is published in this preview. It cannot establish a performance record.
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