Public trading strategy
CRWV Confirmed Breakdown Short Strategy
Created
Thesis
The AI trade has quietly shifted from cash-rich giants to companies funding buildouts with borrowed money, and SoftBank's $11.1 billion bond issuance for OpenAI is the clearest sign of that. Borrowing gets more expensive and harder to roll over as the bond sell-off continues, and a Citigroup rates executive says that sell-off isn't finished. When financing costs rise, the most leveraged names fall hardest — so debt-funded AI infrastructure stocks are the logical short, not the headline chipmakers.
Strategy approach
The AI trade has quietly shifted from cash-rich giants to companies funding buildouts with borrowed money, and SoftBank's $11.1 billion bond issuance for OpenAI is the clearest sign of that. Borrowing gets more expensive and harder to roll over as the bond sell-off continues, and a Citigroup rates executive says that sell-off isn't finished. When financing costs rise, the most leveraged names fall hardest — so debt-funded AI infrastructure stocks are the logical short, not the headline chipmakers. Decision analysis profile: leveraged. Required dimensions: company_view, instrument_view, contract_identity, event_expiry_timing, implied_volatility_expected_move, theta, breakeven_payoff, maximum_loss, liquidity_spread_volatility, simpler_alternatives.
Markets and timeframes
Latest published rule evaluation
Evaluated . This is a dated rule snapshot, not a live price or trade execution confirmation.
CRWV · 1d
8 of 8 published entry conditions marked met.
- Price below EMA (50) — met
- Momentum (10) below 0 — met
- ROC (21) below 0 — met
- ADX (14) above 20 — met
- Price below EMA (50) — met
- Momentum (10) below 0 — met
- ROC (21) below 0 — met
- ADX (14) above 20 — met
- Price above EMA (50) — near
SFTBY · 1d
2 of 8 published entry conditions marked met.
- Price below EMA (50) — far
- Momentum (10) below 0 — met
- ROC (21) below 0 — far
- ADX (14) above 20 — far
- Price below EMA (50) — far
- Momentum (10) below 0 — met
- ROC (21) below 0 — far
- ADX (14) above 20 — far
- Price above EMA (50) — met
Entry and exit at a glance
These are the named rules in the shared configuration. Review the full conditions below before using a strategy.
- Entry: EMA/MOMENTUM/ROC/ADX Signal Long (CRWV@1d) (4 conditions)
- Entry: EMA/MOMENTUM/ROC/ADX Signal Long (SFTBY@1d) (4 conditions)
- Entry: EMA/MOMENTUM/ROC/ADX Signal Long (CRWV@1d) (4 conditions)
- Entry: EMA/MOMENTUM/ROC/ADX Signal Long (SFTBY@1d) (4 conditions)
- Entry: Crossover Long (CRWV@1d) (1 condition)
- Entry: Crossover Long (SFTBY@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: Position Exit Rule (CRWV@1d) (2 conditions)
- Exit: Position Exit Rule (SFTBY@1d) (2 conditions)
- Exit: Stop Loss at 8.0% (1 condition)
- Exit: Take Profit at 16.0% (1 condition)
Shared strategy rules
Rule configuration
{
"data_dependencies": [
{
"symbol": "STOCK:CRWV",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
"symbol": "STOCK:SFTBY",
"timeframe": "1d"
}
],
"entry_rules": [
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:CRWV",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:CRWV",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 50
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:CRWV",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "momentum",
"period": 10
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 0
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:CRWV",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "roc",
"period": 21
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 0
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:CRWV",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "adx",
"indicator": {
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 20
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_crwv",
"name": "EMA/MOMENTUM/ROC/ADX Signal Long (CRWV@1d)",
"priority": 1,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:CRWV"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:SFTBY",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:SFTBY",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 50
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:SFTBY",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "momentum",
"period": 10
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 0
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:SFTBY",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "roc",
"period": 21
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 0
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:SFTBY",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "adx",
"indicator": {
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 20
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_sftby",
"name": "EMA/MOMENTUM/ROC/ADX Signal Long (SFTBY@1d)",
"priority": 2,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:SFTBY"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:CRWV",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:CRWV",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 50
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:CRWV",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "momentum",
"period": 10
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 0
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:CRWV",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "roc",
"period": 21
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 0
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:CRWV",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "adx",
"indicator": {
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 20
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_2_crwv",
"name": "EMA/MOMENTUM/ROC/ADX Signal Long (CRWV@1d)",
"priority": 2,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:CRWV"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:SFTBY",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:SFTBY",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 50
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:SFTBY",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "momentum",
"period": 10
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 0
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:SFTBY",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "roc",
"period": 21
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 0
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:SFTBY",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "adx",
"indicator": {
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 20
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_2_sftby",
"name": "EMA/MOMENTUM/ROC/ADX Signal Long (SFTBY@1d)",
"priority": 3,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:SFTBY"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:CRWV",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_below",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_3_crwv",
"name": "Crossover Long (CRWV@1d)",
"priority": 2,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:CRWV"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:SFTBY",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_below",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_3_sftby",
"name": "Crossover Long (SFTBY@1d)",
"priority": 3,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:SFTBY"
}
],
"exit_rules": [
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:CRWV",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:CRWV",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 50
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "holding_period_bars",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 60
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1_crwv",
"name": "Position Exit Rule (CRWV@1d)",
"priority": 1,
"purpose": "signal",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:CRWV"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:SFTBY",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:SFTBY",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 50
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "holding_period_bars",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 60
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1_sftby",
"name": "Position Exit Rule (SFTBY@1d)",
"priority": 2,
"purpose": "signal",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:SFTBY"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -8
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2",
"name": "Stop Loss at 8.0%",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 16
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3",
"name": "Take Profit at 16.0%",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "take_profit"
}
],
"position_sizing": {
"max_position_percent": 25,
"method": {
"risk_percent": 2.4,
"stop_loss_percent": 8,
"type": "fixed_risk"
},
"min_position_value": 100
},
"trigger_timeframe": "1d",
"version": 1
}Indicator configuration
{
"indicators": [
{
"name": "ema",
"period": 50
},
{
"name": "momentum",
"period": 10
},
{
"name": "roc",
"period": 21
},
{
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
{
"name": "ema",
"period": 50
},
{
"name": "momentum",
"period": 10
},
{
"name": "roc",
"period": 21
},
{
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
}
]
}Parsed strategy
{
"data_dependencies": [
{
"symbol": "STOCK:CRWV",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
"symbol": "STOCK:SFTBY",
"timeframe": "1d"
}
],
"entry_rules": [
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:CRWV",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:CRWV",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 50
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:CRWV",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "momentum",
"period": 10
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 0
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:CRWV",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "roc",
"period": 21
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 0
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:CRWV",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "adx",
"indicator": {
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 20
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_crwv",
"name": "EMA/MOMENTUM/ROC/ADX Signal Long (CRWV@1d)",
"priority": 1,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:CRWV"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:SFTBY",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:SFTBY",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 50
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:SFTBY",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "momentum",
"period": 10
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 0
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:SFTBY",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "roc",
"period": 21
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 0
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:SFTBY",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "adx",
"indicator": {
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 20
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_sftby",
"name": "EMA/MOMENTUM/ROC/ADX Signal Long (SFTBY@1d)",
"priority": 2,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:SFTBY"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:CRWV",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:CRWV",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 50
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:CRWV",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "momentum",
"period": 10
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 0
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:CRWV",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "roc",
"period": 21
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 0
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:CRWV",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "adx",
"indicator": {
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 20
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_2_crwv",
"name": "EMA/MOMENTUM/ROC/ADX Signal Long (CRWV@1d)",
"priority": 2,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:CRWV"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:SFTBY",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:SFTBY",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 50
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:SFTBY",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "momentum",
"period": 10
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 0
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:SFTBY",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "roc",
"period": 21
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 0
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:SFTBY",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "adx",
"indicator": {
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 20
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_2_sftby",
"name": "EMA/MOMENTUM/ROC/ADX Signal Long (SFTBY@1d)",
"priority": 3,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:SFTBY"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:CRWV",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_below",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_3_crwv",
"name": "Crossover Long (CRWV@1d)",
"priority": 2,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:CRWV"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:SFTBY",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_below",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_3_sftby",
"name": "Crossover Long (SFTBY@1d)",
"priority": 3,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:SFTBY"
}
],
"exit_rules": [
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:CRWV",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:CRWV",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 50
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "holding_period_bars",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 60
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1_crwv",
"name": "Position Exit Rule (CRWV@1d)",
"priority": 1,
"purpose": "signal",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:CRWV"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:SFTBY",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:SFTBY",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 50
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "holding_period_bars",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 60
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1_sftby",
"name": "Position Exit Rule (SFTBY@1d)",
"priority": 2,
"purpose": "signal",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:SFTBY"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -8
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2",
"name": "Stop Loss at 8.0%",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 16
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3",
"name": "Take Profit at 16.0%",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "take_profit"
}
],
"position_sizing": {
"max_position_percent": 25,
"method": {
"risk_percent": 2.4,
"stop_loss_percent": 8,
"type": "fixed_risk"
},
"min_position_value": 100
},
"trigger_timeframe": "1d",
"version": 1
}Strategy instructions
Trading agent generated from recommendation idea 'The AI trade has quietly shifted from cash-rich giants to companies funding buildouts with borrowed money, and SoftBank's $11.1 billion bond issuance for OpenAI is the clearest sign of that. Borrowing gets more expensive and harder to roll over as the bon'. Thesis: The AI trade has quietly shifted from cash-rich giants to companies funding buildouts with borrowed money, and SoftBank's $11.1 billion bond issuance for OpenAI is the clearest sign of that. Borrowing gets more expensive and harder to roll over as the bond sell-off continues, and a Citigroup rates executive says that sell-off isn't finished. When financing costs rise, the most leveraged names fall hardest — so debt-funded AI infrastructure stocks are the logical short, not the headline chipmakers.
Performance
No trade count, win rate, or realized P&L figures are provided in this public preview. The thesis and shared rules do not establish a performance record.
What this public preview can establish
- The dated rule snapshot above shows the conditions evaluated at that time. It does not prove a current trigger or executed trade.
- Technical strategy fields are shared above. Inspect the actual conditions and check when they were evaluated before relying on them.
- No trade count, win rate, or P&L figure is published in this preview. It cannot establish a performance record.
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