Headlines about Iran de-escalation are masking a structural supply problem in Eu
Created
Thesis
Headlines about Iran de-escalation are masking a structural supply problem in European natural gas. Reports confirm that Europe's fuel buffers are dangerously low heading into winter, even as crude oil futures sink. Oil's drop reflects market adaptability — new shipping routes and workarounds — rather than genuine supply security. If a cold snap or minor disruption hits, European natural gas prices will spike independently of oil. UNG offers a way to position for a squeeze that the broader market is ignoring.
Markets and timeframes
Latest published rule evaluation
Evaluated . This is a dated rule snapshot, not a live price or trade execution confirmation.
UGA · 1d
1 of 4 published entry conditions marked met.
- RSI (14) below 35 — far
- RSI (14) crossed above 35 — far
- Price above EMA (20) — met
- ADX (14) above 20 — far
- RSI (14) above 70 — far
- Price below EMA (20) — near
UNG · 1d
2 of 4 published entry conditions marked met.
- RSI (14) below 35 — met
- RSI (14) crossed above 35 — far
- Price above EMA (20) — far
- ADX (14) above 20 — met
- RSI (14) above 70 — far
- Price below EMA (20) — met
Entry and exit at a glance
These are the named rules in the shared configuration. Review the full conditions below before using a strategy.
- Entry: Oversold RSI/EMA/ADX Crossover Long (UNG@1d) (4 conditions)
- Entry: Oversold RSI/EMA/ADX Crossover Long (UGA@1d) (4 conditions)
- Exit: Overbought RSI Exit (UNG@1d) (3 conditions)
- Exit: Overbought RSI Exit (UGA@1d) (3 conditions)
- Exit: TP: Near Resistance[1] (UNG@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: TP: Near Resistance[1] (UGA@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: SL: Below Support[2] (UNG@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: SL: Below Support[2] (UGA@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: Stop Loss at 2.0% (1 condition)
- Exit: Take Profit at 4.0% (1 condition)
Shared strategy rules
Rule configuration
{
"data_dependencies": [
{
"symbol": "STOCK:UNG",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
"symbol": "STOCK:UGA",
"timeframe": "1d"
}
],
"entry_rules": [
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:UNG",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 35
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:UNG",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 35
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:UNG",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:UNG",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:UNG",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "adx",
"indicator": {
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 20
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_ung",
"name": "Oversold RSI/EMA/ADX Crossover Long (UNG@1d)",
"priority": 1,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:UNG"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:UGA",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 35
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:UGA",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 35
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:UGA",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:UGA",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:UGA",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "adx",
"indicator": {
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 20
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_uga",
"name": "Oversold RSI/EMA/ADX Crossover Long (UGA@1d)",
"priority": 2,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:UGA"
}
],
"exit_rules": [
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:UNG",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 70
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:UNG",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:UNG",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "holding_period_bars",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 90
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1_ung",
"name": "Overbought RSI Exit (UNG@1d)",
"priority": 1,
"purpose": "signal",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:UNG"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:UGA",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 70
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:UGA",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:UGA",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "holding_period_bars",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 90
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1_uga",
"name": "Overbought RSI Exit (UGA@1d)",
"priority": 2,
"purpose": "signal",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:UGA"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:UNG",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "resistance_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2_ung",
"name": "TP: Near Resistance[1] (UNG@1d)",
"priority": 97,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:UNG"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:UGA",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "resistance_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2_uga",
"name": "TP: Near Resistance[1] (UGA@1d)",
"priority": 98,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:UGA"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:UNG",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"rank": 2,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3_ung",
"name": "SL: Below Support[2] (UNG@1d)",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:UNG"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:UGA",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"rank": 2,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3_uga",
"name": "SL: Below Support[2] (UGA@1d)",
"priority": 101,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:UGA"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -2
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_4",
"name": "Stop Loss at 2.0%",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 4
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_5",
"name": "Take Profit at 4.0%",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "take_profit"
}
],
"position_sizing": {
"max_position_percent": 25,
"method": {
"risk_percent": 2,
"support_stop_rank": 2,
"type": "fixed_risk"
},
"min_position_value": 100
},
"trigger_timeframe": "1d",
"version": 1
}Indicator configuration
{
"indicators": [
{
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
{
"name": "ema",
"period": 20
},
{
"name": "ema",
"period": 10
},
{
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
{
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
{
"name": "ema",
"period": 20
},
{
"name": "ema",
"period": 10
},
{
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
}
]
}Parsed strategy
{
"data_dependencies": [
{
"symbol": "STOCK:UNG",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
"symbol": "STOCK:UGA",
"timeframe": "1d"
}
],
"entry_rules": [
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:UNG",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 35
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:UNG",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 35
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:UNG",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:UNG",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:UNG",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "adx",
"indicator": {
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 20
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_ung",
"name": "Oversold RSI/EMA/ADX Crossover Long (UNG@1d)",
"priority": 1,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:UNG"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:UGA",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 35
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:UGA",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 35
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:UGA",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:UGA",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:UGA",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "adx",
"indicator": {
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 20
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_uga",
"name": "Oversold RSI/EMA/ADX Crossover Long (UGA@1d)",
"priority": 2,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:UGA"
}
],
"exit_rules": [
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:UNG",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 70
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:UNG",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:UNG",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "holding_period_bars",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 90
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1_ung",
"name": "Overbought RSI Exit (UNG@1d)",
"priority": 1,
"purpose": "signal",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:UNG"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:UGA",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 70
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:UGA",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:UGA",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "holding_period_bars",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 90
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1_uga",
"name": "Overbought RSI Exit (UGA@1d)",
"priority": 2,
"purpose": "signal",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:UGA"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:UNG",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "resistance_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2_ung",
"name": "TP: Near Resistance[1] (UNG@1d)",
"priority": 97,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:UNG"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:UGA",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "resistance_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2_uga",
"name": "TP: Near Resistance[1] (UGA@1d)",
"priority": 98,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:UGA"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:UNG",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"rank": 2,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3_ung",
"name": "SL: Below Support[2] (UNG@1d)",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:UNG"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:UGA",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"rank": 2,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3_uga",
"name": "SL: Below Support[2] (UGA@1d)",
"priority": 101,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:UGA"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -2
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_4",
"name": "Stop Loss at 2.0%",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 4
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_5",
"name": "Take Profit at 4.0%",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "take_profit"
}
],
"position_sizing": {
"max_position_percent": 25,
"method": {
"risk_percent": 2,
"support_stop_rank": 2,
"type": "fixed_risk"
},
"min_position_value": 100
},
"trigger_timeframe": "1d",
"version": 1
}Strategy instructions
Trading agent generated from recommendation idea 'Headlines about Iran de-escalation are masking a structural supply problem in European natural gas. Reports confirm that Europe's fuel buffers are dangerously low heading into winter, even as crude oil futures sink. Oil's drop reflects market adaptability'. Thesis: Headlines about Iran de-escalation are masking a structural supply problem in European natural gas. Reports confirm that Europe's fuel buffers are dangerously low heading into winter, even as crude oil futures sink. Oil's drop reflects market adaptability — new shipping routes and workarounds — rather than genuine supply security. If a cold snap or minor disruption hits, European natural gas prices will spike independently of oil. UNG offers a way to position for a squeeze that the broader market is ignoring.
Performance
No trade count, win rate, or realized P&L figures are provided in this public preview. The thesis and shared rules do not establish a performance record.
What this public preview can establish
- The dated rule snapshot above shows the conditions evaluated at that time. It does not prove a current trigger or executed trade.
- Technical strategy fields are shared above. Inspect the actual conditions and check when they were evaluated before relying on them.
- No trade count, win rate, or P&L figure is published in this preview. It cannot establish a performance record.
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