Public trading strategy
M&A supercycle signals market confidence — ride the acquisition premium
Created
Thesis
We are seeing a sudden cluster of multi-billion dollar acquisitions (Rocket Lab/Iridium, Fox/Roku). This type of aggressive corporate dealmaking usually happens when CEOs and boards are highly confident in the future. Since the S&P 500 is wrapping up its best quarter in six years, the macro backdrop is supportive of risk-taking. When stocks are rising and credit is available, acquisition targets and the acquirers both tend to outperform as Wall Street cheers the growth strategy.
Strategy approach
Build an M&A arbitrage/momentum strategy. For RKLB: Enter long if the stock breaks above its pre-announcement consolidation range on high volume (>150% of 20-day average volume) within 5 days. For ROKU: Monitor the spread between the current price and the deal value ($22B implied price); if the spread narrows (price rises toward deal value), momentum confirms. Exit after 14 days or on a 7% stop loss.
Markets and timeframes
Latest published rule evaluation
Evaluated . This is a dated rule snapshot, not a live price or trade execution confirmation.
RKLB · 1d
2 of 4 published entry conditions marked met.
- OBV above 150 — unknown
- RSI (14) above 20 — met
- ATR (14) above 0.5 — unknown
- Supertrend (10) above 1 — met
ROKU · 1d
2 of 4 published entry conditions marked met.
- OBV above 150 — unknown
- RSI (14) above 20 — met
- ATR (14) above 0.5 — unknown
- Supertrend (10) above 1 — met
Entry and exit at a glance
These are the named rules in the shared configuration. Review the full conditions below before using a strategy.
- Entry: OBV/RSI/ATR/SUPERTREND Crossover Long (RKLB@1d) (5 conditions)
- Exit: Position Exit Rule (1 condition)
- Exit: SL: Below Support[1] (RKLB@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: Stop Loss at 2.4% (1 condition)
- Exit: Take Profit at 4.7% (1 condition)
Shared strategy rules
Rule configuration
{
"data_dependencies": [
{
"symbol": "RKLB",
"timeframe": "1d"
}
],
"entry_rules": [
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "RKLB",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "obv"
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 150
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "RKLB",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 20
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "resistance_level"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "RKLB",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "atr",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 0.5
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "RKLB",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"multiplier": 3,
"name": "supertrend",
"period": 10
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 1
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1",
"name": "OBV/RSI/ATR/SUPERTREND Crossover Long (RKLB@1d)",
"priority": 1,
"trade_symbol": "RKLB"
}
],
"exit_rules": [
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 0
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1",
"name": "Position Exit Rule",
"priority": 1,
"purpose": "signal"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2",
"name": "SL: Below Support[1] (RKLB@1d)",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "RKLB"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -2.3651
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3",
"name": "Stop Loss at 2.4%",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 4.7302
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_4",
"name": "Take Profit at 4.7%",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "take_profit"
}
],
"position_sizing": {
"max_position_percent": 25,
"method": {
"risk_percent": 2.3651,
"support_stop_rank": 1,
"type": "fixed_risk"
},
"min_position_value": 100
},
"trigger_timeframe": "1d",
"version": 1
}Indicator configuration
{
"indicators": [
{
"name": "obv"
},
{
"name": "atr",
"period": 14
},
{
"multiplier": 3,
"name": "supertrend",
"period": 10
},
{
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
}
]
}Parsed strategy
{
"data_dependencies": [
{
"symbol": "RKLB",
"timeframe": "1d"
}
],
"entry_rules": [
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "RKLB",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "obv"
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 150
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "RKLB",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 20
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "resistance_level"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "RKLB",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "atr",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 0.5
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "RKLB",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"multiplier": 3,
"name": "supertrend",
"period": 10
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 1
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1",
"name": "OBV/RSI/ATR/SUPERTREND Crossover Long (RKLB@1d)",
"priority": 1,
"trade_symbol": "RKLB"
}
],
"exit_rules": [
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 0
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1",
"name": "Position Exit Rule",
"priority": 1,
"purpose": "signal"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2",
"name": "SL: Below Support[1] (RKLB@1d)",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "RKLB"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -2.3651
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3",
"name": "Stop Loss at 2.4%",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 4.7302
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_4",
"name": "Take Profit at 4.7%",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "take_profit"
}
],
"position_sizing": {
"max_position_percent": 25,
"method": {
"risk_percent": 2.3651,
"support_stop_rank": 1,
"type": "fixed_risk"
},
"min_position_value": 100
},
"trigger_timeframe": "1d",
"version": 1
}Strategy instructions
Trading agent generated from recommendation idea 'M&A supercycle signals market confidence — ride the acquisition premium'. Thesis: We are seeing a sudden cluster of multi-billion dollar acquisitions (Rocket Lab/Iridium, Fox/Roku). This type of aggressive corporate dealmaking usually happens when CEOs and boards are highly confident in the future. Since the S&P 500 is wrapping up its best quarter in six years, the macro backdrop is supportive of risk-taking. When stocks are rising and credit is available, acquisition targets and the acquirers both tend to outperform as Wall Street cheers the growth strategy.
Performance
No trade count, win rate, or realized P&L figures are provided in this public preview. The thesis and shared rules do not establish a performance record.
What this public preview can establish
- The dated rule snapshot above shows the conditions evaluated at that time. It does not prove a current trigger or executed trade.
- Technical strategy fields are shared above. Inspect the actual conditions and check when they were evaluated before relying on them.
- No trade count, win rate, or P&L figure is published in this preview. It cannot establish a performance record.
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