Public trading strategy
The hot jobs report flipped rate expectations toward hikes, which lifts borrowin
Created
Thesis
The hot jobs report flipped rate expectations toward hikes, which lifts borrowing costs and squeezes consumers — the group most sensitive to rates is discretionary retail. Lululemon's 15% earnings crash shows the demand slowdown is already real, not hypothetical. When a broken fundamental story meets a fresh macro headwind, the post-earnings weakness tends to extend rather than reverse, so shorting the stock into that drift is the cleaner trade.
Strategy approach
The hot jobs report flipped rate expectations toward hikes, which lifts borrowing costs and squeezes consumers — the group most sensitive to rates is discretionary retail. Lululemon's 15% earnings crash shows the demand slowdown is already real, not hypothetical. When a broken fundamental story meets a fresh macro headwind, the post-earnings weakness tends to extend rather than reverse, so shorting the stock into that drift is the cleaner trade. Decision analysis profile: value. Required dimensions: valuation_method, valuation_sensitivity, business_economics, cash_quality, balance_sheet_leverage, dilution_capital_allocation, moat, catalysts, counterevidence, invalidation.
Markets and timeframes
Latest published rule evaluation
Evaluated . This is a dated rule snapshot, not a live price or trade execution confirmation.
LULU · 1d
1 of 2 published entry conditions marked met.
- Price below EMA (20) — met
- ADX (14) below 35 — far
XLY · 1d
2 of 2 published entry conditions marked met.
- Price below EMA (20) — met
- ADX (14) below 35 — met
Entry and exit at a glance
These are the named rules in the shared configuration. Review the full conditions below before using a strategy.
- Entry: EMA/ADX Crossover Long (LULU@1d) (4 conditions)
- Entry: EMA/ADX Crossover Long (XLY@1d) (4 conditions)
- Exit: Position Exit Rule (1 condition)
- Exit: SL: Below Support[1] (LULU@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: SL: Below Support[1] (XLY@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: TP: Near Resistance[1] (LULU@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: TP: Near Resistance[1] (XLY@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: Stop Loss at 2.7% (1 condition)
- Exit: Take Profit at 5.4% (1 condition)
Shared strategy rules
Rule configuration
{
"data_dependencies": [
{
"symbol": "STOCK:LULU",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
"symbol": "STOCK:XLY",
"timeframe": "1d"
}
],
"entry_rules": [
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -1.5
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:LULU",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_below",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:LULU",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:LULU",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:LULU",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "adx",
"indicator": {
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 35
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_lulu",
"name": "EMA/ADX Crossover Long (LULU@1d)",
"priority": 1,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:LULU"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -1.5
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:XLY",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_below",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:XLY",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:XLY",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:XLY",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "adx",
"indicator": {
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 35
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_xly",
"name": "EMA/ADX Crossover Long (XLY@1d)",
"priority": 2,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:XLY"
}
],
"exit_rules": [
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "holding_period_bars",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 45
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1",
"name": "Position Exit Rule",
"priority": 1,
"purpose": "signal"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:LULU",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2_lulu",
"name": "SL: Below Support[1] (LULU@1d)",
"priority": 97,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:LULU"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:XLY",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2_xly",
"name": "SL: Below Support[1] (XLY@1d)",
"priority": 98,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:XLY"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:LULU",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_below",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "resistance_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3_lulu",
"name": "TP: Near Resistance[1] (LULU@1d)",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:LULU"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:XLY",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_below",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "resistance_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3_xly",
"name": "TP: Near Resistance[1] (XLY@1d)",
"priority": 101,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:XLY"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -2.6809615384615384
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_4",
"name": "Stop Loss at 2.7%",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 5.361923076923077
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_5",
"name": "Take Profit at 5.4%",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "take_profit"
}
],
"position_sizing": {
"max_position_percent": 25,
"method": {
"resistance_stop_rank": 1,
"risk_percent": 2.6809615384615384,
"type": "fixed_risk"
},
"min_position_value": 100
},
"trigger_timeframe": "1d",
"version": 1
}Indicator configuration
{
"indicators": [
{
"name": "ema",
"period": 20
},
{
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
{
"name": "ema",
"period": 20
},
{
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
}
]
}Parsed strategy
{
"data_dependencies": [
{
"symbol": "STOCK:LULU",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
"symbol": "STOCK:XLY",
"timeframe": "1d"
}
],
"entry_rules": [
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -1.5
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:LULU",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_below",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:LULU",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:LULU",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:LULU",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "adx",
"indicator": {
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 35
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_lulu",
"name": "EMA/ADX Crossover Long (LULU@1d)",
"priority": 1,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:LULU"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -1.5
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:XLY",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_below",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:XLY",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:XLY",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 20
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:XLY",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "adx",
"indicator": {
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 35
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_xly",
"name": "EMA/ADX Crossover Long (XLY@1d)",
"priority": 2,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:XLY"
}
],
"exit_rules": [
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "holding_period_bars",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 45
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1",
"name": "Position Exit Rule",
"priority": 1,
"purpose": "signal"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:LULU",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2_lulu",
"name": "SL: Below Support[1] (LULU@1d)",
"priority": 97,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:LULU"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:XLY",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2_xly",
"name": "SL: Below Support[1] (XLY@1d)",
"priority": 98,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:XLY"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:LULU",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_below",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "resistance_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3_lulu",
"name": "TP: Near Resistance[1] (LULU@1d)",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:LULU"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:XLY",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_below",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "resistance_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3_xly",
"name": "TP: Near Resistance[1] (XLY@1d)",
"priority": 101,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:XLY"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -2.6809615384615384
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_4",
"name": "Stop Loss at 2.7%",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 5.361923076923077
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_5",
"name": "Take Profit at 5.4%",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "take_profit"
}
],
"position_sizing": {
"max_position_percent": 25,
"method": {
"resistance_stop_rank": 1,
"risk_percent": 2.6809615384615384,
"type": "fixed_risk"
},
"min_position_value": 100
},
"trigger_timeframe": "1d",
"version": 1
}Strategy instructions
Trading agent generated from recommendation idea 'The hot jobs report flipped rate expectations toward hikes, which lifts borrowing costs and squeezes consumers — the group most sensitive to rates is discretionary retail. Lululemon's 15% earnings crash shows the demand slowdown is already real, not hypot'. Thesis: The hot jobs report flipped rate expectations toward hikes, which lifts borrowing costs and squeezes consumers — the group most sensitive to rates is discretionary retail. Lululemon's 15% earnings crash shows the demand slowdown is already real, not hypothetical. When a broken fundamental story meets a fresh macro headwind, the post-earnings weakness tends to extend rather than reverse, so shorting the stock into that drift is the cleaner trade.
Performance
No trade count, win rate, or realized P&L figures are provided in this public preview. The thesis and shared rules do not establish a performance record.
What this public preview can establish
- The dated rule snapshot above shows the conditions evaluated at that time. It does not prove a current trigger or executed trade.
- Technical strategy fields are shared above. Inspect the actual conditions and check when they were evaluated before relying on them.
- No trade count, win rate, or P&L figure is published in this preview. It cannot establish a performance record.
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