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Public trading strategy

Oil giants double down on Iraq as energy prices stay hot — ride the production b

Created

Thesis

Major oil companies pouring billions into new infrastructure is a strong vote of confidence in their future revenue streams. This move by BP and ConocoPhillips positions them for multi-year production growth in a region desperate to counter Iranian energy dominance. With energy prices already running hot enough to shake up other commodity markets, these companies are set up to cash in on both their new investments and the broader pricing environment. ## Story development — 2026-07-19 06:02 UTC **Oil giants place multibillion-dollar bets on Iraq — go long ConocoPhillips and BP** BP and ConocoPhillips are pouring billions of dollars into Iraq's energy sector in a strategic move backed by the U.S. to counter Iran's influence in the region. This massive investment signals a long-term commitment to expanding oil production capacity.

Strategy approach

Build a swing-trading strategy that enters long BP and COP on D1 when the stock price is above its 50-day moving average and RSI(14) is between 40 and 65. Exit if the stock drops below its 20-day moving average, with a maximum hold of 30 days.

Markets and timeframes

Latest published rule evaluation

Evaluated . This is a dated rule snapshot, not a live price or trade execution confirmation.

BP · 1d

4 of 6 published entry conditions marked met.

  • Price above SMA (50) — met
  • RSI (14) at or above 40 — met
  • RSI (14) at or below 65 — far
  • Price above SMA (50) — met
  • RSI (14) at or above 40 — met
  • RSI (14) at or below 65 — far
  • Price below SMA (50) — near

COP · 1d

4 of 6 published entry conditions marked met.

  • Price above SMA (50) — met
  • RSI (14) at or above 40 — met
  • RSI (14) at or below 65 — far
  • Price above SMA (50) — met
  • RSI (14) at or above 40 — met
  • RSI (14) at or below 65 — far
  • Price below SMA (50) — near

Entry and exit at a glance

These are the named rules in the shared configuration. Review the full conditions below before using a strategy.

  • Entry: SMA/RSI Signal Long (BP@1d) (5 conditions)
  • Entry: SMA/RSI Signal Long (COP@1d) (5 conditions)
  • Entry: SMA/RSI Signal Long (BP@1d) (3 conditions)
  • Entry: SMA/RSI Signal Long (COP@1d) (3 conditions)
  • Entry: Long Entry Signal (BP@1d) (2 conditions)
  • Entry: Long Entry Signal (COP@1d) (2 conditions)
  • Exit: Position Exit Rule (BP@1d) (2 conditions)
  • Exit: Position Exit Rule (COP@1d) (2 conditions)
  • Exit: TP: Fib Extension 127.2% (BP@1d) (1 condition)
  • Exit: TP: Fib Extension 127.2% (COP@1d) (1 condition)
  • Exit: SL: Below Support[2] (BP@1d) (1 condition)
  • Exit: SL: Below Support[2] (COP@1d) (1 condition)
  • Exit: SL: Fib Retracement 78.6% (BP@1d) (1 condition)
  • Exit: SL: Fib Retracement 78.6% (COP@1d) (1 condition)
  • Exit: Stop Loss at 2.5% (1 condition)
  • Exit: Take Profit at 4.9% (1 condition)

Shared strategy rules

Rule configuration

{
  "data_dependencies": [
    {
      "symbol": "STOCK:BP",
      "timeframe": "1d"
    },
    {
      "symbol": "STOCK:COP",
      "timeframe": "1d"
    }
  ],
  "entry_rules": [
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:BP",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:BP",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "sma",
              "period": 50
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:BP",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "rsi",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 40
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:BP",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "rsi",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 65
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:BP",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "low",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:BP",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_1_bp",
      "name": "SMA/RSI Signal Long (BP@1d)",
      "priority": 1,
      "trade_symbol": "STOCK:BP"
    },
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:COP",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:COP",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "sma",
              "period": 50
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:COP",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "rsi",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 40
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:COP",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "rsi",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 65
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:COP",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "low",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:COP",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_1_cop",
      "name": "SMA/RSI Signal Long (COP@1d)",
      "priority": 2,
      "trade_symbol": "STOCK:COP"
    },
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:BP",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:BP",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "sma",
              "period": 50
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:BP",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "rsi",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 40
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:BP",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "rsi",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 65
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_2_bp",
      "name": "SMA/RSI Signal Long (BP@1d)",
      "priority": 2,
      "trade_symbol": "STOCK:BP"
    },
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:COP",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:COP",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "sma",
              "period": 50
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:COP",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "rsi",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 40
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:COP",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "rsi",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 65
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_2_cop",
      "name": "SMA/RSI Signal Long (COP@1d)",
      "priority": 3,
      "trade_symbol": "STOCK:COP"
    },
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:BP",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "low",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:BP",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_3_bp",
      "name": "Long Entry Signal (BP@1d)",
      "priority": 2,
      "trade_symbol": "STOCK:BP"
    },
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:COP",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "low",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:COP",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_3_cop",
      "name": "Long Entry Signal (COP@1d)",
      "priority": 3,
      "trade_symbol": "STOCK:COP"
    }
  ],
  "exit_rules": [
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:BP",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:BP",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "sma",
              "period": 50
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "holding_period_bars",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 30
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_1_bp",
      "name": "Position Exit Rule (BP@1d)",
      "priority": 1,
      "purpose": "signal",
      "target_symbol": "STOCK:BP"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:COP",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:COP",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "sma",
              "period": 50
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "holding_period_bars",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 30
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_1_cop",
      "name": "Position Exit Rule (COP@1d)",
      "priority": 2,
      "purpose": "signal",
      "target_symbol": "STOCK:COP"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:BP",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:BP",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "ratio": 1272,
            "type": "fibonacci_extension"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_2_bp",
      "name": "TP: Fib Extension 127.2% (BP@1d)",
      "priority": 96,
      "purpose": "take_profit",
      "target_symbol": "STOCK:BP"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:COP",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:COP",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "ratio": 1272,
            "type": "fibonacci_extension"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_2_cop",
      "name": "TP: Fib Extension 127.2% (COP@1d)",
      "priority": 97,
      "purpose": "take_profit",
      "target_symbol": "STOCK:COP"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:BP",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_above",
          "right": {
            "rank": 2,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_3_bp",
      "name": "SL: Below Support[2] (BP@1d)",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "stop_loss",
      "target_symbol": "STOCK:BP"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:COP",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_above",
          "right": {
            "rank": 2,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_3_cop",
      "name": "SL: Below Support[2] (COP@1d)",
      "priority": 101,
      "purpose": "stop_loss",
      "target_symbol": "STOCK:COP"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "long",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:BP",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:BP",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "ratio": 786,
            "type": "fibonacci_retracement"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_4_bp",
      "name": "SL: Fib Retracement 78.6% (BP@1d)",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "stop_loss",
      "target_symbol": "STOCK:BP"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "long",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:COP",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:COP",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "ratio": 786,
            "type": "fibonacci_retracement"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_4_cop",
      "name": "SL: Fib Retracement 78.6% (COP@1d)",
      "priority": 101,
      "purpose": "stop_loss",
      "target_symbol": "STOCK:COP"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": -2.457307692307692
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_5",
      "name": "Stop Loss at 2.5%",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "stop_loss"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 4.914615384615384
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_6",
      "name": "Take Profit at 4.9%",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "take_profit"
    }
  ],
  "position_sizing": {
    "max_position_percent": 25,
    "method": {
      "fib_stop_ratio": 786,
      "risk_percent": 2.457307692307692,
      "type": "fixed_risk"
    },
    "min_position_value": 100
  },
  "trigger_timeframe": "1d",
  "version": 1
}

Indicator configuration

{
  "indicators": [
    {
      "name": "sma",
      "period": 50
    },
    {
      "name": "sma",
      "period": 20
    },
    {
      "name": "rsi",
      "period": 14
    },
    {
      "name": "sma",
      "period": 50
    },
    {
      "name": "sma",
      "period": 20
    },
    {
      "name": "rsi",
      "period": 14
    }
  ]
}

Parsed strategy

{
  "data_dependencies": [
    {
      "symbol": "STOCK:BP",
      "timeframe": "1d"
    },
    {
      "symbol": "STOCK:COP",
      "timeframe": "1d"
    }
  ],
  "entry_rules": [
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:BP",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:BP",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "sma",
              "period": 50
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:BP",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "rsi",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 40
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:BP",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "rsi",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 65
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:BP",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "low",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:BP",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_1_bp",
      "name": "SMA/RSI Signal Long (BP@1d)",
      "priority": 1,
      "trade_symbol": "STOCK:BP"
    },
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:COP",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:COP",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "sma",
              "period": 50
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:COP",
              "timeframe": "1d"
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          }
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        {
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            },
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    },
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        {
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        {
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            },
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    },
    {
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        {
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    {
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      ],
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      "id": "entry_3_cop",
      "name": "Long Entry Signal (COP@1d)",
      "priority": 3,
      "trade_symbol": "STOCK:COP"
    }
  ],
  "exit_rules": [
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    },
    {
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            },
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            },
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          }
        },
        {
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        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
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    },
    {
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            "ratio": 1272,
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          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_2_bp",
      "name": "TP: Fib Extension 127.2% (BP@1d)",
      "priority": 96,
      "purpose": "take_profit",
      "target_symbol": "STOCK:BP"
    },
    {
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      "enabled": true,
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      "purpose": "stop_loss",
      "target_symbol": "STOCK:COP"
    },
    {
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      "id": "exit_5",
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      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "stop_loss"
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      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_6",
      "name": "Take Profit at 4.9%",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "take_profit"
    }
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  "position_sizing": {
    "max_position_percent": 25,
    "method": {
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      "risk_percent": 2.457307692307692,
      "type": "fixed_risk"
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    "min_position_value": 100
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  "trigger_timeframe": "1d",
  "version": 1
}

Strategy instructions

Trading agent generated from recommendation idea 'Oil giants double down on Iraq as energy prices stay hot — ride the production boom on BP and ConocoPhillips'. Thesis: Major oil companies pouring billions into new infrastructure is a strong vote of confidence in their future revenue streams. This move by BP and ConocoPhillips positions them for multi-year production growth in a region desperate to counter Iranian energy dominance. With energy prices already running hot enough to shake up other commodity markets, these companies are set up to cash in on both their new investments and the broader pricing environment.

## Story development — 2026-07-19 06:02 UTC

**Oil giants place multibillion-dollar bets on Iraq — go long ConocoPhillips and BP**

BP and ConocoPhillips are pouring billions of dollars into Iraq's energy sector in a strategic move backed by the U.S. to counter Iran's influence in the region. This massive investment signals a long-term commitment to expanding oil production capacity.

Performance

No trade count, win rate, or realized P&L figures are provided in this public preview. The thesis and shared rules do not establish a performance record.

What this public preview can establish

  • The dated rule snapshot above shows the conditions evaluated at that time. It does not prove a current trigger or executed trade.
  • Technical strategy fields are shared above. Inspect the actual conditions and check when they were evaluated before relying on them.
  • No trade count, win rate, or P&L figure is published in this preview. It cannot establish a performance record.

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