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Public trading strategy

For years, rising US bond yields pulled money into the dollar and crushed emergi

Created

Thesis

For years, rising US bond yields pulled money into the dollar and crushed emerging-market currencies — that relationship just hit its weakest point in more than four years, which removes the main headwind holding currencies like the Australian dollar down. At the same time, Australia's central bank board was divided enough in August to seriously debate a rate hike, a surprise for a market that assumed rates were on hold or falling. If the RBA tilts toward hiking while the Fed's grip on the dollar weakens, the interest-rate gap favors holding Australian dollars. This is a carry-style trade: you get paid to hold the higher-yielding currency while a weakening dollar trend adds upside.

Strategy approach

For years, rising US bond yields pulled money into the dollar and crushed emerging-market currencies — that relationship just hit its weakest point in more than four years, which removes the main headwind holding currencies like the Australian dollar down. At the same time, Australia's central bank board was divided enough in August to seriously debate a rate hike, a surprise for a market that assumed rates were on hold or falling. If the RBA tilts toward hiking while the Fed's grip on the dollar weakens, the interest-rate gap favors holding Australian dollars. This is a carry-style trade: you get paid to hold the higher-yielding currency while a weakening dollar trend adds upside. Decision analysis profile: value. Required dimensions: valuation_method, valuation_sensitivity,…

Markets and timeframes

FXA1D

Latest published rule evaluation

Evaluated . This is a dated rule snapshot, not a live price or trade execution confirmation.

FXA · 1d

2 of 4 published entry conditions marked met.

  • Price below EMA (50) — near
  • Price crossed above EMA (50) — near
  • RSI (14) above 50 — met
  • ADX (14) above 20 — met

Entry and exit at a glance

These are the named rules in the shared configuration. Review the full conditions below before using a strategy.

  • Entry: EMA/RSI/ADX Crossover Long (FXA@1d) (4 conditions)
  • Exit: Position Exit Rule (1 condition)
  • Exit: TP: Near Resistance[1] (FXA@1d) (1 condition)
  • Exit: SL: Below Support[2] (FXA@1d) (1 condition)
  • Exit: Stop Loss at 2.0% (1 condition)
  • Exit: Take Profit at 4.0% (1 condition)

Shared strategy rules

Rule configuration

{
  "data_dependencies": [
    {
      "symbol": "STOCK:FXA",
      "timeframe": "1d"
    }
  ],
  "entry_rules": [
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:FXA",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:FXA",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "ema",
              "period": 50
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:FXA",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_above",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:FXA",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "ema",
              "period": 50
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:FXA",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "rsi",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 50
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:FXA",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "adx",
            "indicator": {
              "name": "adx",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 20
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_1",
      "name": "EMA/RSI/ADX Crossover Long (FXA@1d)",
      "priority": 1,
      "trade_symbol": "STOCK:FXA"
    }
  ],
  "exit_rules": [
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "holding_period_bars",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 60
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_1",
      "name": "Position Exit Rule",
      "priority": 1,
      "purpose": "signal"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:FXA",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "resistance_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_2",
      "name": "TP: Near Resistance[1] (FXA@1d)",
      "priority": 97,
      "purpose": "take_profit",
      "target_symbol": "STOCK:FXA"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:FXA",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_above",
          "right": {
            "rank": 2,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_3",
      "name": "SL: Below Support[2] (FXA@1d)",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "stop_loss",
      "target_symbol": "STOCK:FXA"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": -2
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_4",
      "name": "Stop Loss at 2.0%",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "stop_loss"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 4
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_5",
      "name": "Take Profit at 4.0%",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "take_profit"
    }
  ],
  "position_sizing": {
    "max_position_percent": 25,
    "method": {
      "risk_percent": 2,
      "support_stop_rank": 2,
      "type": "fixed_risk"
    },
    "min_position_value": 100
  },
  "trigger_timeframe": "1d",
  "version": 1
}

Indicator configuration

{
  "indicators": [
    {
      "name": "ema",
      "period": 50
    },
    {
      "name": "rsi",
      "period": 14
    },
    {
      "name": "adx",
      "period": 14
    }
  ]
}

Parsed strategy

{
  "data_dependencies": [
    {
      "symbol": "STOCK:FXA",
      "timeframe": "1d"
    }
  ],
  "entry_rules": [
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:FXA",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:FXA",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "ema",
              "period": 50
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:FXA",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_above",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:FXA",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "ema",
              "period": 50
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:FXA",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "rsi",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 50
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:FXA",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "adx",
            "indicator": {
              "name": "adx",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 20
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_1",
      "name": "EMA/RSI/ADX Crossover Long (FXA@1d)",
      "priority": 1,
      "trade_symbol": "STOCK:FXA"
    }
  ],
  "exit_rules": [
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "holding_period_bars",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 60
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_1",
      "name": "Position Exit Rule",
      "priority": 1,
      "purpose": "signal"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:FXA",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "resistance_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_2",
      "name": "TP: Near Resistance[1] (FXA@1d)",
      "priority": 97,
      "purpose": "take_profit",
      "target_symbol": "STOCK:FXA"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:FXA",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_above",
          "right": {
            "rank": 2,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_3",
      "name": "SL: Below Support[2] (FXA@1d)",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "stop_loss",
      "target_symbol": "STOCK:FXA"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": -2
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_4",
      "name": "Stop Loss at 2.0%",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "stop_loss"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 4
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_5",
      "name": "Take Profit at 4.0%",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "take_profit"
    }
  ],
  "position_sizing": {
    "max_position_percent": 25,
    "method": {
      "risk_percent": 2,
      "support_stop_rank": 2,
      "type": "fixed_risk"
    },
    "min_position_value": 100
  },
  "trigger_timeframe": "1d",
  "version": 1
}

Strategy instructions

Trading agent generated from recommendation idea 'For years, rising US bond yields pulled money into the dollar and crushed emerging-market currencies — that relationship just hit its weakest point in more than four years, which removes the main headwind holding currencies like the Australian dollar down'. Thesis: For years, rising US bond yields pulled money into the dollar and crushed emerging-market currencies — that relationship just hit its weakest point in more than four years, which removes the main headwind holding currencies like the Australian dollar down. At the same time, Australia's central bank board was divided enough in August to seriously debate a rate hike, a surprise for a market that assumed rates were on hold or falling. If the RBA tilts toward hiking while the Fed's grip on the dollar weakens, the interest-rate gap favors holding Australian dollars. This is a carry-style trade: you get paid to hold the higher-yielding currency while a weakening dollar trend adds upside.

Performance

No trade count, win rate, or realized P&L figures are provided in this public preview. The thesis and shared rules do not establish a performance record.

What this public preview can establish

  • The dated rule snapshot above shows the conditions evaluated at that time. It does not prove a current trigger or executed trade.
  • Technical strategy fields are shared above. Inspect the actual conditions and check when they were evaluated before relying on them.
  • No trade count, win rate, or P&L figure is published in this preview. It cannot establish a performance record.

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