Public trading strategy
Defense spending surge fuels drone boom — AeroVironment momentum play
Created
Thesis
AeroVironment (AVAV) just doubled its revenue and backlog, sending the stock up 28% in a single day. This is a direct beneficiary of the U.S. military's modernization push. Simultaneously, a major macro development occurred: the Supreme Court expanded the President's power over federal agencies. This centralization of executive power streamlines the defense procurement process and makes aggressive military spending policies more likely to stick. Buying AVAV on momentum dips captures this structural shift in defense priorities.
Strategy approach
Build a momentum continuation strategy for AVAV on the D1 timeframe. Enter long when the stock makes a new 10-day high following the earnings gap up. The thesis relies on institutional accumulation post-earnings. Use a 21-day maximum hold period to capture the drift. Set the stop loss at the low of the earnings gap day (the day before the 20%+ jump).
Markets and timeframes
Latest published rule evaluation
Evaluated . This is a dated rule snapshot, not a live price or trade execution confirmation.
AVAV · 1d
0 of 3 published entry conditions marked met.
- Price crossed above Donchian (10) — near
- ADX (14) above 20 — far
- OBV above 0 — unknown
- Price below EMA (21) — met
ITA · 1d
1 of 3 published entry conditions marked met.
- Price crossed above Donchian (10) — near
- ADX (14) above 20 — met
- OBV above 0 — unknown
- Price below EMA (21) — met
Entry and exit at a glance
These are the named rules in the shared configuration. Review the full conditions below before using a strategy.
- Entry: DONCHIAN/ADX/OBV Crossover Long (AVAV@1d) (6 conditions)
- Entry: DONCHIAN/ADX/OBV Crossover Long (ITA@1d) (6 conditions)
- Exit: Position Exit Rule (AVAV@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: Position Exit Rule (ITA@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: TP: Fib Extension 127.2% (AVAV@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: TP: Fib Extension 127.2% (ITA@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: SL: Below Support[2] (AVAV@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: SL: Below Support[2] (ITA@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: Stop Loss at 2.5% (1 condition)
- Exit: Take Profit at 4.9% (1 condition)
Shared strategy rules
Rule configuration
{
"data_dependencies": [
{
"symbol": "AVAV",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
"symbol": "ITA",
"timeframe": "1d"
}
],
"entry_rules": [
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "AVAV",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "upper",
"indicator": {
"name": "donchian",
"period": 10
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "AVAV",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "adx",
"indicator": {
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 20
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "AVAV",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "obv"
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 0
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "resistance_level"
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "low",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_avav",
"name": "DONCHIAN/ADX/OBV Crossover Long (AVAV@1d)",
"priority": 1,
"trade_symbol": "AVAV"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "ITA",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "upper",
"indicator": {
"name": "donchian",
"period": 10
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "ITA",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "adx",
"indicator": {
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 20
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "ITA",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "obv"
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 0
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "resistance_level"
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "low",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_ita",
"name": "DONCHIAN/ADX/OBV Crossover Long (ITA@1d)",
"priority": 2,
"trade_symbol": "ITA"
}
],
"exit_rules": [
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "AVAV",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 21
},
"type": "indicator"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1_avav",
"name": "Position Exit Rule (AVAV@1d)",
"priority": 1,
"purpose": "signal",
"target_symbol": "AVAV"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "ITA",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 21
},
"type": "indicator"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1_ita",
"name": "Position Exit Rule (ITA@1d)",
"priority": 2,
"purpose": "signal",
"target_symbol": "ITA"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "AVAV",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"ratio": 1272,
"type": "fibonacci_extension"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2_avav",
"name": "TP: Fib Extension 127.2% (AVAV@1d)",
"priority": 96,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "AVAV"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "ITA",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"ratio": 1272,
"type": "fibonacci_extension"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2_ita",
"name": "TP: Fib Extension 127.2% (ITA@1d)",
"priority": 97,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "ITA"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"rank": 2,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3_avav",
"name": "SL: Below Support[2] (AVAV@1d)",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "AVAV"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"rank": 2,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3_ita",
"name": "SL: Below Support[2] (ITA@1d)",
"priority": 101,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "ITA"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -2.4569
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_4",
"name": "Stop Loss at 2.5%",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 4.9138
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_5",
"name": "Take Profit at 4.9%",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "take_profit"
}
],
"position_sizing": {
"max_position_percent": 25,
"method": {
"fib_stop_ratio": 786,
"risk_percent": 2.4569,
"type": "fixed_risk"
},
"min_position_value": 100
},
"trigger_timeframe": "1d",
"version": 1
}Indicator configuration
{
"indicators": [
{
"name": "donchian",
"period": 10
},
{
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
{
"name": "obv"
},
{
"name": "ema",
"period": 21
},
{
"name": "donchian",
"period": 10
},
{
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
{
"name": "obv"
},
{
"name": "ema",
"period": 21
}
]
}Parsed strategy
{
"data_dependencies": [
{
"symbol": "AVAV",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
"symbol": "ITA",
"timeframe": "1d"
}
],
"entry_rules": [
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "AVAV",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "upper",
"indicator": {
"name": "donchian",
"period": 10
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "AVAV",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "adx",
"indicator": {
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 20
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "AVAV",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "obv"
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 0
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "resistance_level"
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "low",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_avav",
"name": "DONCHIAN/ADX/OBV Crossover Long (AVAV@1d)",
"priority": 1,
"trade_symbol": "AVAV"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "ITA",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "upper",
"indicator": {
"name": "donchian",
"period": 10
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "ITA",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "adx",
"indicator": {
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 20
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "ITA",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "obv"
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 0
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_above",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "resistance_level"
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "low",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_ita",
"name": "DONCHIAN/ADX/OBV Crossover Long (ITA@1d)",
"priority": 2,
"trade_symbol": "ITA"
}
],
"exit_rules": [
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "AVAV",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 21
},
"type": "indicator"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1_avav",
"name": "Position Exit Rule (AVAV@1d)",
"priority": 1,
"purpose": "signal",
"target_symbol": "AVAV"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "ITA",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 21
},
"type": "indicator"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1_ita",
"name": "Position Exit Rule (ITA@1d)",
"priority": 2,
"purpose": "signal",
"target_symbol": "ITA"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "AVAV",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"ratio": 1272,
"type": "fibonacci_extension"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2_avav",
"name": "TP: Fib Extension 127.2% (AVAV@1d)",
"priority": 96,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "AVAV"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "ITA",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"ratio": 1272,
"type": "fibonacci_extension"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2_ita",
"name": "TP: Fib Extension 127.2% (ITA@1d)",
"priority": 97,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "ITA"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"rank": 2,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3_avav",
"name": "SL: Below Support[2] (AVAV@1d)",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "AVAV"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"rank": 2,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3_ita",
"name": "SL: Below Support[2] (ITA@1d)",
"priority": 101,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "ITA"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -2.4569
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_4",
"name": "Stop Loss at 2.5%",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 4.9138
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_5",
"name": "Take Profit at 4.9%",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "take_profit"
}
],
"position_sizing": {
"max_position_percent": 25,
"method": {
"fib_stop_ratio": 786,
"risk_percent": 2.4569,
"type": "fixed_risk"
},
"min_position_value": 100
},
"trigger_timeframe": "1d",
"version": 1
}Strategy instructions
Trading agent generated from recommendation idea 'Defense spending surge fuels drone boom — AeroVironment momentum play'. Thesis: AeroVironment (AVAV) just doubled its revenue and backlog, sending the stock up 28% in a single day. This is a direct beneficiary of the U.S. military's modernization push. Simultaneously, a major macro development occurred: the Supreme Court expanded the President's power over federal agencies. This centralization of executive power streamlines the defense procurement process and makes aggressive military spending policies more likely to stick. Buying AVAV on momentum dips captures this structural shift in defense priorities.
Performance
No trade count, win rate, or realized P&L figures are provided in this public preview. The thesis and shared rules do not establish a performance record.
What this public preview can establish
- The dated rule snapshot above shows the conditions evaluated at that time. It does not prove a current trigger or executed trade.
- Technical strategy fields are shared above. Inspect the actual conditions and check when they were evaluated before relying on them.
- No trade count, win rate, or P&L figure is published in this preview. It cannot establish a performance record.
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