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Public trading strategy

Middle East chaos chokes off oil supply — long energy stocks on the crude spike

Created

Thesis

Military action near vital shipping lanes like the Strait of Hormuz and Red Sea is creating immediate supply chain shocks, evidenced by the suspension of crude loadings at Iraqi terminals. When physical supply is suddenly threatened or halted, energy producers see massive pricing power that translates directly to their bottom line. While broader stocks may stumble from the inflationary shock, oil producers and energy funds will likely rally as crude prices surge on war premiums.

Strategy approach

Build a momentum strategy for energy equities that enters long on XLE, XOM, and CVX using the H4 or D1 timeframe when front-month WTI crude oil futures make a new 20-day high and the broader stock market (SPY) is down or flat over the same period. Exit if WTI drops below its 10-day moving average or after a 15-day holding period.

Markets and timeframes

Entry and exit at a glance

These are the named rules in the shared configuration. Review the full conditions below before using a strategy.

  • Entry: DONCHIAN/SMA/MACD/ADX Crossover Long (CVX@1d) (7 conditions)
  • Entry: DONCHIAN/SMA/MACD/ADX Crossover Long (XLE@1d) (7 conditions)
  • Entry: DONCHIAN/SMA/MACD/ADX Crossover Long (XOM@1d) (7 conditions)
  • Entry: DONCHIAN/SMA/MACD/ADX Crossover Long (USO@1d) (7 conditions)
  • Entry: DONCHIAN/SMA/MACD/ADX Crossover Long (SPY@1d) (7 conditions)
  • Entry: DONCHIAN/SMA/MACD/ADX Signal Long (CVX@1d) (4 conditions)
  • Entry: DONCHIAN/SMA/MACD/ADX Signal Long (XLE@1d) (4 conditions)
  • Entry: DONCHIAN/SMA/MACD/ADX Signal Long (XOM@1d) (4 conditions)
  • Entry: DONCHIAN/SMA/MACD/ADX Signal Long (USO@1d) (4 conditions)
  • Entry: DONCHIAN/SMA/MACD/ADX Signal Long (SPY@1d) (4 conditions)
  • Entry: Crossover Long (CVX@1d) (3 conditions)
  • Entry: Crossover Long (XLE@1d) (3 conditions)
  • Entry: Crossover Long (XOM@1d) (3 conditions)
  • Entry: Crossover Long (USO@1d) (3 conditions)
  • Entry: Crossover Long (SPY@1d) (3 conditions)
  • Exit: Position Exit Rule (CVX@1d) (2 conditions)
  • Exit: Position Exit Rule (XLE@1d) (2 conditions)
  • Exit: Position Exit Rule (XOM@1d) (2 conditions)
  • Exit: Position Exit Rule (USO@1d) (2 conditions)
  • Exit: Position Exit Rule (SPY@1d) (2 conditions)
  • Exit: TP: Fib Extension 127.2% (CVX@1d) (1 condition)
  • Exit: TP: Fib Extension 127.2% (XLE@1d) (1 condition)
  • Exit: TP: Fib Extension 127.2% (XOM@1d) (1 condition)
  • Exit: TP: Fib Extension 127.2% (USO@1d) (1 condition)
  • Exit: TP: Fib Extension 127.2% (SPY@1d) (1 condition)
  • Exit: SL: Below Support[1] (CVX@1d) (1 condition)
  • Exit: SL: Below Support[1] (XLE@1d) (1 condition)
  • Exit: SL: Below Support[1] (XOM@1d) (1 condition)
  • Exit: SL: Below Support[1] (USO@1d) (1 condition)
  • Exit: SL: Below Support[1] (SPY@1d) (1 condition)
  • Exit: Stop Loss at 2.4% (1 condition)
  • Exit: Take Profit at 4.7% (1 condition)

Shared strategy rules

Rule configuration

{
  "data_dependencies": [
    {
      "symbol": "STOCK:CVX",
      "timeframe": "1d"
    },
    {
      "symbol": "STOCK:XLE",
      "timeframe": "1d"
    },
    {
      "symbol": "STOCK:XOM",
      "timeframe": "1d"
    },
    {
      "symbol": "STOCK:USO",
      "timeframe": "1d"
    },
    {
      "symbol": "STOCK:SPY",
      "timeframe": "1d"
    }
  ],
  "entry_rules": [
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:CVX",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:CVX",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "upper",
            "indicator": {
              "name": "donchian",
              "period": 20
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:CVX",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:CVX",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "sma",
              "period": 20
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:CVX",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "histogram",
            "indicator": {
              "fast": 12,
              "name": "macd",
              "signal": 9,
              "slow": 26
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 0
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:CVX",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "adx",
            "indicator": {
              "name": "adx",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 25
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:CVX",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_above",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "resistance_level"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:CVX",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "low",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:CVX",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "ratio": 382,
            "type": "fibonacci_retracement"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:CVX",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:CVX",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "ratio": 382,
            "type": "fibonacci_retracement"
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_1_cvx",
      "name": "DONCHIAN/SMA/MACD/ADX Crossover Long (CVX@1d)",
      "priority": 1,
      "trade_symbol": "STOCK:CVX"
    },
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:XLE",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:XLE",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "upper",
            "indicator": {
              "name": "donchian",
              "period": 20
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:XLE",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:XLE",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "sma",
              "period": 20
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:XLE",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "histogram",
            "indicator": {
              "fast": 12,
              "name": "macd",
              "signal": 9,
              "slow": 26
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 0
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:XLE",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "adx",
            "indicator": {
              "name": "adx",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 25
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:XLE",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_above",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "resistance_level"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:XLE",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "low",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:XLE",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "ratio": 382,
            "type": "fibonacci_retracement"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:XLE",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:XLE",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "ratio": 382,
            "type": "fibonacci_retracement"
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_1_xle",
      "name": "DONCHIAN/SMA/MACD/ADX Crossover Long (XLE@1d)",
      "priority": 2,
      "trade_symbol": "STOCK:XLE"
    },
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:XOM",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:XOM",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "upper",
            "indicator": {
              "name": "donchian",
              "period": 20
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:XOM",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:XOM",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "sma",
              "period": 20
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:XOM",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "histogram",
            "indicator": {
              "fast": 12,
              "name": "macd",
              "signal": 9,
              "slow": 26
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 0
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:XOM",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "adx",
            "indicator": {
              "name": "adx",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 25
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:XOM",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_above",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "resistance_level"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:XOM",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "low",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:XOM",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "ratio": 382,
            "type": "fibonacci_retracement"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:XOM",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:XOM",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "ratio": 382,
            "type": "fibonacci_retracement"
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_1_xom",
      "name": "DONCHIAN/SMA/MACD/ADX Crossover Long (XOM@1d)",
      "priority": 3,
      "trade_symbol": "STOCK:XOM"
    },
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:USO",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:USO",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "upper",
            "indicator": {
              "name": "donchian",
              "period": 20
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:USO",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:USO",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "sma",
              "period": 20
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:USO",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "histogram",
            "indicator": {
              "fast": 12,
              "name": "macd",
              "signal": 9,
              "slow": 26
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 0
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:USO",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "adx",
            "indicator": {
              "name": "adx",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 25
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:USO",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_above",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "resistance_level"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:USO",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "low",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:USO",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "ratio": 382,
            "type": "fibonacci_retracement"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:USO",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:USO",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "ratio": 382,
            "type": "fibonacci_retracement"
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_1_uso",
      "name": "DONCHIAN/SMA/MACD/ADX Crossover Long (USO@1d)",
      "priority": 4,
      "trade_symbol": "STOCK:USO"
    },
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:SPY",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:SPY",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "upper",
            "indicator": {
              "name": "donchian",
              "period": 20
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:SPY",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:SPY",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "sma",
              "period": 20
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:SPY",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "histogram",
            "indicator": {
              "fast": 12,
              "name": "macd",
              "signal": 9,
              "slow": 26
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 0
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:SPY",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "adx",
            "indicator": {
              "name": "adx",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 25
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:SPY",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_above",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "resistance_level"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:SPY",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "low",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:SPY",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "ratio": 382,
            "type": "fibonacci_retracement"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:SPY",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:SPY",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "ratio": 382,
            "type": "fibonacci_retracement"
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_1_spy",
      "name": "DONCHIAN/SMA/MACD/ADX Crossover Long (SPY@1d)",
      "priority": 5,
      "trade_symbol": "STOCK:SPY"
    },
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:CVX",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:CVX",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "upper",
            "indicator": {
              "name": "donchian",
              "period": 20
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:CVX",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:CVX",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "sma",
              "period": 20
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:CVX",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "histogram",
            "indicator": {
              "fast": 12,
              "name": "macd",
              "signal": 9,
              "slow": 26
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 0
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:CVX",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "adx",
            "indicator": {
              "name": "adx",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 25
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_2_cvx",
      "name": "DONCHIAN/SMA/MACD/ADX Signal Long (CVX@1d)",
      "priority": 2,
      "trade_symbol": "STOCK:CVX"
    },
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:XLE",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:XLE",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "upper",
            "indicator": {
              "name": "donchian",
              "period": 20
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
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            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:USO",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "ratio": 1272,
            "type": "fibonacci_extension"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_2_uso",
      "name": "TP: Fib Extension 127.2% (USO@1d)",
      "priority": 99,
      "purpose": "take_profit",
      "target_symbol": "STOCK:USO"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:SPY",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:SPY",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "ratio": 1272,
            "type": "fibonacci_extension"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_2_spy",
      "name": "TP: Fib Extension 127.2% (SPY@1d)",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "take_profit",
      "target_symbol": "STOCK:SPY"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "long",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:CVX",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_above",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_3_cvx",
      "name": "SL: Below Support[1] (CVX@1d)",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "stop_loss",
      "target_symbol": "STOCK:CVX"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "long",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:XLE",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_above",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_3_xle",
      "name": "SL: Below Support[1] (XLE@1d)",
      "priority": 101,
      "purpose": "stop_loss",
      "target_symbol": "STOCK:XLE"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "long",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:XOM",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_above",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_3_xom",
      "name": "SL: Below Support[1] (XOM@1d)",
      "priority": 102,
      "purpose": "stop_loss",
      "target_symbol": "STOCK:XOM"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "long",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:USO",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_above",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_3_uso",
      "name": "SL: Below Support[1] (USO@1d)",
      "priority": 103,
      "purpose": "stop_loss",
      "target_symbol": "STOCK:USO"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "long",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:SPY",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_above",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_3_spy",
      "name": "SL: Below Support[1] (SPY@1d)",
      "priority": 104,
      "purpose": "stop_loss",
      "target_symbol": "STOCK:SPY"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": -2.356222222222222
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_4",
      "name": "Stop Loss at 2.4%",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "stop_loss"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 4.712444444444444
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_5",
      "name": "Take Profit at 4.7%",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "take_profit"
    }
  ],
  "position_sizing": {
    "max_position_percent": 20,
    "method": {
      "risk_percent": 2.356222222222222,
      "support_stop_rank": 2,
      "type": "fixed_risk"
    },
    "min_position_value": 100
  },
  "trigger_timeframe": "1d",
  "version": 1
}

Indicator configuration

{
  "indicators": [
    {
      "name": "donchian",
      "period": 20
    },
    {
      "name": "sma",
      "period": 20
    },
    {
      "name": "sma",
      "period": 10
    },
    {
      "fast": 12,
      "name": "macd",
      "signal": 9,
      "slow": 26
    },
    {
      "name": "adx",
      "period": 14
    },
    {
      "name": "donchian",
      "period": 20
    },
    {
      "name": "sma",
      "period": 20
    },
    {
      "name": "sma",
      "period": 10
    },
    {
      "fast": 12,
      "name": "macd",
      "signal": 9,
      "slow": 26
    },
    {
      "name": "adx",
      "period": 14
    },
    {
      "name": "donchian",
      "period": 20
    },
    {
      "name": "sma",
      "period": 20
    },
    {
      "name": "sma",
      "period": 10
    },
    {
      "fast": 12,
      "name": "macd",
      "signal": 9,
      "slow": 26
    },
    {
      "name": "adx",
      "period": 14
    },
    {
      "name": "donchian",
      "period": 20
    },
    {
      "name": "sma",
      "period": 20
    },
    {
      "name": "sma",
      "period": 10
    },
    {
      "fast": 12,
      "name": "macd",
      "signal": 9,
      "slow": 26
    },
    {
      "name": "adx",
      "period": 14
    },
    {
      "name": "donchian",
      "period": 20
    },
    {
      "name": "sma",
      "period": 20
    },
    {
      "name": "sma",
      "period": 10
    },
    {
      "fast": 12,
      "name": "macd",
      "signal": 9,
      "slow": 26
    },
    {
      "name": "adx",
      "period": 14
    }
  ]
}

Parsed strategy

{
  "data_dependencies": [
    {
      "symbol": "STOCK:CVX",
      "timeframe": "1d"
    },
    {
      "symbol": "STOCK:XLE",
      "timeframe": "1d"
    },
    {
      "symbol": "STOCK:XOM",
      "timeframe": "1d"
    },
    {
      "symbol": "STOCK:USO",
      "timeframe": "1d"
    },
    {
      "symbol": "STOCK:SPY",
      "timeframe": "1d"
    }
  ],
  "entry_rules": [
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:CVX",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:CVX",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "upper",
            "indicator": {
              "name": "donchian",
              "period": 20
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:CVX",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:CVX",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "sma",
              "period": 20
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:CVX",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "histogram",
            "indicator": {
              "fast": 12,
              "name": "macd",
              "signal": 9,
              "slow": 26
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 0
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:CVX",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "adx",
            "indicator": {
              "name": "adx",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 25
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:CVX",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_above",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "resistance_level"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:CVX",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "low",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:CVX",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "ratio": 382,
            "type": "fibonacci_retracement"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:CVX",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:CVX",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "ratio": 382,
            "type": "fibonacci_retracement"
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_1_cvx",
      "name": "DONCHIAN/SMA/MACD/ADX Crossover Long (CVX@1d)",
      "priority": 1,
      "trade_symbol": "STOCK:CVX"
    },
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:XLE",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:XLE",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "upper",
            "indicator": {
              "name": "donchian",
              "period": 20
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:XLE",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:XLE",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "sma",
              "period": 20
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:XLE",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "histogram",
            "indicator": {
              "fast": 12,
              "name": "macd",
              "signal": 9,
              "slow": 26
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 0
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:XLE",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "adx",
            "indicator": {
              "name": "adx",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 25
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:XLE",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_above",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "resistance_level"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:XLE",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "low",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:XLE",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "ratio": 382,
            "type": "fibonacci_retracement"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:XLE",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:XLE",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "ratio": 382,
            "type": "fibonacci_retracement"
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_1_xle",
      "name": "DONCHIAN/SMA/MACD/ADX Crossover Long (XLE@1d)",
      "priority": 2,
      "trade_symbol": "STOCK:XLE"
    },
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:XOM",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:XOM",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "upper",
            "indicator": {
              "name": "donchian",
              "period": 20
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:XOM",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:XOM",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "sma",
              "period": 20
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:XOM",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "histogram",
            "indicator": {
              "fast": 12,
              "name": "macd",
              "signal": 9,
              "slow": 26
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 0
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:XOM",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "adx",
            "indicator": {
              "name": "adx",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 25
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:XOM",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_above",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "resistance_level"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:XOM",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "low",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:XOM",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "ratio": 382,
            "type": "fibonacci_retracement"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:XOM",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:XOM",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "ratio": 382,
            "type": "fibonacci_retracement"
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_1_xom",
      "name": "DONCHIAN/SMA/MACD/ADX Crossover Long (XOM@1d)",
      "priority": 3,
      "trade_symbol": "STOCK:XOM"
    },
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:USO",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:USO",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "upper",
            "indicator": {
              "name": "donchian",
              "period": 20
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:USO",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:USO",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "sma",
              "period": 20
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:USO",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "histogram",
            "indicator": {
              "fast": 12,
              "name": "macd",
              "signal": 9,
              "slow": 26
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 0
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:USO",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "adx",
            "indicator": {
              "name": "adx",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 25
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:USO",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_above",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "resistance_level"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:USO",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "low",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:USO",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "ratio": 382,
            "type": "fibonacci_retracement"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:USO",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:USO",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "ratio": 382,
            "type": "fibonacci_retracement"
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_1_uso",
      "name": "DONCHIAN/SMA/MACD/ADX Crossover Long (USO@1d)",
      "priority": 4,
      "trade_symbol": "STOCK:USO"
    },
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:SPY",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:SPY",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "upper",
            "indicator": {
              "name": "donchian",
              "period": 20
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:SPY",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:SPY",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "sma",
              "period": 20
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:SPY",
              "timeframe": "1d"
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      ],
      "enabled": true,
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    },
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      "applies_to": "both",
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            "ratio": 1272,
            "type": "fibonacci_extension"
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        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
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    },
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      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_2_xom",
      "name": "TP: Fib Extension 127.2% (XOM@1d)",
      "priority": 98,
      "purpose": "take_profit",
      "target_symbol": "STOCK:XOM"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
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            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
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              "timeframe": "1d"
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            "type": "fibonacci_extension"
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        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_2_uso",
      "name": "TP: Fib Extension 127.2% (USO@1d)",
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      "purpose": "take_profit",
      "target_symbol": "STOCK:USO"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
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      "id": "exit_2_spy",
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      "purpose": "take_profit",
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      "purpose": "stop_loss",
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      "enabled": true,
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      "purpose": "stop_loss",
      "target_symbol": "STOCK:SPY"
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    {
      "applies_to": "both",
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      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_4",
      "name": "Stop Loss at 2.4%",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "stop_loss"
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      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_5",
      "name": "Take Profit at 4.7%",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "take_profit"
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  "position_sizing": {
    "max_position_percent": 20,
    "method": {
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    "min_position_value": 100
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  "trigger_timeframe": "1d",
  "version": 1
}

Strategy instructions

Trading agent generated from recommendation idea 'Middle East chaos chokes off oil supply — long energy stocks on the crude spike'. Thesis: Military action near vital shipping lanes like the Strait of Hormuz and Red Sea is creating immediate supply chain shocks, evidenced by the suspension of crude loadings at Iraqi terminals. When physical supply is suddenly threatened or halted, energy producers see massive pricing power that translates directly to their bottom line. While broader stocks may stumble from the inflationary shock, oil producers and energy funds will likely rally as crude prices surge on war premiums.

Performance

No trade count, win rate, or realized P&L figures are provided in this public preview. The thesis and shared rules do not establish a performance record.

What this public preview can establish

  • The thesis and strategy approach describe a market view. They do not show whether an entry or exit condition is currently met.
  • Technical strategy fields are shared above. Inspect the actual conditions and check when they were evaluated before relying on them.
  • No trade count, win rate, or P&L figure is published in this preview. It cannot establish a performance record.

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