Iran ceasefire is over and oil is surging — ride the wave with defense stocks
Created
Thesis
By combining news of the US actively striking Iran and blocking their oil sales with Trump's vow to hit them again, we see a clear escalation in geopolitical tension. The immediate market reaction has been a surge in oil prices and a rotation into defense stocks like Lockheed Martin. Because the conflict is actively disrupting global shipping and oil supplies, this tension is likely to persist rather than resolve overnight, making defense contractors a strong momentum play.
Strategy approach
Build a rule-based strategy that enters long LMT and RTX on D1 when front-month WTI crude oil futures (CL=F) increase >3% in a single session. Exit conditions: take profit if the position gains 8% within a 14-trading-day hold period, or cut losses with a 4% stop loss.
Markets and timeframes
What this public preview can establish
- The thesis and strategy approach describe a market view. They do not show whether an entry or exit condition is currently met.
- No inspectable rule definition is included in this public preview. Do not infer a trigger from the thesis or approach.
- No trade count, win rate, or P&L figure is published in this preview. It cannot establish a performance record.
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