Loading…
Public trading strategy

Wall Street is fleeing crypto — short Bitcoin as the biggest whale starts sellin

Created

Thesis

Bitcoin is decoupling from the broader stock market recovery, sliding even as traditional equities bounce. With $4 billion already pulled from Bitcoin ETFs this month, the institutional demand has completely dried up. The announcement that Strategy is preparing to sell up to $1.25 billion of its Bitcoin reserves acts as a massive overhang on the market, signaling to retail traders that even the biggest bulls are looking for the exit.

Strategy approach

Build a breakout strategy that enters short MSTR on D1 if Bitcoin (BTCUSD) closes below $59,500. Use a 10% trailing stop to capture downside momentum and exit if BTCUSD closes back above the $62,000 resistance level.

Markets and timeframes

Latest published rule evaluation

Evaluated . This is a dated rule snapshot, not a live price or trade execution confirmation.

BTC · 1d

0 of 1 published entry conditions marked met.

  • Price below 59500 — far
  • Price above 62000 — met

MSTR · 1d

1 of 1 published entry conditions marked met.

  • Price below 59500 — met
  • Price above 62000 — far

Entry and exit at a glance

These are the named rules in the shared configuration. Review the full conditions below before using a strategy.

  • Entry: Support Breakdown Short below 59500 (BTC@1d) (2 conditions)
  • Exit: Exit if BTC closes back above 62000 (1 condition)
  • Exit: Trailing Stop at 10% (1 condition)
  • Exit: Take Profit at 5.1% (1 condition)
  • Exit: SL: Above Resistance[1] (BTC@1d) (1 condition)

Shared strategy rules

Rule configuration

{
  "data_dependencies": [
    {
      "symbol": "CRYPTO:BTC",
      "timeframe": "1d"
    }
  ],
  "entry_rules": [
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_below",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 59500
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "short",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_1",
      "name": "Support Breakdown Short below 59500 (BTC@1d)",
      "priority": 1,
      "trade_symbol": "CRYPTO:BTC"
    }
  ],
  "exit_rules": [
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 62000
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_1",
      "name": "Exit if BTC closes back above 62000",
      "priority": 1,
      "purpose": "signal",
      "target_symbol": "CRYPTO:BTC"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": -10
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_2",
      "name": "Trailing Stop at 10%",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "stop_loss"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 5.1404000000000005
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_3",
      "name": "Take Profit at 5.1%",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "take_profit"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "short",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "resistance_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_5",
      "name": "SL: Above Resistance[1] (BTC@1d)",
      "priority": 97,
      "purpose": "stop_loss"
    }
  ],
  "position_sizing": {
    "max_position_percent": 25,
    "method": {
      "risk_percent": 2.5702000000000003,
      "type": "fixed_risk"
    },
    "min_position_value": 100
  },
  "trigger_timeframe": "1d",
  "version": 2
}

Indicator configuration

{
  "indicators": [
    {
      "name": "adx",
      "period": 14
    },
    {
      "name": "atr",
      "period": 14
    },
    {
      "name": "obv"
    }
  ]
}

Parsed strategy

{
  "data_dependencies": [
    {
      "symbol": "CRYPTO:BTC",
      "timeframe": "1d"
    }
  ],
  "entry_rules": [
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_below",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 59500
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "short",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_1",
      "name": "Support Breakdown Short below 59500 (BTC@1d)",
      "priority": 1,
      "trade_symbol": "CRYPTO:BTC"
    }
  ],
  "exit_rules": [
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 62000
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_1",
      "name": "Exit if BTC closes back above 62000",
      "priority": 1,
      "purpose": "signal",
      "target_symbol": "CRYPTO:BTC"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": -10
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_2",
      "name": "Trailing Stop at 10%",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "stop_loss"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 5.1404000000000005
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_3",
      "name": "Take Profit at 5.1%",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "take_profit"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "short",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "resistance_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_5",
      "name": "SL: Above Resistance[1] (BTC@1d)",
      "priority": 97,
      "purpose": "stop_loss"
    }
  ],
  "position_sizing": {
    "max_position_percent": 25,
    "method": {
      "risk_percent": 2.5702000000000003,
      "type": "fixed_risk"
    },
    "min_position_value": 100
  },
  "trigger_timeframe": "1d",
  "version": 2
}

Strategy instructions

Trading agent generated from recommendation idea 'Wall Street is fleeing crypto — short Bitcoin as the biggest whale starts selling'. Thesis: Bitcoin is decoupling from the broader stock market recovery, sliding even as traditional equities bounce. With $4 billion already pulled from Bitcoin ETFs this month, the institutional demand has completely dried up. The announcement that Strategy is preparing to sell up to $1.25 billion of its Bitcoin reserves acts as a massive overhang on the market, signaling to retail traders that even the biggest bulls are looking for the exit.

Performance

No trade count, win rate, or realized P&L figures are provided in this public preview. The thesis and shared rules do not establish a performance record.

What this public preview can establish

  • The dated rule snapshot above shows the conditions evaluated at that time. It does not prove a current trigger or executed trade.
  • Technical strategy fields are shared above. Inspect the actual conditions and check when they were evaluated before relying on them.
  • No trade count, win rate, or P&L figure is published in this preview. It cannot establish a performance record.

Explore

How CommonQuant researches and tests strategies · Public paper-trading record and its limits · Discover public strategies