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Public trading strategy

Two massive signals just hit the tape: the US is literally intervening in curren

Created

Thesis

Two massive signals just hit the tape: the US is literally intervening in currency markets to stop the bleeding, and global bond funds are dumping US holdings for European debt. This kind of universal panic historically marks the exact moment when the selling becomes exhausted. When everyone is rushing for the exits at once, prices get pushed far below fair value. Long-term US bonds offer a prime contrarian buying opportunity as eventual stabilization will drive prices back up.

Markets and timeframes

TLT1D

Latest published rule evaluation

Evaluated . This is a dated rule snapshot, not a live price or trade execution confirmation.

TLT · 1d

1 of 3 published entry conditions marked met.

  • RSI (14) below 35 — far
  • Price above EMA (20) — near
  • ADX (14) above 20 — met
  • Price above EMA (50) — near
  • RSI (14) above 65 — far

Entry and exit at a glance

These are the named rules in the shared configuration. Review the full conditions below before using a strategy.

  • Entry: Oversold RSI/EMA/ADX Long (TLT@1d) (4 conditions)
  • Exit: Position Exit Rule (TLT@1d) (3 conditions)
  • Exit: TP: Fib Extension 127.2% (TLT@1d) (1 condition)
  • Exit: SL: Below Support[2] (TLT@1d) (1 condition)
  • Exit: Stop Loss at 2.8% (1 condition)
  • Exit: Take Profit at 5.6% (1 condition)
  • Exit: SL: Below Support[1] (TLT@1d) (2 conditions)

Shared strategy rules

Rule configuration

{
  "data_dependencies": [
    {
      "symbol": "STOCK:TLT",
      "timeframe": "1d"
    }
  ],
  "entry_rules": [
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:TLT",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "rsi",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 35
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:TLT",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:TLT",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "ema",
              "period": 20
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:TLT",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "adx",
            "indicator": {
              "name": "adx",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 20
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:TLT",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "low",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_1",
      "name": "Oversold RSI/EMA/ADX Long (TLT@1d)",
      "priority": 1,
      "trade_symbol": "STOCK:TLT"
    }
  ],
  "exit_rules": [
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:TLT",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:TLT",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "ema",
              "period": 50
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:TLT",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "rsi",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 65
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "holding_period_bars",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 60
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_1",
      "name": "Position Exit Rule (TLT@1d)",
      "priority": 1,
      "purpose": "signal"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:TLT",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:TLT",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "ratio": 1272,
            "type": "fibonacci_extension"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_2",
      "name": "TP: Fib Extension 127.2% (TLT@1d)",
      "priority": 96,
      "purpose": "take_profit",
      "target_symbol": "STOCK:TLT"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:TLT",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_above",
          "right": {
            "rank": 2,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_3",
      "name": "SL: Below Support[2] (TLT@1d)",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "stop_loss",
      "target_symbol": "STOCK:TLT"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": -2.806666666666666
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_4",
      "name": "Stop Loss at 2.8%",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "stop_loss"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 5.613333333333333
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_5",
      "name": "Take Profit at 5.6%",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "take_profit"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "long",
      "condition_tree": {
        "children": [
          {
            "cond": {
              "left": {
                "chart_ref": {
                  "symbol": "STOCK:TLT",
                  "timeframe": "1d"
                },
                "field": "close",
                "type": "price"
              },
              "operator": "crossed_above",
              "right": {
                "rank": 1,
                "type": "support_level"
              }
            },
            "op": "cond"
          },
          {
            "cond": {
              "left": {
                "chart_ref": {
                  "symbol": "STOCK:TLT",
                  "timeframe": "1d"
                },
                "field": "close",
                "type": "price"
              },
              "operator": "less_than",
              "right": {
                "chart_ref": {
                  "symbol": "STOCK:TLT",
                  "timeframe": "1d"
                },
                "ratio": 786,
                "type": "fibonacci_retracement"
              }
            },
            "op": "cond"
          }
        ],
        "op": "any"
      },
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:TLT",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_above",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:TLT",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:TLT",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "ratio": 786,
            "type": "fibonacci_retracement"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_6",
      "name": "SL: Below Support[1] (TLT@1d)",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "stop_loss"
    }
  ],
  "position_sizing": {
    "max_position_percent": 25,
    "method": {
      "fib_stop_ratio": 786,
      "risk_percent": 2.806666666666666,
      "type": "fixed_risk"
    },
    "min_position_value": 100
  },
  "trigger_timeframe": "1d",
  "version": 1
}

Indicator configuration

{
  "indicators": [
    {
      "name": "rsi",
      "period": 14
    },
    {
      "name": "ema",
      "period": 20
    },
    {
      "name": "ema",
      "period": 50
    },
    {
      "name": "adx",
      "period": 14
    }
  ]
}

Parsed strategy

{
  "data_dependencies": [
    {
      "symbol": "STOCK:TLT",
      "timeframe": "1d"
    }
  ],
  "entry_rules": [
    {
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:TLT",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "rsi",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 35
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:TLT",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:TLT",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "ema",
              "period": 20
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:TLT",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "adx",
            "indicator": {
              "name": "adx",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 20
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:TLT",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "low",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "direction": "long",
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "entry_1",
      "name": "Oversold RSI/EMA/ADX Long (TLT@1d)",
      "priority": 1,
      "trade_symbol": "STOCK:TLT"
    }
  ],
  "exit_rules": [
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:TLT",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:TLT",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "ema",
              "period": 50
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:TLT",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "indicator": {
              "name": "rsi",
              "period": 14
            },
            "type": "indicator"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 65
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "holding_period_bars",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 60
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_1",
      "name": "Position Exit Rule (TLT@1d)",
      "priority": 1,
      "purpose": "signal"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:TLT",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:TLT",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "ratio": 1272,
            "type": "fibonacci_extension"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_2",
      "name": "TP: Fib Extension 127.2% (TLT@1d)",
      "priority": 96,
      "purpose": "take_profit",
      "target_symbol": "STOCK:TLT"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:TLT",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_above",
          "right": {
            "rank": 2,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_3",
      "name": "SL: Below Support[2] (TLT@1d)",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "stop_loss",
      "target_symbol": "STOCK:TLT"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "less_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": -2.806666666666666
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_4",
      "name": "Stop Loss at 2.8%",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "stop_loss"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "both",
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
            "type": "position"
          },
          "operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
          "right": {
            "type": "constant",
            "value": 5.613333333333333
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_5",
      "name": "Take Profit at 5.6%",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "take_profit"
    },
    {
      "applies_to": "long",
      "condition_tree": {
        "children": [
          {
            "cond": {
              "left": {
                "chart_ref": {
                  "symbol": "STOCK:TLT",
                  "timeframe": "1d"
                },
                "field": "close",
                "type": "price"
              },
              "operator": "crossed_above",
              "right": {
                "rank": 1,
                "type": "support_level"
              }
            },
            "op": "cond"
          },
          {
            "cond": {
              "left": {
                "chart_ref": {
                  "symbol": "STOCK:TLT",
                  "timeframe": "1d"
                },
                "field": "close",
                "type": "price"
              },
              "operator": "less_than",
              "right": {
                "chart_ref": {
                  "symbol": "STOCK:TLT",
                  "timeframe": "1d"
                },
                "ratio": 786,
                "type": "fibonacci_retracement"
              }
            },
            "op": "cond"
          }
        ],
        "op": "any"
      },
      "conditions": [
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:TLT",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "crossed_above",
          "right": {
            "rank": 1,
            "type": "support_level"
          }
        },
        {
          "left": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:TLT",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "field": "close",
            "type": "price"
          },
          "operator": "less_than",
          "right": {
            "chart_ref": {
              "symbol": "STOCK:TLT",
              "timeframe": "1d"
            },
            "ratio": 786,
            "type": "fibonacci_retracement"
          }
        }
      ],
      "enabled": true,
      "id": "exit_6",
      "name": "SL: Below Support[1] (TLT@1d)",
      "priority": 100,
      "purpose": "stop_loss"
    }
  ],
  "position_sizing": {
    "max_position_percent": 25,
    "method": {
      "fib_stop_ratio": 786,
      "risk_percent": 2.806666666666666,
      "type": "fixed_risk"
    },
    "min_position_value": 100
  },
  "trigger_timeframe": "1d",
  "version": 1
}

Strategy instructions

Trading agent generated from recommendation idea 'Two massive signals just hit the tape: the US is literally intervening in currency markets to stop the bleeding, and global bond funds are dumping US holdings for European debt. This kind of universal panic historically marks the exact moment when the sel'. Thesis: Two massive signals just hit the tape: the US is literally intervening in currency markets to stop the bleeding, and global bond funds are dumping US holdings for European debt. This kind of universal panic historically marks the exact moment when the selling becomes exhausted. When everyone is rushing for the exits at once, prices get pushed far below fair value. Long-term US bonds offer a prime contrarian buying opportunity as eventual stabilization will drive prices back up.

Performance

No trade count, win rate, or realized P&L figures are provided in this public preview. The thesis and shared rules do not establish a performance record.

What this public preview can establish

  • The dated rule snapshot above shows the conditions evaluated at that time. It does not prove a current trigger or executed trade.
  • Technical strategy fields are shared above. Inspect the actual conditions and check when they were evaluated before relying on them.
  • No trade count, win rate, or P&L figure is published in this preview. It cannot establish a performance record.

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