When even the cheapest grocery options are fighting over pinched customers, the
Created
Thesis
When even the cheapest grocery options are fighting over pinched customers, the American shopper is running out of room — and the new inflation report plus talk of multiple further rate hikes means less relief ahead. Borrowing costs at three-year highs squeeze both the stores (their own debt and inventory financing) and their customers (credit cards, mortgages). Kroger cutting its sales forecast and RH beating only 'amid a weaker consumer spending environment' are early earnings-season warnings for the whole sector. Shorting a basket of consumer names captures this squeeze before more guidance cuts land.
Strategy approach
When even the cheapest grocery options are fighting over pinched customers, the American shopper is running out of room — and the new inflation report plus talk of multiple further rate hikes means less relief ahead. Borrowing costs at three-year highs squeeze both the stores (their own debt and inventory financing) and their customers (credit cards, mortgages). Kroger cutting its sales forecast and RH beating only 'amid a weaker consumer spending environment' are early earnings-season warnings for the whole sector. Shorting a basket of consumer names captures this squeeze before more guidance cuts land. Decision analysis profile: leveraged. Required dimensions: company_view, instrument_view, contract_identity, event_expiry_timing, implied_volatility_expected_move, theta,…
Markets and timeframes
Latest published rule evaluation
Evaluated . This is a dated rule snapshot, not a live price or trade execution confirmation.
KR · 1d
2 of 4 published entry conditions marked met.
- Price below 0 — far
- RSI (14) below 50 — met
- Price below EMA (50) — met
- ADX (14) above 22 — far
- Price above EMA (50) — near
TGT · 1d
1 of 4 published entry conditions marked met.
- Price below 0 — far
- RSI (14) below 50 — far
- Price below EMA (50) — far
- ADX (14) above 22 — met
- Price above EMA (50) — met
WMT · 1d
3 of 4 published entry conditions marked met.
- Price below 0 — far
- RSI (14) below 50 — met
- Price below EMA (50) — met
- ADX (14) above 22 — met
- Price above EMA (50) — near
XRT · 1d
3 of 4 published entry conditions marked met.
- Price below 0 — far
- RSI (14) below 50 — met
- Price below EMA (50) — met
- ADX (14) above 22 — met
- Price above EMA (50) — near
Entry and exit at a glance
These are the named rules in the shared configuration. Review the full conditions below before using a strategy.
- Entry: RSI/EMA/ADX Signal Long (WMT@1d) (4 conditions)
- Exit: Position Exit Rule (WMT@1d) (2 conditions)
- Exit: SL: Below Support[2] (WMT@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: SL: Below Support[1] (WMT@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: Stop Loss at 2.3% (1 condition)
- Exit: Take Profit at 4.7% (1 condition)
Shared strategy rules
Rule configuration
{
"data_dependencies": [
{
"symbol": "STOCK:WMT",
"timeframe": "1d"
}
],
"entry_rules": [
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:WMT",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 0
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:WMT",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 50
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:WMT",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:WMT",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 50
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:WMT",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "adx",
"indicator": {
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 22
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1",
"name": "RSI/EMA/ADX Signal Long (WMT@1d)",
"priority": 1,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:WMT"
}
],
"exit_rules": [
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:WMT",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:WMT",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 50
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "holding_period_bars",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 60
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1",
"name": "Position Exit Rule (WMT@1d)",
"priority": 1,
"purpose": "signal"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:WMT",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"rank": 2,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2",
"name": "SL: Below Support[2] (WMT@1d)",
"priority": 97,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:WMT"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:WMT",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_below",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3",
"name": "SL: Below Support[1] (WMT@1d)",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:WMT"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -2.3441666666666663
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_4",
"name": "Stop Loss at 2.3%",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 4.688333333333333
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_5",
"name": "Take Profit at 4.7%",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "take_profit"
}
],
"position_sizing": {
"max_position_percent": 25,
"method": {
"risk_percent": 2.3441666666666663,
"support_stop_rank": 1,
"type": "fixed_risk"
},
"min_position_value": 100
},
"trigger_timeframe": "1d",
"version": 1
}Indicator configuration
{
"indicators": [
{
"name": "ema",
"period": 50
},
{
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
{
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
}
]
}Parsed strategy
{
"data_dependencies": [
{
"symbol": "STOCK:WMT",
"timeframe": "1d"
}
],
"entry_rules": [
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:WMT",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 0
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:WMT",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "rsi",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 50
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:WMT",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:WMT",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 50
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:WMT",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "adx",
"indicator": {
"name": "adx",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 22
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1",
"name": "RSI/EMA/ADX Signal Long (WMT@1d)",
"priority": 1,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:WMT"
}
],
"exit_rules": [
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:WMT",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:WMT",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 50
},
"type": "indicator"
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "holding_period_bars",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 60
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1",
"name": "Position Exit Rule (WMT@1d)",
"priority": 1,
"purpose": "signal"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:WMT",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"rank": 2,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2",
"name": "SL: Below Support[2] (WMT@1d)",
"priority": 97,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:WMT"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:WMT",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "crossed_below",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3",
"name": "SL: Below Support[1] (WMT@1d)",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:WMT"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -2.3441666666666663
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_4",
"name": "Stop Loss at 2.3%",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 4.688333333333333
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_5",
"name": "Take Profit at 4.7%",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "take_profit"
}
],
"position_sizing": {
"max_position_percent": 25,
"method": {
"risk_percent": 2.3441666666666663,
"support_stop_rank": 1,
"type": "fixed_risk"
},
"min_position_value": 100
},
"trigger_timeframe": "1d",
"version": 1
}Strategy instructions
Trading agent generated from recommendation idea 'When even the cheapest grocery options are fighting over pinched customers, the American shopper is running out of room — and the new inflation report plus talk of multiple further rate hikes means less relief ahead. Borrowing costs at three-year highs sq'. Thesis: When even the cheapest grocery options are fighting over pinched customers, the American shopper is running out of room — and the new inflation report plus talk of multiple further rate hikes means less relief ahead. Borrowing costs at three-year highs squeeze both the stores (their own debt and inventory financing) and their customers (credit cards, mortgages). Kroger cutting its sales forecast and RH beating only 'amid a weaker consumer spending environment' are early earnings-season warnings for the whole sector. Shorting a basket of consumer names captures this squeeze before more guidance cuts land.
Performance
No trade count, win rate, or realized P&L figures are provided in this public preview. The thesis and shared rules do not establish a performance record.
What this public preview can establish
- The dated rule snapshot above shows the conditions evaluated at that time. It does not prove a current trigger or executed trade.
- Technical strategy fields are shared above. Inspect the actual conditions and check when they were evaluated before relying on them.
- No trade count, win rate, or P&L figure is published in this preview. It cannot establish a performance record.
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