Chip stocks are crashing but trading desks are booming — ride the rotation into
Created
Thesis
JPMorgan and Goldman Sachs just reported their highest quarterly trading revenues ever because clients are panic-selling and repositioning their portfolios amid geopolitical chaos. At the same time, there is a massive sell-off in AI and semiconductor stocks. When tech stocks crash and volatility spikes, big banks make massive fees handling the trading chaos, creating a perfect environment to buy bank stocks while the selling pressure hits the rest of the market.
Strategy approach
Build a rule-based swing strategy entering long KRE or XLF on D1. Entry conditions: buy when the ETF closes up >2% for the day while the SOXX (Semiconductor ETF) closes down >2% on the exact same session. Exit conditions: 5% fixed stop loss or a 15-day holding period, whichever triggers first.
Markets and timeframes
Latest published rule evaluation
Evaluated . This is a dated rule snapshot, not a live price or trade execution confirmation.
GS · 1d
1 of 3 published entry conditions marked met.
- ROC (1) above 2 — far
- EMA (50) below Price — met
- ATR (14) above 0.5 — unknown
JPM · 1d
1 of 3 published entry conditions marked met.
- ROC (1) above 2 — far
- EMA (50) below Price — met
- ATR (14) above 0.5 — unknown
KRE · 1d
No entry condition values were published.
XLF · 1d
1 of 3 published entry conditions marked met.
- ROC (1) above 2 — far
- EMA (50) below Price — met
- ATR (14) above 0.5 — unknown
Entry and exit at a glance
These are the named rules in the shared configuration. Review the full conditions below before using a strategy.
- Entry: ROC/EMA/ATR Signal Long (XLF@1d) (5 conditions)
- Entry: ROC/EMA/ATR Signal Long (GS@1d) (5 conditions)
- Entry: ROC/EMA/ATR Signal Long (JPM@1d) (5 conditions)
- Exit: Take Profit at 15.0% (1 condition)
- Exit: TP: Near Resistance[1] (XLF@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: TP: Near Resistance[1] (GS@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: TP: Near Resistance[1] (JPM@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: SL: Below Support[2] (XLF@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: SL: Below Support[2] (GS@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: SL: Below Support[2] (JPM@1d) (1 condition)
- Exit: Stop Loss at 2.4% (1 condition)
- Exit: Take Profit at 4.8% (1 condition)
Shared strategy rules
Rule configuration
{
"data_dependencies": [
{
"symbol": "STOCK:XLF",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
"symbol": "STOCK:GS",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
"symbol": "STOCK:JPM",
"timeframe": "1d"
}
],
"entry_rules": [
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:XLF",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "roc",
"period": 1
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 2
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:XLF",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 50
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "low",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:XLF",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "atr",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 0.5
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_xlf",
"name": "ROC/EMA/ATR Signal Long (XLF@1d)",
"priority": 1,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:XLF"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:GS",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "roc",
"period": 1
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 2
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:GS",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 50
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "low",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:GS",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "atr",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 0.5
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_gs",
"name": "ROC/EMA/ATR Signal Long (GS@1d)",
"priority": 2,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:GS"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:JPM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "roc",
"period": 1
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 2
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:JPM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 50
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "low",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:JPM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "atr",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 0.5
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_jpm",
"name": "ROC/EMA/ATR Signal Long (JPM@1d)",
"priority": 3,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:JPM"
}
],
"exit_rules": [
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 15
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1",
"name": "Take Profit at 15.0%",
"priority": 1,
"purpose": "signal"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "resistance_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2_xlf",
"name": "TP: Near Resistance[1] (XLF@1d)",
"priority": 97,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:XLF"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "resistance_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2_gs",
"name": "TP: Near Resistance[1] (GS@1d)",
"priority": 98,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:GS"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "resistance_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2_jpm",
"name": "TP: Near Resistance[1] (JPM@1d)",
"priority": 99,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:JPM"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"rank": 2,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3_xlf",
"name": "SL: Below Support[2] (XLF@1d)",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:XLF"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"rank": 2,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3_gs",
"name": "SL: Below Support[2] (GS@1d)",
"priority": 101,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:GS"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"rank": 2,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3_jpm",
"name": "SL: Below Support[2] (JPM@1d)",
"priority": 102,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:JPM"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -2.4121
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_4",
"name": "Stop Loss at 2.4%",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 4.8242
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_5",
"name": "Take Profit at 4.8%",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "take_profit"
}
],
"position_sizing": {
"max_position_percent": 25,
"method": {
"risk_percent": 2.4121,
"support_stop_rank": 2,
"type": "fixed_risk"
},
"min_position_value": 100
},
"trigger_timeframe": "1d",
"version": 1
}Indicator configuration
{
"indicators": [
{
"name": "roc",
"period": 1
},
{
"name": "ema",
"period": 50
},
{
"name": "atr",
"period": 14
},
{
"name": "roc",
"period": 1
},
{
"name": "ema",
"period": 50
},
{
"name": "atr",
"period": 14
},
{
"name": "roc",
"period": 1
},
{
"name": "ema",
"period": 50
},
{
"name": "atr",
"period": 14
}
]
}Parsed strategy
{
"data_dependencies": [
{
"symbol": "STOCK:XLF",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
"symbol": "STOCK:GS",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
{
"symbol": "STOCK:JPM",
"timeframe": "1d"
}
],
"entry_rules": [
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:XLF",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "roc",
"period": 1
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 2
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:XLF",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 50
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "low",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:XLF",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "atr",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 0.5
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_xlf",
"name": "ROC/EMA/ATR Signal Long (XLF@1d)",
"priority": 1,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:XLF"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:GS",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "roc",
"period": 1
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 2
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:GS",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 50
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "low",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:GS",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "atr",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 0.5
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_gs",
"name": "ROC/EMA/ATR Signal Long (GS@1d)",
"priority": 2,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:GS"
},
{
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:JPM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "roc",
"period": 1
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 2
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:JPM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "ema",
"period": 50
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "low",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
},
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "support_level"
}
},
{
"left": {
"chart_ref": {
"symbol": "STOCK:JPM",
"timeframe": "1d"
},
"indicator": {
"name": "atr",
"period": 14
},
"type": "indicator"
},
"operator": "greater_than",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 0.5
}
}
],
"direction": "long",
"enabled": true,
"id": "entry_1_jpm",
"name": "ROC/EMA/ATR Signal Long (JPM@1d)",
"priority": 3,
"trade_symbol": "STOCK:JPM"
}
],
"exit_rules": [
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 15
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_1",
"name": "Take Profit at 15.0%",
"priority": 1,
"purpose": "signal"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "resistance_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2_xlf",
"name": "TP: Near Resistance[1] (XLF@1d)",
"priority": 97,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:XLF"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "resistance_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2_gs",
"name": "TP: Near Resistance[1] (GS@1d)",
"priority": 98,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:GS"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"rank": 1,
"type": "resistance_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_2_jpm",
"name": "TP: Near Resistance[1] (JPM@1d)",
"priority": 99,
"purpose": "take_profit",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:JPM"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"rank": 2,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3_xlf",
"name": "SL: Below Support[2] (XLF@1d)",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:XLF"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"rank": 2,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3_gs",
"name": "SL: Below Support[2] (GS@1d)",
"priority": 101,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:GS"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "close",
"type": "price"
},
"operator": "less_than",
"right": {
"rank": 2,
"type": "support_level"
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_3_jpm",
"name": "SL: Below Support[2] (JPM@1d)",
"priority": 102,
"purpose": "stop_loss",
"target_symbol": "STOCK:JPM"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "less_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": -2.4121
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_4",
"name": "Stop Loss at 2.4%",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "stop_loss"
},
{
"applies_to": "both",
"conditions": [
{
"left": {
"field": "unrealized_pnl_percent",
"type": "position"
},
"operator": "greater_than_or_equal",
"right": {
"type": "constant",
"value": 4.8242
}
}
],
"enabled": true,
"id": "exit_5",
"name": "Take Profit at 4.8%",
"priority": 100,
"purpose": "take_profit"
}
],
"position_sizing": {
"max_position_percent": 25,
"method": {
"risk_percent": 2.4121,
"support_stop_rank": 2,
"type": "fixed_risk"
},
"min_position_value": 100
},
"trigger_timeframe": "1d",
"version": 1
}Strategy instructions
Trading agent generated from recommendation idea 'Chip stocks are crashing but trading desks are booming — ride the rotation into big banks'. Thesis: JPMorgan and Goldman Sachs just reported their highest quarterly trading revenues ever because clients are panic-selling and repositioning their portfolios amid geopolitical chaos. At the same time, there is a massive sell-off in AI and semiconductor stocks. When tech stocks crash and volatility spikes, big banks make massive fees handling the trading chaos, creating a perfect environment to buy bank stocks while the selling pressure hits the rest of the market.
Performance
No trade count, win rate, or realized P&L figures are provided in this public preview. The thesis and shared rules do not establish a performance record.
What this public preview can establish
- The dated rule snapshot above shows the conditions evaluated at that time. It does not prove a current trigger or executed trade.
- Technical strategy fields are shared above. Inspect the actual conditions and check when they were evaluated before relying on them.
- No trade count, win rate, or P&L figure is published in this preview. It cannot establish a performance record.
Explore
How CommonQuant researches and tests strategies · Public paper-trading record and its limits · Discover public strategies