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Tankers stuck in Hormuz and analysts say the pain lasts all year — load up on US oil producers

Big oil tankers are stuck in the Strait of Hormuz and may never come back in the same numbers. Industry analysts now believe the supply disruption will last through the end of the year, even if the waterway reopens soon.

Idea

The Strait of Hormuz is one of the world's most important oil shipping routes, and right now it's essentially broken. Tankers are stuck and may not return even after things calm down. Analysts are telling OPEC+ that the disruption will last through year-end — that's a long period of tight oil supply. US oil producers like ExxonMobil and Chevron don't depend on that route at all, so they stand to benefit from higher prices without the shipping headaches. When a supply shock this large gets priced in for months, energy stocks tend to grind higher as the market slowly accepts the new reality.

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CVXOXYXLEXOMdaily#oil#supply_shock#geopolitical

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