Memory boom meets stressed consumers — back the AI chipmakers, fade the premium brands
The companies making the memory chips for AI are seeing record demand, but the companies buying those chips (like Apple and Microsoft) are getting hit by rising costs and raising prices on consumers. This favors the suppliers over the big consumer brands.
Idea
Micron just locked in massive AI demand with revenue quadrupling, creating a $100B memory boom that is directly benefiting the AI supply chain. However, this same boom is squeezing the buyers of those chips: Apple just had its worst session in a year as it was forced to raise prices on Macs and iPads to offset rising memory costs, and Microsoft is facing a historic June rout over heavy capital spending. This combination suggests the profit power in the tech ecosystem has shifted to the component suppliers. We want to own the companies enabling the AI buildout (like Micron and TSM) rather than the end-product companies struggling with cost inflation.
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Community
News sources
- Micron Soars 17%, SanDisk Jumps 15%, Western Digital Climbs 13% After Blowout Quarter Locks In $100B of AI Memory Demand — Yahoo Finance
- Microsoft’s stock is suffering a historic June rout as investors balk at heavy spending — MarketWatch
- Apple stock gets slammed on bigger Mac, iPad price hikes. Why it can weather the storm — CNBC