Iran deal opens oil routes, emerging markets hit record highs — buy the global rebound
A new peace agreement between the US and Iran is reopening a critical global shipping route for oil. Cheaper oil is great news for developing economies, pushing their stock markets to all-time highs.
Idea
The US-Iran peace deal is getting oil flowing through the Strait of Hormuz again, which is ending a massive supply shock and driving down the price of crude. For emerging market countries that rely heavily on imported energy, cheaper oil acts like a giant tax cut for their economies and businesses. With global investors already looking to move money out of US tech and crypto, this cheaper-oil backdrop makes foreign emerging market stocks highly attractive. We want to buy the breakout as these international markets push into record high territory.