education is the future

Verdict: a disciplined watch-list with nothing to buy — wait for the bounce

The verdict is simple: there is nothing to buy today, and that is by design. This seven-name education basket (LRN, STRA, LAUR, PRDO, DUOL, COUR, UTI) only enters when a name closes above its 50-day EMA with a 14-day RSI above 50 and a 14-day ADX above 25, and its daily low tags primary support before closing back above it — and across 186 daily bars in the last nine months, that never happened. The strongest point for the trade is the risk discipline: a 2% stop, a 4% target, a 10-day time stop, and per-name sizing capped near 14.3% turn a vague thematic call into a bounded roughly 2:1 wager. The strongest point against is that the setup's own evaluation shows the entry may be far from current market conditions, meaning you are watching a ruleset that has refused to buy this theme for three-quarters of a year, with exits that can realize more than the nominal 2% on a gap-down open. The evaluation is thin beyond that — longer 60-, 24-, and 12-month windows ended in engine errors tied to market-data loading for the basket (so the rule set has only one clean, trigger-free result), and the parameter-sensitivity run exceeded its time budget with no robust setup established. No fundamentals, ownership, insider, or dividend context was supplied for any of the seven names, so none of that can be weighed here. The verdict flips the moment a full confirmed bounce prints on any name — until then, set alerts at each primary support level and wait.

Trade now: nothing to buy yet — this is an alert list, not a signal

There is no trade to place today. The setup is a confirmed support-bounce long across a seven-name education cluster (LRN, STRA, LAUR, PRDO, DUOL, COUR, UTI, all on daily bars), and the rules did not open an entry in the last nine months across 186 evaluated daily bars — this is a watch-list setup, not an active signal. No live market state (price, RSI, or distance-to-trigger) was supplied with this idea, so we cannot tell you how far any name sits from its trigger; the honest instruction is to set alerts and wait. Concretely, each name triggers only when all of the following line up on the same day: the close is above its 50-day EMA, the 14-day RSI is above 50, the 14-day ADX is above 25, and the day's low tags the primary support level while the close finishes back above it. That last pair is the whole point — a wick into support that closes back above it — and it is what has kept this setup idle. Missing any one condition means no entry, at any price. If an entry fires, the exit plan is mechanical: a stop at a 2.0% loss on the position, a first target at a 4.0% gain or at the nearest resistance level for the traded name (whichever hits first), and a time stop that closes the position after 10 trading bars. Position size is fixed-risk at 2.0% of the account per trade, capped at roughly 14.3% of the book per name, with the stop anchored to the rank-2 support level. One scoping note: no robust parameter setup was established for this…

Scores

• Conviction score breakdown: 48
• Thesis support: 45
• Trade readiness: 55
• Risk quality: 70
• Trigger proximity: 20
• Fundamentals trend: 50

Watch items

• LRN — Confirmed support-bounce entry (close above 50-day EMA, RSI above 50, ADX above 25, low tags suppor…
• STRA — Confirmed support-bounce entry (close above 50-day EMA, RSI above 50, ADX above 25, low tags suppor…
• LAUR — Confirmed support-bounce entry (close above 50-day EMA, RSI above 50, ADX above 25, low tags suppor…
• PRDO — Confirmed support-bounce entry (close above 50-day EMA, RSI above 50, ADX above 25, low tags suppor…
• DUOL — Confirmed support-bounce entry (close above 50-day EMA, RSI above 50, ADX above 25, low tags suppor…
• COUR — Confirmed support-bounce entry (close above 50-day EMA, RSI above 50, ADX above 25, low tags suppor…
• UTI — Confirmed support-bounce entry (close above 50-day EMA, RSI above 50, ADX above 25, low tags suppor…
• LRN — Primary support level
• STRA — Primary support level
• LAUR — Primary support level
• PRDO — Primary support level
• DUOL — Primary support level
• COUR — Primary support level
• UTI — Primary support level