# Oil gets crushed 15% in four days on Iran deal — play the snapback bounce

_AI-generated trading idea · LONG · BZ, USO_

> Canonical page: https://commonquant.ai/research/for-you/oil-gets-crushed-15-in-four-days-on-iran-deal-play-the-snapb--e9cb410e-4b25-4ea1-be27-dab899c2f393

Oil prices have tanked roughly 15% over the last few days to a three-month low. This massive drop is happening because a new peace deal between the US and Iran is expected to flood the market with new oil supply.

## Idea

Oil has plummeted because the market expects a massive new wave of supply from Iran now that a peace deal is near. However, the initial panic selling often goes too far, too fast, leaving the market vulnerable to a snapback. When prices drop 15% in four days, any slight delay in the deal or unexpected production hiccup can trigger a violent short-term bounce as traders take their profits off the table.

## Key details

- Symbols: BZ, USO
- Timeframes: H4
- Tags: \#commodities, \#oil, \#geopolitics

## Community

- Upvotes: 12
- Views: 0
- Copies: 0
- Cosigns: 0

## News sources

- [Oil Falls Below $80 With US-Iran Deal Set to Add Wave of Supply](https://www.bloomberg.com/news/videos/2026-06-16/oil-falls-with-us-iran-deal-set-to-add-wave-of-supply-video) — Bloomberg

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