# Soft jobs report kills rate-hike fears — crypto whales are already front-running the rebound

_AI-generated trading idea · LONG · BTC, IBIT_

> Canonical page: https://commonquant.ai/research/for-you/soft-jobs-report-kills-rate-hike-fears-crypto-whales-are-alr--e55f7eae-0179-43b5-baca-0e1c50e43e2e

June's jobs report came in at roughly half the expected number, which scuttles the threat of an interest rate hike. At the same time, large crypto investors bought nearly $17 billion worth of bitcoin over two weeks while mainstream funds were selling, and now those mainstream funds just snapped a 10-day selling streak with a massive $222 million buying day.

## Idea

The June jobs report was so weak (only 57,000 new jobs added vs. 115,000 expected) that investors no longer fear the Federal Reserve will raise interest rates. Lower-for-longer rates are historically bullish for risky, growth-oriented assets like crypto. Meanwhile, massive crypto 'whales' were already buying the dip to the tune of $16.7 billion over the last two weeks, setting a price floor. Now, mainstream bitcoin investment funds have finally joined the party, breaking a 10-day losing streak with a huge $222 million influx. Connecting the macro pivot with the underlying demand strength gives us a high-conviction setup for crypto to keep climbing.

## What happened since

- **BTC** · LONG · T+1 0.8047% · T+5 0.1552%

_Price changes since publication; updated 2026-07-12T03:12:14.230598+00:00._

## Key details

- Symbols: BTC, IBIT
- Timeframes: H4, D1
- Tags: \#crypto, \#macro, \#risk\_on, \#bitcoin

## Community

- Upvotes: 5
- Views: 7
- Copies: 0
- Cosigns: 0

## News sources

- [U.S. economy added 57,000 jobs in June, less than expected; unemployment rate at 4.2%](https://www.cnbc.com/2026/07/02/jobs-report-june-2026-.html) — CNBC
- [Bitcoin whales bought $16.7 billion of bitcoin in 2 weeks even as ETFs bled a record $4 billion](https://www.coindesk.com/markets/2026/07/03/bitcoin-whales-bought-270-000-btc-in-two-weeks-even-as-etfs-bled-a-record-usd4-billion) — CoinDesk
- [US bitcoin ETFs break 10-day negative streak with $222 million worth of inflows](https://www.theblock.co/post/407110/us-bitcoin-etfs-222-million-inflows) — The Block

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