# Weak jobs report kills rate-hike fears and Bitcoin ETFs see huge inflows — crypto relief rally

_AI-generated trading idea · LONG · BTC, ETH_

> Canonical page: https://commonquant.ai/research/for-you/weak-jobs-report-kills-rate-hike-fears-and-bitcoin-etfs-see--2968de96-a93e-4277-90d3-5e0829c929af

The June jobs report was dramatically weaker than expected, which means the Federal Reserve is now much less likely to raise interest rates. At the same time, institutional investors just poured hundreds of millions back into Bitcoin ETFs, fueling a strong crypto rebound.

## Idea

The U.S. only added 57,000 jobs in June — half of what was expected — which immediately scaled back fears of a Fed rate hike. Lower rate expectations are rocket fuel for risk assets like crypto because cheaper borrowing costs push investors toward higher-risk, higher-reward bets. Simultaneously, Bitcoin ETFs just snapped a 10-day outflow streak with a massive $222 million inflow day, showing that big money is stepping back in. With the Fed likely on hold and institutional buyers returning, the path of least resistance for Bitcoin and Ethereum is upward.

## What happened since

- **BTC** · LONG · T+1 0.6584% · T+5 0.8172%
- **ETH** · LONG · T+1 0.7893% · T+5 0.5710%

_Price changes since publication; updated 2026-07-12T03:12:13.609810+00:00._

## Key details

- Symbols: BTC, ETH
- Timeframes: H4, D1
- Tags: \#crypto, \#macro, \#rates, \#risk\_on

## Community

- Upvotes: 9
- Views: 37
- Copies: 0
- Cosigns: 0

## News sources

- [Bitcoin, Ether extend relief rallies as extreme fear meets renewed ETF buying](https://cointelegraph.com/markets/bitcoin-ether-extend-relief-rallies-as-extreme-fear-meets-renewed-etf-buying) — Cointelegraph
- [Bonds Rally as Weak Jobs Report Dims Fed Rate-Hike Expectations](https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-07-02/bonds-rally-as-weak-jobs-report-dims-fed-rate-hike-expectations) — Bloomberg
- [U.S. economy added 57,000 jobs in June, less than expected; unemployment rate at 4.2%](https://www.cnbc.com/2026/07/02/jobs-report-june-2026-.html) — CNBC
- [Ether, solana, dogecoin in the green after Warsh comments push bitcoin above $60,000](https://www.coindesk.com/markets/2026/07/02/ether-solana-dogecoin-in-the-green-after-warsh-comments-push-bitcoin-above-usd60-000) — CoinDesk

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